re: Severe weather tornados again

In Alabama, you never want a really warm day in Jan or Feb. Tornadoes are always around the corner.

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So a fan of Bush's warming policies huh?

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frick yeah! My gas bill has been lower this year than ever before.

W for the win!

What's crazy is that it has been a very anomalous winter for La Nina. Yes, it has been warmer, but it has been much much wetter than a typical La Nina Winter.

Factor in that the rest of the globe is in the deep freeze, and its very rare to see a wamr North America and a frozen Eastern Hemisphere and Europe.

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What's crazy is that it has been a very anomalous winter for La Nina. Yes, it has been warmer, but it has been much much wetter than a typical La Nina Winter.

Factor in that the rest of the globe is in the deep freeze, and its very rare to see a wamr North America and a frozen Eastern Hemisphere and Europe.

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The last 2 winters have been atypical in different ways. Great point about the unusually wet weather for a La Nina. Drought was a big concern throughout the South (especially in your neck of the woods) back in the Fall when the La Nina was strengthening.

Speaking of the arctic outbreak in Europe this winter, was that caused by a stratospheric warming event or was it just a case of the AO and NAO flipping to negative and instead of unleashing the motherload of cold air on us the flip sent it to the other side of the North Pole to Europe? The teleconnections seemed to be lining up nicely back in early January but "our" cold air got sent to Europe instead.

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I love cold weather, but I've enjoyed exceptionally low utility bills this winter.

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The only decent thing about the warmer weather was the lower power bill. I hate balmy weather in the winter though. It's warm/hot at least 8 months a year so I at least want the 4 month span from early November to early March to be cold.

The one thing we unfortunately have to watch for in the scenario ball gravy mentions is a more active hurricane season with higher chances of landfalling hurricanes. The Gulf of Mexico is going to be boiling (even more than usual due to the warm winter) by the time we get to hurricane season which is a concern. Hopefully the La Nina rapidly falls apart so we don't have a repeat of last year's spring tornado season followed by the brutally hot summer.

It's not called Global Warming anymore. The term "climate change" is how the government and others attempt to make money.

I don't neccessarily disagree with climate change, but there's nothing humans can do about it. The climate has always been changing. North America used to be covered in ice. The Dark Ages were so called mainly because of the trend towards worse winters.

I also don't think weather is nearly as bad nor unpredictable as most seem to think it is. This isn't the warmest winter we've ever had nor is it the most violent.

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Hurricane Ivan in '04 I think it was

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Correct. Ivan was September of 04' and Katrina was August of 05'.

Ivan royally fricked up the Alabama Gulf Coast, and Florida Gulf Coast. My mother actually drove down to Gulf Shores before they shut down I65 South so she could be with her father in Foley, Alabama.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 = -0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 = -0.6ºC
Niño 3 = -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 = 0.9ºC

Average
-0.175ºC or -0.2ºC

Last Week's ENSO
Niño 4 = -0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 = -1.0ºC
Niño 3 = -0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 = -0.4ºC

Average
-0.725ºC or -0.7ºC

The warming trend is happening as La Nina is fading. Interestingly, Region 1+2 has warmed up considerably and is in El Nino territory.

Most models are now predicting a weak El Nino by July to August. If true, it would be a first time since 2009 to go from La Nina to El Nino. Winters in those years tend to be cold.

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The warming trend is happening as La Nina is fading. Interestingly, Region 1+2 has warmed up considerably and is in El Nino territory.

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Knowing our luck in the Deep South the La Nina will continue to fall apart and we'll flip from a moderate La Nina to a moderate El Nino. Then again, you can still manage some epic winter storms in a strong El Nino. The March 1993 Superstorm
being a good example.

It is encouraging to see it fading so fast. I just wish this would have occured back in October and November so we could have salvaged a decent winter. Oh well, at least the summer heat shouldn't be nearly as bad as it was last year.

Aunite,

"Hurricane Ivan" and hurricane party in Auburn. You may have been a bit too young to remember this but your hurricane party comments remind me of my Auburn friends who were at Auburn in the mid 90s and rode out Hurricane Opal. That was a wild one in October of 1995. Briefly reached Cat 5 status in the middle of the Gulf making a beeline for Pensacola. It weakened to a Cat 3 but was accelerating so rapidly in forward speed (around 30 mph) that it had no time to weaken moving inland. It maintained hurricane strength almost all the way to the Alabama/Tennessee/Georgia line and the eastern eyewall passed over Auburn. My friends in Auburn said they watched tree after tree after tree go down before losing power that night.