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re: SECR 2016 Poll and Discussion #002 Fournette v Chubb

Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:21 pm to
Posted by DBU
Member since Mar 2014
19059 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:21 pm to
Omg frick off with this seriously. Why is this necessary? Both are very good backs that's every team in the country would take as the starter without a second thought.
Posted by Piscinin
the hills
Member since Nov 2015
3561 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:22 pm to
I'm still takin Hurd
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
38296 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

yards are 2 completely different stats. By your logic Derrius Guice was the best back in the SEC last year.


Guice didn't get enough carries for that to be a meaningful stat. Nc and lf did.

Yards per game undoubtedly includes every game such as the 12 you want to cherry pick.
Posted by LewDawg
Member since May 2009
76568 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:27 pm to
I need Chubb to auction off a jersey to help with disaster relief. Fournette is winning the off-field stats for sure
Posted by Tigerpaul1969
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Jan 2010
4566 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:27 pm to
Fournette is better. He didn't get hurt last year. He played every game. Chubb did not. /thread
Posted by MrTwoBits
Member since Oct 2013
657 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:27 pm to
Here are the stats for both in 2014:

LF 2014 Stats:

187 att, 1034 yards (5.5 average)
10 TDs
7 Rec for 127 yards and 0 Tds


NC 2014 Stats:

219 att, 1547 yards (7.1 average)
14 TDs
18 Rec for 213 yards and 2 Tds


Top 5 Rushing games in '14:

LF-
146 - aTm
143- ND
140- UF
122- NMSU
113- OM

NC-
266- UL
202- Ark
170- UK
156- UF
144- AU

In '14 NC also played tougher opponents and dominated the 5 games that both played the same opponent.


In 2015, even before NC got hurt and was performing at a high level, LF was performing at an even higher level. The of course the rest of the year chubb was out. The way I look at it:


14:
NC >>> LF

15 (when both healthy):

LF >> NC

Overall: who knows? When they've both been healthy at the same time (1 season plus about 4 games), Chubb has the nod. There's no real way to disprove that. He has better stats almost across the board and did it against similar competition. As for the infamous "eye test", you have to go with LF. He just LOOKS like he's the best in america. He also will be the MUCH better pro back, IMO. But if we're going simply on stats (when both were healthy) you kinda have to give the nod to chubb.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39358 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Omg frick off with this seriously. Why is this necessary? Both are very good backs that's every team in the country would take as the starter without a second thought.


Please be civil
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
38296 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

better. He didn't get hurt last year. He played every game. Chubb did not. /thread



Irrelevant. Lf never had to play on the crap vol field, so we will never know if he could have walked off that field.
Posted by Piscinin
the hills
Member since Nov 2015
3561 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:32 pm to
Field had 0 to do with Chubbs injury that would have happened in Athebs as well
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
47455 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:32 pm to
Just to put this shite to rest about tougher opponents.

Excluding FCS teams and Tennessee in 2015, for Chubb, here is the average rank of all rushing defenses faced:

Fournette:
2014 - 52.8
2015 - 68.4

Chubb:
2014 - 56.1
2015 - 62.3

This post was edited on 7/14/16 at 1:34 pm
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39358 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:33 pm to
Can you do it with just SEC games now?
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
47455 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Can you do it with just SEC games now?


No.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39358 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:37 pm to
Okay.
Posted by Mansa Musa
Member since Feb 2016
197 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:38 pm to
How do we count the games where LF didn't play either the entire 4th quarter or more than half? Asking Auburn fans specifically.
LINK
quote:

"Derrius Guice benefitted even more than Fournette, who sat out half the third quarter and all of the fourth."

Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
88701 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:40 pm to
Here were there stats against common opponents in 2014. Not sure about 15, since I'm just C&P this from somewhere else.


Lets use all four games vs common opponents...

LF vs UF...27 for 140... 5.2ypc & 2 td's... 0 rec's...

Chubb vs UF... 21 for 156...7.4ypc & 1 td...5 rec's... 59yds & 1 td...


LF vs AU... 10 for 42yds...4.2ypc & 0 td's...0 rec's

Chubb vs AU... 19 for 144... 2 td's...7.6ypc...2 rec's for 48yds...


LF vs UK...15 for 40yds...2.7ypc... 1 td's ... 0 rec's

Chubb vs UK...13 for 170yds...1 td...13.1...0 rec's



LF vs Ark... 5 for 9 yds...1.8ypc 0 td's.. 0 rec's

Chubb vs Ark...30 for 202yds...6.7 ypc...2 td's...1 rec for 8 yds



So... vs 4 common opponents...

LF... 57 for 231yds... 3 td's... 4.1ypc... 0 rec's no TD's....

Chubb...83 for 672yds...6 td's... 8.1ypc...8 rec's for 115yds & 1 td...





So basically, after the clear and irrefutable evidence that NC was far better in '14, it would essentially have taken a full year in '15 of LF being better to even out. Now, I will fully admit that even when chubb was healthy LF was still better last year. Don't see how anyone could argue. But NC only played in like 4 games. I think at this point you can call them even at worst.
Posted by RD Dawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
27837 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Can you do it with just SEC games now?


Why?Chubb faced 5 of the top 26 rushing defenses in the country in '14. Why wouldn't you want to include Clemson (18) and Lousville (14) in rushing defenses?
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
88701 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Why wouldn't you want to include Clemson (18) and Lousville (14) in rushing defenses?


because chubb did well against those teams includign beating the shite out of louisville.

We can't have stats that make chubb look good.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
38296 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Field had 0 to do with Chubbs injury that would have happened in Athebs as well


His cleats wouldn't have stuck quite the same way on a better turf.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
47455 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

because chubb did well against those teams includign beating the shite out of louisville.

We can't have stats that make chubb look good.


He only asked once the overall numbers didn't bear out the way he expected.

Most people already know that the rush defenses in the West are better, overall, than in the East for 2014 and 2015.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
75541 posts
Posted on 7/14/16 at 1:47 pm to
UGA, A&M, and some Bama fans will say Chubb. Everyone else will say Fournette.
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