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Pre-National Title Game S&P+ Rankings

Posted on 1/3/17 at 8:59 am
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 8:59 am
OVERALL
1. Alabama
4. LSU
13. Auburn
15. Florida
24. Texas A&M
27. Ole Miss
28. Tennessee
47. Arkansas
55. Mississippi State
67. Kentucky
68. Georgia
69. Missouri
71. Vanderbilt
78. South Carolina


OFFENSE
9. Alabama
13. Ole Miss
22. LSU
28. Tennessee
29. Texas A&M
31. Auburn
32. Mississippi State
39. Arkansas
42. Missouri
52. Kentucky
88. Florida
89. Vanderbilt
93. Georgia
107. South Carolina

DEFENSE
1. Alabama
3. LSU
4. Florida
9. Auburn
34. Georgia
36. Texas A&M
40. Vanderbilt
50. South Carolina
52. Tennessee
63. Arkansas
72. Ole Miss
73. Mississippi State
83. Kentucky
88. Missouri
Posted by TigerFan4040
Member since Sep 2013
4390 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:05 am to
Posted by craigbiggio
Member since Dec 2009
31805 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:07 am to
We're second best!
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:37 am to
quote:

We're a distant second best!


FIFY
Posted by Clockwatcher68
Youngsville
Member since May 2006
7574 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:47 am to
Looks like the booger-eaters are on top again.
Posted by UMRealist
Member since Feb 2013
35906 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:47 am to
ole miss
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
89424 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:52 am to
quote:

67. Kentucky
68. Georgia


we have a better record than UK and beat them head to head in lexington...what justification could their possibly be for them to be higher?

Not that the "S&P+ rankings" mean a damn thing anyway
Posted by reggieray420
Member since Dec 2016
2700 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:52 am to
On your marks

Get setttttt..

Get butt hurt about LSU!!!
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:56 am to
- Georgia beat Kentucky on a field goal at the buzzer
- both teams had similar records
- Kentucky had a decent offense (52nd) and a bad defense (83rd)
- Georgia had a decent defense (34th) and a bad offense (93rd)

Basically it thinks if Kentucky and Georgia played again, today, on neutral field it would be a toss up. I think Georgia would probably be a slight favorite, but not more than 3-5 points.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
89424 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 9:59 am to
quote:

Georgia beat Kentucky on a field goal at the buzzer


correct

quote:

both teams had similar records


umm...they had "similar" records in the fact they won more than 5 but less than 10 but they did not has the "same" record...because UGA had more wins and less losses

quote:

Kentucky had a decent offense (52nd) and a bad defense (83rd)
- Georgia had a decent defense (34th) and a bad offense (93rd)


irrelevant when it comes to ranking teams. GT runs for like 350+ yards a game every year but that isn't automatic grounds to rank them really high.

quote:

Basically it thinks if Kentucky and Georgia played again, today, on neutral field it would be a toss up


so whatever this S&P system is just ignores actual results where we can see who would win if the teams played?

I mean I'm not pissed off or anythign about being ranked 68th instead of 67th according to this thing, I just don't see how it would be calibrated to give us these results.
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 10:02 am to
quote:

so whatever this S&P system is just ignores actual results where we can see who would win if the teams played?


It has an "S&P+ Margin", which is basically how much better than the average team (which is 0.0) you are. Then that Margin is ranked.

It's what is used to put together the S&P picks, which have been more accurate than anything else I've seen all season.

It isn't going to tell you whether two really close teams will win or lose, but it is pretty good at figuring out tiers of teams, and the S&P margin almost always mirrors the point spread when site of game, injuries, etc are stripped out.
Posted by chawk195
Spartanburg, SC
Member since Feb 2015
1174 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 10:18 am to
Why is SC at the bottom of the league overall? That makes no freaking sense
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 10:21 am to
quote:

Why is SC at the bottom of the league overall? That makes no freaking sense


Because they weren't very good? It makes total sense.

Wins : Vanderbilt, East Carolina, UMass, Tennessee, Missouri, Western Carolina

Losses : Miss St, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Georgia, Florida, Clemson, South Florida

My eye test would rank them either 12th or 13th, ahead of Missouri and basically tied with Vanderbilt. Where exactly would you rank them?
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
71492 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 10:25 am to
quote:

we have a better record than UK and beat them head to head in lexington...what justification could their possibly be for them to be higher?



S&P+ are advanced stats, takes almost anything you can think of into account mathematically.

LINK

It's a good way of looking at how good teams actually are beyond just a simple W/L record. How they played throughout the whole season against different opponents.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28553 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 10:32 am to
Now do 1st half rankings and 2nd half rankings
Posted by chawk195
Spartanburg, SC
Member since Feb 2015
1174 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 10:47 am to
I'd say 12th in the SEC this year. We improved a ton near the end of the season, especially offensively.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
76742 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 10:50 am to
Which defense other than Bama's was better than LSU's?
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/3/17 at 11:16 am to
quote:

Which defense other than Bama's was better than LSU's?


Michigan

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