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re: Georgia favored by 6.5 vs tOSU in Atlanta

Posted on 12/16/22 at 10:44 am to
Posted by LSUstephen17
Houston
Member since Aug 2010
13112 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 10:44 am to
I’ll give up 6.5 allllll day
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2710 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

I’d take Georgia if I had money on the game. However I can tell lots of folks in this thread haven’t seen OSU play much and didn’t watch the Michigan game. I agree that if we had Jsn it’d be a completely different game. However if we had him all season we’d be a completely different team. Personally, I’m glad that we made the playoffs for obvious reasons but also because it accelerates the clock on Ryan day. Either he wins or is at least competitive or we are that much closer to cutting bait. As someone earlier in the thread mentioned - you can’t get blown out at home that badly by Michigan. For the second year in a row….


One of the only reasonable takes I’ve seen from the Big10 community. I applaud you.

I’ve watched Ohio state. The one thing I will say is UGA hasn’t played anyone this season with even remotely the same level of talent as them. Ohio State has recruited at their level. If Georgia doesn’t show up and play well they will lose.

That being said, it’s hard to see a clear path to victory for OSU. You really need to be able to run the ball to some degree to keep UGA honest. Tennessee couldn’t and it drastically impacted their passing off play action and gave up 6 sacks. Can Ohio State run on Georgia? If they can’t - this is a 2 TD + victory for the UGA. If they can - it’s anyone’s game.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25594 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

I’ve watched Ohio state. The one thing I will say is UGA hasn’t played anyone this season with even remotely the same level of talent as them. Ohio State has recruited at their level. If Georgia doesn’t show up and play well they will lose.

I think Georgia has a big coaching advantage.

It showed up against Oregon and LSU (pretty talented teams by the composite).
It also showed up against Tennessee.

From watching film against Ohio State, it looks to me like they have to "cheat" the box too much to stuff the run and will be exposed defensively.

Offensively (as you stated) if they can't run the football effectively, it could be a very long day for the buckeyes
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2710 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

It showed up against Oregon and LSU (pretty talented teams by the composite). It also showed up against Tennessee.


A fair point but none of those teams listed have the talent and depth Ohio State has. Ohio state, Georgia, and Alabama are the only teams that have recruited in the nuclear levels the last 4 years. And honestly it’s a sizable gap between them and everyone else.

I personally don’t believe OSU wins but there probably isn’t a team that matches up with Georgia pound for pound in terms of individual talent than Ohio State does. UGA can 13 out of 14 games in a season rely on its superior talent alone. This is one of the only games they can’t.
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35521 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 1:57 pm to
I'd feel better if I thought the #1 and #2 running backs are going to play. #1 isn't for sure and I'm not sure about #2. I do agree that the key is having a semblence of a running game or at least requiring Georgia to spy Stroud but he just isn't going to run even if it is to take enough yards that are readily available to get a first down. It just isn't in his DNA. MHJR is going to have to have a monster day to afford Ohio State a solid shot at winning.
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2710 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

MHJR is going to have to have a monster day to afford Ohio State a solid shot at winning.


Dude is gonna get his. UGA has a solid secondary but MH Jr is a top 15 pick IMO. No one on that defense can totally slow him down.

Really comes down to run game. If OSU doesn’t have one then UGA is going to tee off on Stroud.
Posted by immobileman
nowhere in particular
Member since Nov 2014
1852 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:09 pm to
Do we post on your boards, if you have them, no. Why come here, talk shite and then go missing for another year? Rinse, repeat. I’m glad your proud of your team but go beat your chest with your blues brothers. We don’t need you here.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25594 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

fair point but none of those teams listed have the talent and depth Ohio State has. Ohio state, Georgia, and Alabama are the only teams that have recruited in the nuclear levels the last 4 years. And honestly it’s a sizable gap between them and everyone else.

I personally don’t believe OSU wins but there probably isn’t a team that matches up with Georgia pound for pound in terms of individual talent than Ohio State does. UGA can 13 out of 14 games in a season rely on its superior talent alone. This is one of the only games they can’t.

My point is that the Ohio state coaching staff uses crutches to play well.

And a team that needs a crutch to play good football gets that crutch knocked out from underneath by Georgia.

