re: Looking at the schedule, TCU will likely drop a game and so will Oregon

quote:

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PAC 12 has 3 teams at 8-1, people forget UCLA's only loss is on the road at Oregon. All 3 of those have serious tests left, but there are also 3 of them. Only 1 has to finish with 1-loss to hurt Tennessee's chances.

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Only possible for one of them to finish one loss since UCLA/USC play and then somebody plays Oregon/Utah winner (likely). Utah also has one conf loss ( and a Florida loss) and can once again screw the entire conference.

rn, I think UGA beats LSU, Tenner wins out, OSU beats Mich, TCU loses once. Not sure yet on the ACC or P12, which leaves us with...

#1 Georgia (13-0, SEC Champs)
#2 Ohio St (13-0, B10 Champs)

and then potentially...
1-loss Tennessee
1-loss Michigan
1-loss TCU (B12 Champs?)
1-loss Ole Miss (IF they beat Bama, Arky, MSU)
1-loss Clemson/N Carolina (winner of the ACC)
1-loss USC (IF they win out and Utah beats UO) OR 1-loss P12 UCLA/Oregon (IF either win out)

In this scenario, I do think TCU and the P12 champ get in, but if USC is the 1-loss team left from the P12, then you're comparing resumes with...
Tennessee (wins over LSU, Bama, Florida, Kentucky, loss to #1 UGA)
Michigan (wins over Penn St and Illinois, loss to #2 OSU)
USC (wins over UCLA, ND, and Oregon St, loss to Utah)
Ole Miss (wins over Bama, Kentucky, MSU, loss to LSU)
Clemson (wins over NCSU, Wake, Cuse, potentially NC, loss to ND)
I think Tennessee has the best resume of those 5 pretty clearly and would get the 4th spot