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re: College Football Rankings - SoG+ ---- Rankings, Week 4 score projections (updated 9-17)

Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:32 pm to
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28479 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:32 pm to
quote:


If LSU only beats UCLA by 6 we have serious problems


I wouldn't worry about that. LSU is going to stomp the Bruins.

SOG, what would your model say if you matched up the Rebs and LSU right now?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

I wouldn't worry about that. LSU is going to stomp the Bruins.


100% agree - clear case of data not catching up yet. UCLA is awful.

quote:

SOG, what would your model say if you matched up the Rebs and LSU right now?


(assuming the game in Death Valley like it is this year)

Ole Miss - 42
LSU - 27
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28479 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

(assuming the game in Death Valley like it is this year)

Ole Miss - 42
LSU - 27


Interdasting.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

Interdasting.


Ole Miss - 27
Georgia - 27

Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28479 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:40 pm to
Don't give me hope, SOG.

We'll have our hands full in Death Valley. Hell, we'll have our hands full with the Cocks the weekend before that (SWDT?).
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

Hell, we'll have our hands full with the Cocks the weekend before that (SWDT?).


Posted by ApisMellifera
SWLA
Member since Apr 2023
733 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

(glad to hear you did)


College football + Excel didn't leave me much of a choice

quote:

I might go in and upload the sheets at some point for stuff like that, though.


Let me know if you do.
Posted by ApisMellifera
SWLA
Member since Apr 2023
733 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

(assuming the game in Death Valley like it is this year)

Ole Miss - 42
LSU - 27


I remember there being an adjustment for home vs away.

Is there anything like that for a team coming off a bye week vs a team that hasn't had one yet or is that getting lost in the weeds too much?
Posted by phaz
Waddell, AZ
Member since Jan 2009
6551 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

Michigan 31 - USC 25 (don't trust this one at all)



quote:


Michigan St 23 - Boston College 22


I could see Michigan over USC before I could see Boston College losing to Michigan State. That QB of BC is so dynamic, that is going to be a good win for Missouri
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19727 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

Ole Miss - 27
Georgia - 27

Yeah, so check this out..

ESPN Analytics gives Alabama a 67% chance to beat Georgia.

Link: Georgia @ Alabama Analytics per ESPN

Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:24 pm to
Slight update based on tweaks to formulas and adding in 2 new drive metrics.
Posted by ApisMellifera
SWLA
Member since Apr 2023
733 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:51 pm to
From the little bit that I made note of, seems like your model did pretty good this weekend.
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