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re: Top 3 RBs production wise this season

Posted on 8/11/11 at 2:49 pm to
Posted by memphisplaya
Member since Jan 2009
87199 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

ETA: Plus, Spencer Ware only had 175 yards on the season last year. He had one good game and is getting all this hype. Dyer had more yards against Ole Miss alone.


Hamstring injury sidelined him for the 2nd and Third games, he was not the #1 back on the depth chart, he did not have a scat back(McCalleb) or a fumbling Fanin ahead of him, he didnt have backs ahead of him that were ill effective,(ark) and he when called upon early on it was as a FB or a WR.

So of course his numbers would be down.

Posted by NicoBlues
I eat frogs
Member since Dec 2009
15048 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 2:51 pm to
How dare you bring facts and logic to the sec rant, Memphis.
Posted by AMM AU9893
Auburn, AL
Member since Feb 2011
13789 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 2:54 pm to
I don't think you're crazy. Just a little homer
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

but i was really surprised at how low Auburns Freshmen rushing record was. I mean it was in the 800s i thin which is nothing to sneeze at but still.


Just out of curiousity, what are other schools freshman records?
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Hamstring injury sidelined him for the 2nd and Third games, he was not the #1 back on the depth chart, he did not have a scat back(McCalleb) or a fumbling Fanin ahead of him, he didnt have backs ahead of him that were ill effective,(ark) and he when called upon early on it was as a FB or a WR.

So of course his numbers would be down.


Akin to asking the hypothetical "how many more yards would Davis have had if he carried for more than 6, 5, 3, 6 and 10 times in Games 1-5"

Who knows and be sure to stop at the gift shop on the way out.
Posted by joeyb147
Member since Jun 2009
16019 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

? How am I ignoring his production? Two of the people I put in front of (Knile and Lattimore) out-performed him last year.


Why don't you look at number of carries in your in-depth analysis?

Davis - 204 - 15.7/game
Lattimore - 249 - 19.2/game
Dyer - 182 - 13/game

I know it's a hard concept, but >carries = >yards.

quote:

The only person who put less numbers up than him was Trent, and Trent was sharing runs with a Heisman winner. Trent will get a lot more carries this year. Couple that with the fact that there are a lot of unknowns in regards to Bama's QB situation and it's almost guaranteed he is going to get a significant amount more carries this year.


Is this not the same scenario as Dyer?

Tate (2009) - 263 carries - 20.2/game

I personally think it will be along the lines of 16-18 a game.

quote:

Mallett was a giant tree, incapable of moving, so any sort of rush defensive scheme would center around stopping our RBs (mostly Knile) and not Mallett. With Auburn, teams had to prepare for a run not only from Dyer but ALSO from Cam, meaning a lot less attention could be given to an individual player. There is a night and day difference


You do know there is a difference between how your DLine defends against the pass vs. the rush, right? You do know that every team was more worried about Mallett sitting in the pocket all day than handing the ball off, right?

Why do you think slip-screens, draws, etc work so well on obvious passing downs?
Posted by LSUTiger205
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Aug 2006
10820 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 2:57 pm to
1)Knile
2) Latt
3) Trent
Posted by bpfergu
Member since Jun 2011
3485 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

2. Spencer Ware- call me a homer. Veteran Oline, run heavy offense, multi-deminsional back, and a group of Backs to keep the wear and tear off of just him. A veteran Oline is something Ark and Auburn are in severe lack of.


You are still having to jump to a pretty broad conclusion here without much evidence to go off of in terms of his performance and durability as the go-to back.

This really is no different than people automatically assuming that Tyler Wilson will fill the shoes of Mallett. Lots of speculation with little evidence to prove one way or the other. I just hope you aren't one of the ones that are casting stones at people who speak highly of Tyler, but then turn around and exclaim that your RB will come out of nowhere and be the second-best back in the league.
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:02 pm to
I agree.

The AU backs will be splitting carries three ways...possibly 4 so their production #s wont be nearly as high as the one horse teams.
Posted by memphisplaya
Member since Jan 2009
87199 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:07 pm to
Dont worry... They think I'm lying....
Posted by I-59 Tiger
Vestavia Hills, AL
Member since Sep 2003
36895 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

memphisplaya


did I ever get my South Park guy?
Posted by memphisplaya
Member since Jan 2009
87199 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

Akin to asking the hypothetical "how many more yards would Davis have had if he carried for more than 6, 5, 3, 6 and 10 times in Games 1-5"


None of which matters when you consider your losses on the Oline.
Posted by memphisplaya
Member since Jan 2009
87199 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:09 pm to
Not yet. I'll work on some soon. I need some new ideas first.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
78755 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:10 pm to
1. LSu has shown we can plug RB with talent in and have 1000+ yard running back. Charles Scott, Stevan Ridley both had 1000+ yards their first year starting. That being said we have such a stable of RB i look for Ware to have just about 1000, but lsu to have over 2,000 yrds rushing total.

2. i say richardson will have more than Davis. Just a system thing. If Wilson is good they will pass too much for Davis to get the same number of carries, if wilson sucks then you get a stacked box

3. Dyer will get stats, but your right Auburn will be jsut liek they were in 09. mediocre QB play, and stats inflated on cupcake teams.
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

but your right Auburn will be jsut liek they were in 09. mediocre QB play, and stats inflated on cupcake teams.


I didnt say that.
Posted by Tds & Beer
TOT DAT MOFAN~DRIP DRIP~Bunty Pls
Member since Sep 2009
23877 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

The AU backs will be splitting carries three ways...possibly 4 so their production #s wont be nearly as high as the one horse teams.


this. which is why

quote:

Davis
Richardson
Bolden
Ballard
Lattimore
Dyer


looks pretty accurate


Davis, Richardson, and Bolden will lead the league. Then it's a toss up between Ballard and Lattimore. Lat is losing help and Ballard will have Perkins getting a few carries. Dyer will be splitting a lot with a new line. Yeah Richardson is gonna be splitting some but you when you have the best RB in the country you give him the rock.
This post was edited on 8/11/11 at 3:17 pm
Posted by TTsTowel
RIP Bow9den/Coastie
Member since Feb 2010
92762 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:14 pm to
Again - 175 yards on the season, with one good game... And it was against aTm. I'm not saying he doesn't have ability or what not (hell, I drafted him on my CFFD), but to put him atop the West as the most productive RB is a little crazy. He hasn't proved anything. This is like me saying Trovon Reed will lead the league in receiving yards, or Jake Holland will lead the SEC in tackles. It just won't happen, IMO.
Posted by memphisplaya
Member since Jan 2009
87199 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:16 pm to
Again he was a FB and a WR out of the backfield for more than the first half of the season.

His numbers would be down. Especially when you have a future 1000 yd rusher, and 3rd round pick ahead of you on the depth chart that was a similar back. Something Arkansas and Auburn didn't have.
This post was edited on 8/11/11 at 3:17 pm
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:18 pm to
Dyer will get 1000
McCalleb will get 800
Mason will get 400
QB will get 400
Misc will get 400

AU: 3000 yards rushing
Posted by Tigah32
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
5721 posts
Posted on 8/11/11 at 3:20 pm to
1. Trent Richardson
2. Marcus Lattimore
3. Michael Dyer
4. Spencer Ware
5. Knile Davis

Obviously this is all IMO.
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