UK odds to win the SEC tourney is +2500. Our odds to make it to the final four is +900. I agree tho. NCAA tourney is much tougher. Playing teams you haven't seen yet.
I'd say NCAA for the reason the odds of you catching the best team on an off night are a lot better in a no-stakes SEC tourney as opposed to the tournament that determines the ultimate champion.
Case in point, take Ole Miss's game today against Auburn. We might catch a team either ready to play or not caring about it waiting for the Big Dance. If we catch them in the Sweet 16, we know we're getting their best shot.
I imagine it is easier for the top 4 seeds to win 3 games rather than 6, but for the teams that have to play 4 days in a row, or 5 days in a row, that seems tougher. If Texas could pull it off it would be amazing!