It is actually very similar to playing a Grantham led defense (that tries to control the line of scrimmage and opposing run game with numbers).
It may look familiar to you on new years eve.
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2710 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

And a team that needs a crutch to play good football gets that crutch knocked out from underneath by Georgia.


I think UGA wins by 2 scores but would be shocked if they win by the blowout you seem to be insinuating at but don’t have the notion to clearly state in good faith.
Posted by michaeldwde
N.C.
Member since Nov 2010
3186 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:38 pm to
Georgia got the shite end of this seeding, if you ask me. Should have been 1. UGA, 2. Michigan, 3. OSU, 4. TCU

I feel like tosu is one of the few teams equipped to give UGA a run for their money. Michigan did expose them, but tosu is a scary 4 seed.

Don't tell their conceited arse fans I said it. Their fricking heads are big enough as it is ..
Posted by CasualFan12
Member since Nov 2022
384 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:40 pm to
Ohio State has elite playmakers on the offense. They’re very dangerous because of that. UGA has a big advantage in the box on both sides of the LOS.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25594 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:40 pm to
quote:



I think UGA wins by 2 scores but would be shocked if they win by the blowout you seem to be insinuating at but don’t have the notion to clearly state in good faith


I have more faith that our offense will reach 40 than I have faith that our defense will keep them under 20 (if that makes sense).
I don't see them putting up 30 points.

I don't get caught up in "blowout" or other terminology. I don't think they can keep our offense from scoring.
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2710 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

feel like tosu is one of the few teams equipped to give UGA a run for their money. Michigan did expose them, but tosu is a scary 4 seed. Don't tell their conceited arse fans I said it. Their fricking heads are big enough as it is ..


By the same notion tho… if they beat OSU they win the natty imo.

Michigan can’t line up and play their down hill run game to set up play action against UGA. They’ll have to abandon the run just like they did last season and rely on the QB to win. And he isn’t going to beat UGA. Michigan’s retard fans don’t properly understand the game and believe bc they push around Indiana and Wisconsin they’re going to do the same thing to UGA. Not happening. They matchup horribly with them.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25594 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

Georgia got the shite end of this seeding, if you ask me. Should have been 1. UGA, 2. Michigan, 3. OSU, 4. TCU

I feel like tosu is one of the few teams equipped to give UGA a run for their money. Michigan did expose them, but tosu is a scary 4 seed.

Don't tell their conceited arse fans I said it. Their fricking heads are big enough as it is ..


It works out to our favor.

Month to prepare.
In Atlanta.
Indoors.

I get what you are saying.
But it couldn't have worked out better for UGA to face Ohio.

The only part that bothers me is we got McConkey and McClendon nic'd up in the conference championship game while Ohio players were in their hot tubs getting treatment all week.
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2710 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

I don't think they can keep our offense from scoring.


I agree with that. Even if UGA doesn’t bring it’s A+ game on offense - I find it hard to fathom they don’t put at least 30 on OSU.
Posted by escatawpabuckeye
Member since Jan 2013
956 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

I think Georgia has a big coaching advantage.


Couldn’t agree more here. I think the longer time goes on from the end of the Meyer era it is clear that the hard biting culture of toughness and competition has eroded. Day is a nicer guy and is well liked by the players and staff but former players have definitely commented on the softer, gentler version of Ohio state football.

It really shows up in the big lack of mental toughness against Michigan. They folded up like a cheap tent when Michigan punched them in the face. Day coaches scared
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25594 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 2:50 pm to
quote:


I agree with that. Even if UGA doesn’t bring it’s A+ game on offense - I find it hard to fathom they don’t put at least 30 on OSU.


Red zone could be our jekyll and Hyde. Is it going to be 3 points or 7? If we get a bunch of 3s, we will more likely be near that 24-30 spot.
I just think Monken has been saving Darnell Washington and Bowers in the redzone for the playoffs. We get AD Mitchell back so we should have a true X receiver for the post season.
We had the half back pass against Michigan last season. Philly special last game. We are going all out for the endzone in the playoffs.
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2710 posts
Posted on 12/16/22 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

Ohio State has elite playmakers on the offense. They’re very dangerous because of that. UGA has a big advantage in the box on both sides of the LOS.


Agreed but the more I look at it the more I like UGA’s offense to score a shite ton of points. If UGA has the run game lubed up they will score 40+ And I just don’t see Ohio State scoring 40 on Georgia.
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