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Very possible that UGA has to beat BAMA to make playoff

Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:44 am
Posted by Notrub14
Boston
Member since Dec 2018
931 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:44 am
I'm hearing from a lot of people that a SECCG between a one loss Alabama and undefeated Georgia would only determine if Alabama and Georgia both make the playoff, but Georgia would already be in.

If Cincy and OU win out, there's a one loss B10 champ and BAMA makes Atlanta with only one loss, then does UGA have to win to get in? They should go over an undefeated Cincy in that scenario, but would they? Fun time of year for hypotheticals that won't happen!



Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
16277 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:45 am to
One loss Bama or UGA will be in over Cincinnati.

The P5 is running shite.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:46 am to
There are 6 weeks of games left before all that.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
18163 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:48 am to
I think the CFP ranking of Cincy weighs a lot toward this.

If Cincy is #2 or 3 in the initial ranking and win out, they will be hard to justify being jumped later by a one loss conference champ, let alone runner up.

There are 4 spots for the CFPs and all 5 P5 conferences remain on track for an undefeated or one loss champ. Two P5 champs are getting left out if Cincy is in. A runner up isn't getting a spot in that scenario

For that reason, I won't be surprised to see Cincy at 4 or even 5 in first rankings.

Lots of football left though

This post was edited on 10/17/21 at 11:50 am
Posted by JoseyWalesTheOutlaw
In The Ham
Member since Nov 2017
11659 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:49 am to
Beat 10RC is all that matters. The Bama team has to get better if they intend to get to Atlanta.
Posted by Griffindawg
Member since Oct 2013
6122 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:50 am to
Yet they play against highschool teams all year.
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
23008 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:51 am to
Yeah, with the instability at the top this year, I think there’s still a possibly that they both get in, using that scenario (a Georgia loss to Alabama).

Lot of football left though.
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
4995 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:54 am to
I think you have it backwards. Alabama has to beat UGA to get into the playoffs.

If Alabama plays and beats UGA in the SEC Championship it is likely that both get into the playoff, provided the game isn't a blowout.

A two loss Alabama might have a hard time getting in over a zero loss UGA, Oklahoma, Cincinnati, and a one loss Ohio State.

IMO, a Cincinnati playoff berth depends on Notre Dame winning the rest of their games.
Posted by RD Dawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
27294 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:55 am to
quote:

They should go over an undefeated Cincy in that scenario, but would they?


No question.
Posted by Go_Dawgs
Member since Nov 2012
912 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:57 am to
Like the previous poster, Bama is having to play to get in, not UGA.

Every playoff prediction has UGA still over 90% to get in with a loss in the SECCG if they’re undefeated going in.

Too much football left to play, but it’s looking like the SECCG is only going to determine if the SEC gets 1 or 2 teams in.
Posted by RickDorf
Nothing to prove Nothing to lose
Member since Jan 2021
3294 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:59 am to
quote:

Lots of football left
Posted by Notrub14
Boston
Member since Dec 2018
931 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 11:59 am to
quote:

Alabama has to beat UGA to get into the playoffs


I said that. Not sure where the disconnect is.
Posted by CleverUserName
Member since Oct 2016
12520 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

If Cincy and OU win out, there's a one loss B10 champ and BAMA makes Atlanta with only one loss, then does UGA have to win to get in?


If Georgia goes to the SEC champ game and slips up against Alabama for one loss…. and the CFP committee puts in Cincinnati over Georgia…. The CFP committee should be disbanded. That would be a travesty of epic proportions.
Posted by SaturdayNAthens
Georgia
Member since Dec 2017
10871 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 12:02 pm to
You are right. That Cincy schedule is a joke and the Dawgs beat Cincy last year to boot
Posted by Notrub14
Boston
Member since Dec 2018
931 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

the Dawgs beat Cincy last year to boot


True, but didn’t out class them.
Posted by RumpFunnel
Lebanon TN
Member since Oct 2021
59 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 12:04 pm to
Go wash your hands for typing this shite
Posted by Ethan89
Member since Dec 2020
906 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 12:04 pm to
If UGA wins out but loses in the SECCG they're still in. The top of the Big Ten has yet to play each other. They're about to cannibalize themselves unless one of them runs the table. I think Cincy will be 5 in the first rankings because of strength of schedule. They beat a terrible Indiana team and a lackluster Notre Dame team. I'm not saying they shouldn't get in but there's still a lot of chaos that will unfold.
Posted by SteelerBravesDawg
Member since Sep 2020
34385 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 12:06 pm to
Posted by Irons Puppet
Birmingham
Member since Jun 2009
25901 posts
Posted on 10/17/21 at 12:11 pm to
I do not think Cincy is left out now if they win out. The Iowa loss yesterday sealed that. Bama has to win out and beat UGA to make the CFP. UGA can lose to a game and will still make it. If OU wins out they are in, but will be seeded behind Cincy. The question now is which Conference gets two in.
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