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Win probability via tRant (No FPI, No Metrics, Just you)
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:24 am
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:24 am
I want to compile the win probability based off of everyone here on the rant. I know a lot of us disagree with so called experts or FPI and everything else.
This win probability I will put together off of your predictions and we can see what the rant really thinks about these match ups.
I've chosen 4 of the highest profile games to do from week 1/2. I would like for you to post your predictions and scores for each one and I will compile the data in a few days and come up with all of your guesses into a percentage.
The games are:
1. Florida / Miami
2. Auburn / Oregon
3. Texas A&M / Clemson
4. Georgia / Notre Dame
Just a little fun before kickoff
This win probability I will put together off of your predictions and we can see what the rant really thinks about these match ups.
I've chosen 4 of the highest profile games to do from week 1/2. I would like for you to post your predictions and scores for each one and I will compile the data in a few days and come up with all of your guesses into a percentage.
The games are:
1. Florida / Miami
2. Auburn / Oregon
3. Texas A&M / Clemson
4. Georgia / Notre Dame
Just a little fun before kickoff
This post was edited on 8/13/19 at 8:25 am
34
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:26 am to TarnishedWisdom90
I feel very confident about Florida beating Miami. Dan groomed Manny Diaz and essentially practiced against his defense for a couple of years at Mississippi State. I also think Franks has drastically improved since last year. I like Florida and the points.
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:27 am to TarnishedWisdom90
based on nothing and absolutely zero research:
1. Florida / Miami
28-17 UF
2. Auburn / Oregon
27-24 AU
3. Texas A&M / Clemson
38-21 Clemson
4. Georgia / Notre Dame
31-17 UGA
1. Florida / Miami
28-17 UF
2. Auburn / Oregon
27-24 AU
3. Texas A&M / Clemson
38-21 Clemson
4. Georgia / Notre Dame
31-17 UGA
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:31 am to TarnishedWisdom90
quote:
1. Florida / Miami 52%
2. Auburn / Oregon 57%
3. Texas A&M / Clemson 73%
4. Georgia / Notre Dame 74%
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:31 am to TarnishedWisdom90
Georgia-Notre Dame is week 4 btw
1. Florida 38 - Miami 17
2. Oregon 34 - Auburn 21
3. Clemson 28 - Texas A&M 21
4. Georgia 35 - Notre Dame 21
1. Florida 38 - Miami 17
2. Oregon 34 - Auburn 21
3. Clemson 28 - Texas A&M 21
4. Georgia 35 - Notre Dame 21
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:33 am to BranchDawg
That's my fault. I was thinking week 2 for some reason. I will still crunch the numbers
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:33 am to TarnishedWisdom90
1. Florida / Miami 69%
2. Auburn / Oregon 69%
3. Texas A&M / Clemson 69%
4. Georgia / Notre Dame 69%
2. Auburn / Oregon 69%
3. Texas A&M / Clemson 69%
4. Georgia / Notre Dame 69%
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:35 am to TarnishedWisdom90
1. Florida / Miami- 31-20 Gators
2. Auburn / Oregon 27-21 Auburn
3. Texas A&M / Clemson Clemson 31-28
4. Georgia / Notre Dame Georgia 35-27
2. Auburn / Oregon 27-21 Auburn
3. Texas A&M / Clemson Clemson 31-28
4. Georgia / Notre Dame Georgia 35-27
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:39 am to TarnishedWisdom90
Florida 31 Miami 21
Auburn 35 Oregon 31
Clemson 28 A&M 24
Georgia 34 ND 17
Auburn 35 Oregon 31
Clemson 28 A&M 24
Georgia 34 ND 17
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:43 am to TarnishedWisdom90
UF 24 UM 21
Ore 31 Aub 28
Clemson 35 TAM 28
UGA 41 ND 24
Ore 31 Aub 28
Clemson 35 TAM 28
UGA 41 ND 24
Posted on 8/13/19 at 8:43 am to TarnishedWisdom90
Florida 31 Miami 20
Auburn 28 Oregon 24
clemson 41 A&M 20
Georgia 38 ND 17
Gut feelings on all of em
Auburn 28 Oregon 24
clemson 41 A&M 20
Georgia 38 ND 17
Gut feelings on all of em
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:11 am to WG_Dawg
1. Florida / Miami
24-14 Gators
2. Auburn / Oregon
21-17 AU
3. Texas A&M / Clemson
35-31 Clemson
4. Georgia / Notre Dame
27-13 UGA
24-14 Gators
2. Auburn / Oregon
21-17 AU
3. Texas A&M / Clemson
35-31 Clemson
4. Georgia / Notre Dame
27-13 UGA
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:11 am to TarnishedWisdom90
My own guess work?
80 percent Florida
50 Percent Auburn(Oregon returns a ton of players)
80 percent Clemson
75 percent Georgia
80 percent Florida
50 Percent Auburn(Oregon returns a ton of players)
80 percent Clemson
75 percent Georgia
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:19 am to TarnishedWisdom90
Florida
Oregon
Clemson
Georgia
Oregon
Clemson
Georgia
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:39 am to TarnishedWisdom90
Florida 31, Miami 21
Auburn 27, Oregon 20
Clemson 41, Texas A&M 27
Georgia 35, Notre Dame 17
Edit: misunderstood the rules the first time
Auburn 27, Oregon 20
Clemson 41, Texas A&M 27
Georgia 35, Notre Dame 17
Edit: misunderstood the rules the first time
This post was edited on 8/13/19 at 9:51 am
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:41 am to BobLeeDagger
quote:
Dan groomed Manny Diaz and essentially practiced against his defense for a couple of years at Mississippi State.
On the other hand, Diaz knows Mullen's O as well as anybody. I do think UF has more talent, but this gives the U a better chance, IMO.
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:43 am to TeddyWestside
It’s amazing to me how the simplest of directions can be misconstrued
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:48 am to TarnishedWisdom90
You didnt include the biggest game of them all? A top 10 matchup of blueblood Texas and LSU?
BOI. But I'll play.
1. Florida 34 Miami 17
2. Auburn 23 Oregon 20
3. Texas A&M 16 Clemson 45
4. Georgia 35 Notre Dame 27
BOI. But I'll play.
1. Florida 34 Miami 17
2. Auburn 23 Oregon 20
3. Texas A&M 16 Clemson 45
4. Georgia 35 Notre Dame 27
This post was edited on 8/13/19 at 9:50 am
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:52 am to TarnishedWisdom90
Florida 27-17 over Miami
Oregon 28-17 over Auburn
Clemson 42-38 over A&M
Georgia 35-17 over ND
Oregon 28-17 over Auburn
Clemson 42-38 over A&M
Georgia 35-17 over ND
Posted on 8/13/19 at 9:53 am to MrAUTigers
quote:
Diaz knows Mullen's O
Yea, but I think the advantage is on the offensive side of the ball. I'd be willing to bet that Mullen's offense has expanded and changed more than Manny's defense, but that's all conjecture on my part.
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