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SEC Basketball : Postseason Outlooks (as of games played 1-27-15)
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:03 pm
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:03 pm
RPI numbers are from RPI Live on Warren Nolan
Locks for the Tournament
Texas A&M
17-3 (7-1)
RPI : 13th
SOS : 54th
vs Top 50 : 3-0
vs Top 100 : 9-3
vs 100+ : 8-0
5-3 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 25-6 (15-3), 14th
Kentucky
15-4 (5-2)
RPI : 16th
SOS : 34th
vs Top 50 : 2-0
vs Top 100 : 7-4
vs 100+ : 8-0
4-4 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 23-8 (13-5), 13th
In as of Today
South Carolina
17-2 (5-2)
RPI : 25th
SOS : 150th
vs Top 50 : 0-0
vs Top 100 : 6-2
vs 100+ : 11-0
7-2 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 25-5 (13-5), 35th
Florida
13-7 (5-3)
RPI : 27th
SOS : 12th
vs Top 50 : 1-5
vs Top 100 : 5-7
vs 100+ : 8-0
4-6 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 20-11 (11-7), 21st
On the Bubble
Vanderbilt
12-8 (4-4)
RPI : 59th
SOS : 27th
vs Top 50 : 1-6
vs Top 100 : 6-8
vs 100+ : 6-0
3-6 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 18-13 (9-9), 59th
LSU
13-7 (6-2)
RPI : 80th
SOS : 78th
vs Top 50 : 1-2
vs Top 100 : 6-4
vs 100+ : 7-3
2-6 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 18-13 (11-7), 92nd
A Win Streak Away From the Bubble
Alabama
11-8 (2-5)
RPI : 58th
SOS : 18th
vs Top 50 : 3-4
vs Top 100 : 5-8
vs 100+ : 6-0
4-5 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 17-13 (8-10), 62nd
Georgia
11-7 (4-4)
RPI : 67th
SOS : 24th
vs Top 50 : 0-3
vs Top 100 : 4-7
vs 100+ : 7-0
1-4 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 16-13 (9-9), 78th
Ole Miss
13-7 (3-5)
RPI : 99th
SOS : 129th
vs Top 50 : 0-3
vs Top 100 : 3-5
vs 100+ : 10-2
5-5 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 18-13 (8-10), 143rd
If things finished the way Warren Nolan predicts you would have to think only Texas A&M, Kentucky, South Carolina and Florida would get in. However, I think we all expect LSU to finish better than 18 wins, so if they do what is expected they will have a serious shot as well.
Should be interesting.
Locks for the Tournament
Texas A&M
17-3 (7-1)
RPI : 13th
SOS : 54th
vs Top 50 : 3-0
vs Top 100 : 9-3
vs 100+ : 8-0
5-3 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 25-6 (15-3), 14th
Kentucky
15-4 (5-2)
RPI : 16th
SOS : 34th
vs Top 50 : 2-0
vs Top 100 : 7-4
vs 100+ : 8-0
4-4 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 23-8 (13-5), 13th
In as of Today
South Carolina
17-2 (5-2)
RPI : 25th
SOS : 150th
vs Top 50 : 0-0
vs Top 100 : 6-2
vs 100+ : 11-0
7-2 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 25-5 (13-5), 35th
Florida
13-7 (5-3)
RPI : 27th
SOS : 12th
vs Top 50 : 1-5
vs Top 100 : 5-7
vs 100+ : 8-0
4-6 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 20-11 (11-7), 21st
On the Bubble
Vanderbilt
12-8 (4-4)
RPI : 59th
SOS : 27th
vs Top 50 : 1-6
vs Top 100 : 6-8
vs 100+ : 6-0
3-6 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 18-13 (9-9), 59th
LSU
13-7 (6-2)
RPI : 80th
SOS : 78th
vs Top 50 : 1-2
vs Top 100 : 6-4
vs 100+ : 7-3
2-6 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 18-13 (11-7), 92nd
A Win Streak Away From the Bubble
Alabama
11-8 (2-5)
RPI : 58th
SOS : 18th
vs Top 50 : 3-4
vs Top 100 : 5-8
vs 100+ : 6-0
4-5 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 17-13 (8-10), 62nd
Georgia
11-7 (4-4)
RPI : 67th
SOS : 24th
vs Top 50 : 0-3
vs Top 100 : 4-7
vs 100+ : 7-0
1-4 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 16-13 (9-9), 78th
Ole Miss
13-7 (3-5)
RPI : 99th
SOS : 129th
vs Top 50 : 0-3
vs Top 100 : 3-5
vs 100+ : 10-2
5-5 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 18-13 (8-10), 143rd
If things finished the way Warren Nolan predicts you would have to think only Texas A&M, Kentucky, South Carolina and Florida would get in. However, I think we all expect LSU to finish better than 18 wins, so if they do what is expected they will have a serious shot as well.
