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re: Round 2: LSU OM
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:06 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:06 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
you fail to see the big picture. I’m tired of spoon feeding people but what are ole Miss big wins outside of LSU if they finish 9-3 and Tennessee Texas also finish 9-3? It’s not just a 2 team tiebreaker
•LSU will have beat Texas and Tennessee
•Texas will have beaten Tennessee Ole Miss and Ohio State
•Tennessee will have beaten Kentucky and Alabama
•Ole Miss will have beaten LSU, ???? (4-loss Mizzou, OU????)
Now rank those 9-3 teams in order. I have a strong feeling how the committee would rank them with lsu coming off back to back wins over those teams and Ole Miss is probably at the very bottom of that totem pole
If LSU and Ole Miss win out, giving Tennessee and Texas an additional loss and making all 9-3, here's what the ESPN predictor says:
Texas - 82%
LSU - 73%
Tennessee - 52%
Ole Miss - 51%
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:10 pm to SidewalkTiger
Yes that’s fair, Ole Miss comes in at the bottom of the tiebreaker as I suspect. It will be tough between lsu and Texas. Depends on the MOV but Texas does have 3 big wins to what would be LSUs 2. LSU would have the “recency bias” of who is playing best right now coming off a win against Texas and on the road against Tennessee in that scenario though where both those teams would be ranked #6 when we played them.
I don’t think we win out but if we do that 73% chance to make the playoff seems modest
I don’t think we win out but if we do that 73% chance to make the playoff seems modest
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:12 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
LSU really needs Tennessee to win this weekend at A&M. Vegas predicts that to be a close game.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:14 pm to MilkJug
quote:
You're melting because LSU would be favored over OM in a rematch.
LSU was a three point favorite in the first game.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:14 pm to SidewalkTiger
Models say that is one of the most important outside games for LSU. We do need Tennessee to finish 9-3 with us also finishing 9-3. Tennessee’s big win over Bama would be the buffer we need to be ranked ahead of Tennessee with most the other 3-loss teams such as ole Miss and probably Kentucky ranked behind them
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:15 pm to SidewalkTiger
Yeah not even a chance.
But whatever.
But whatever.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:26 pm to NickPapageorgio
quote:
Yeah not even a chance.
But whatever.
You've played a tougher schedule and already have H2H yet you're only two spots ahead of LSU now.
If you don't think LSU beating two top 10 teams will put them ahead of you, while you play no one, then you have no understanding of how this actually works.
But again, it's all hypotheticals for now. We may all have more losing to do.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:37 pm to SidewalkTiger
Itd end up as in the same pod.
H2H would determine it.
H2H would determine it.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:45 pm to NickPapageorgio
quote:
Itd end up as in the same pod.
H2H would determine it.
Let's say all of this happens and you're right. Texas would have the H2H on you and LSU would have the H2H on them.
More likely, you'd see LSU and Texas in the same pod, and Ole Miss in the pod below with Tennessee. The CFP predictor seems to believe this too.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:45 pm to BurnsideStyle
I think Ole Miss, but LSU is in the playoffs if we win out. Ole Miss is officially out the playoffs.
We are still playing for something at least.
We are still playing for something at least.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 1:01 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
The 9-3 teams aren't making it.
It is all moot.
Both LSU and Ole Miss will not win out. At least one, maybe both, will drop a game.
Politics will put Ole Miss in front IF both won out.
You are the one failing to see the big picture my friend.
It is all moot.
Both LSU and Ole Miss will not win out. At least one, maybe both, will drop a game.
Politics will put Ole Miss in front IF both won out.
You are the one failing to see the big picture my friend.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 1:10 pm to NickPapageorgio
quote:
Politics will put Ole Miss in front IF both won out.
You are the one failing to see the big picture my friend.
I'm interested to hear this one.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 1:25 pm to SidewalkTiger
Politics.
The SEC offices don't like Lane.
H2H is the excuse they use.
The SEC offices don't like Lane.
H2H is the excuse they use.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 1:32 pm to NickPapageorgio
quote:
Politics.
The SEC offices don't like Lane.
H2H is the excuse they use.
The office doesn't pick the playoff teams. And LSU would bring more $ and eyeballs than Ole Miss anyway.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 1:34 pm to SidewalkTiger
The SEC offices will definitely influence which 9-3 goes if a pile of teams end up there.
You are a fool to believe otherwise.
You are a fool to believe otherwise.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 1:35 pm to BurnsideStyle
quote:
Who finishes higher?
who cares? Maybe OM fans will flaunt "we finished 16th" but as an LSU fan I only care if we make the playoffs.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 1:45 pm to NickPapageorgio
quote:
The SEC offices will definitely influence which 9-3 goes if a pile of teams end up there.
You are a fool to believe otherwise.
Perhaps.
But if there is a 4-way tie at 9-3, it's pretty clear Ole Miss will be at the bottom of that heap.
Posted on 11/11/26 at 1:49 pm to SidewalkTiger
The most likely outcome is they find a way to keep Texas as several spots elevated to avoid the H2H.....so they go due to $.
After that maybe it is LSU/UT/UM in that order at 14 15 16.
More likely to be UM/LSU/UT as that would keep H2H in order between them.
After that maybe it is LSU/UT/UM in that order at 14 15 16.
More likely to be UM/LSU/UT as that would keep H2H in order between them.
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