Should be interesting.
This post was edited on 1/27/16 at 11:14 pm
7
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:08 pm to Cheeky Fellow
I don't see why there are separate categories for "In contention" and "On the bubble"
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:09 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
"In contention" and "On the bubble"
I dunno, Florida and South Carolina feel like they would have to falter not to get in. The bubble teams feel like they need 2-3 more solid wins before they really are comfortable.
Maybe the difference between a 5-7 seed and being in the Last 4 In games?
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:11 pm to Cheeky Fellow
quote:I agree. The NIT is a real possibility for this club. Best case scenario is 1-4 over their next five. Let's see how they respond to a little adversity
In Contention
South Carolina
17-2 (5-2)
RPI : 25th
SOS : 150th
vs Top 50 : 0-0
vs Top 100 : 6-2
vs 100+ : 11-0
7-2 away from home
WN Projected Record & RPI : 25-5 (13-5), 35th
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:11 pm to Cheeky Fellow
South Carolina and Florida are in the tournament, as of now.
Maybe they should be in the "In the tournament" category.
Maybe they should be in the "In the tournament" category.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:11 pm to Cheeky Fellow
If we beat Oklahoma this will look a lot different for us
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:12 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
Maybe they should be in the "In the tournament" category.
I guess they aren't locks yet. I'd consider Kentucky and A&M locks.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:12 pm to LSUNV
quote:
If we beat Oklahoma this will look a lot different for us
Yep. LSU should rise over the next month regardless of the result of the OU game.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:13 pm to LSUNV
LSU will get in. They'll have to completely shite the bed in order for the committee to leave them off. Everyone wants to see the superstar in the tournament
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:15 pm to Dustin Johnson
LSU is going to have one of those funky profiles that has a bunch of solid wins along with 3 ugly losses.
However, as long as they don't lose another headscratcher or two, you have to think the solid wins down the stretch, the phenom player and playing better late (plus a Top 1/3 finish in the league) will put them in the 7-10 seed area assuming they finish 20-11 or something.
However, as long as they don't lose another headscratcher or two, you have to think the solid wins down the stretch, the phenom player and playing better late (plus a Top 1/3 finish in the league) will put them in the 7-10 seed area assuming they finish 20-11 or something.
This post was edited on 1/27/16 at 11:16 pm
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:17 pm to Cheeky Fellow
If you put a gun to my head today I'd say
NCAA Tournament
Texas A&M
Kentucky
Florida
South Carolina
LSU
NIT
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Ole Miss
NCAA Tournament
Texas A&M
Kentucky
Florida
South Carolina
LSU
NIT
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Ole Miss
This post was edited on 1/27/16 at 11:18 pm
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:18 pm to Cheeky Fellow
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:23 pm to Cheeky Fellow
At 2-5, I wouldn't say Alabama is a win away from the bubble.
Alabama shouldn't be considered for the Tournament until Bama can get to a MINIMUM of .500 in league play.
Alabama shouldn't be considered for the Tournament until Bama can get to a MINIMUM of .500 in league play.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:24 pm to East Coast Band
"If you win 3, that's called a winning streak. It has happened before."
Streak, not single win
Streak, not single win
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:25 pm to LSUNV
quote:well no shite, but considering your coach it won't happen.
If we beat Oklahoma this will look a lot different for us
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:26 pm to Cheeky Fellow
quote:
NIT
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Ole Miss
add Arkansas, thanks
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:28 pm to Cheeky Fellow
quote:
South Carolina
vs Top 100 : 6-2
quote:
Florida
vs Top 100 : 5-7
Interesting. Take away the Top 50 teams that's the same amount of losses to Top 100 with 2 less wins.
By the way, I would be thrilled if we only lost 3 more games, I think it's a bit more unfortunately.
This post was edited on 1/27/16 at 11:29 pm
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:31 pm to TT9
quote:
well no shite, but considering your coach it won't happen.
You've said that a few things won't happen for LSU this season because of their coach, so.
I look forward to you being wrong again.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:38 pm to BayouBengals03
He's a disaster, Mark Gottfied 2.0.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 11:43 pm to Cheeky Fellow
quote:
LSU is going to have one of those funky profiles that has a bunch of solid wins along with 3 ugly losses.
Good wins count a lot more than bad losses.
LSU has 3 bad losses, and 2 mediocre losses. I say bad losses, but we haven't lost to a team outside of the top 150 RPI, so they're not THAT terrible.
Two of the bad losses came without two starters (and three of our top 7 players). The committee will account for that.
LSU is 10th in the nation in conference RPI, which shows you what they really are when they have everyone healthy. LSU will have to collapse to not make the NCAA Tournament, IMO.
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