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COVID-19 Hot Spots

Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:15 pm
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:15 pm
Currently it appears there are 9 major Hot Spots in the US for COVID-19.

All total, these Hot Spots represent just 19.8% of the Total US Population, yet they account for 59.5% of the total COVID-19 fatalities. Each of these hot spots represent a contiguous geographic area.

The criteria for a hot spot is a total population of at least 2 million people. It must be geographically contiguous. And it must have a death rate of at least 19.0 per 1 million people.

Here are the 9 Hot Spots ranked by Total Fatalities per 1 Million people:

1. SOUTH LOUISIANA
TOTAL FATALITIES: 271
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 115.0
This hot spot has so far been the deadliest on a per capita basis. This area includes the metropolitan areas of New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Houma, and Bogalusa.

2. EASTERN MICHIGAN
TOTAL FATALITIES: 392
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 76.8
This area includes the metro areas of Detroit, Flint, and Ann Arbor

3. THE NORTHEAST:
TOTAL FATALITIES: 2,795
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 72.9
This is by far the largest geographic hot spot. It includes the metropolitan areas of Philadelphia, Allentown, and East Stroudsbourg, Pennsylvania.... Trenton, New Jersey.... New York City and Poughkeepsie, New York... Bridgeport, New Haven, and Hartford, Connecticut... Boston, Worcester, Springfield, and Pittsfield, Massachusetts, and the entire state of Vermont.

4. CENTRAL WASHINGTON
TOTAL FATALITIES: 267
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 55.2
This was the first hot spot in the USA. This area makes up the metro areas of Seattle, Mt. Vernon, Bellingham, Yakima, and Kennewick.

5. CENTRAL INDIANA
TOTAL FATALITIES: 61
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 28.2
This are occupies the metropolitan areas of Indianapolis, Bedford, Seymour, and Greensburg.

7. CENTRAL GEORGIA
TOTAL FATALITIES: 139
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 21.2
This are includes the metropolitan areas of Atlanta, Macon, Warner-Robbins, Albany, Cordele, and also Dooly County.

8. SAN JOSE, CALIFORNIA
TOTAL FATALITIES: 38
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 19.0
Metro San Jose is barely a hot spot. If the rate of fatalities slows even just a bit, it might be taken off the list. But for now, it seems to be the epicenter for the state of California.

9. CENTRAL COLORADO
TOTAL FATALITIES: 84
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 19.0
This area is also a borderline hot spot. It occupies the metropolitan areas of Denver, Colorado Springs, Breckenridge, Edwards, Fort Collins, and Greeley.


**All of these hot spots are averaging at least 19 fatalities per 1 million people, which is about double the rate of death in areas not listed above.

**Currently these hot spots combine for an average fatality rate of 61.5 per 1 million people.

**The rest of the country is now averaging 9.9 deaths per 1 million people... over 6x fewer.

Other areas of concern at the moment:

LAS VEGAS & NORTHERN ARIZONA: The metros of Las Vegas, Lake Havasu, and Flagstaff have a current fatality rate of 18.2 per 1 million

LAKE MICHIGAN: The metros of Chicago, Milwaukee, Racine, and Kankakee County, IL have a current fatality rate of 16.3 per 1 million.

WESTERN NEW YORK: The metros of Buffalo, Rochester, and Batavia have a current fatality rate of 13.7 per 1 million.

NORTHWEST OHIO: The metros of Cleveland, Akron, and Youngstown have a current fatality rate of 13.3 per 1 million.

SOUTH FLORIDA: The metros of Miami and Key West have a current fatality rate of 10.4 per 1 Million.
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 2:18 pm
Posted by Hailstate15
ForeverGator's mom's
Member since Nov 2018
21466 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:26 pm to
Mississippi is apparently going to shite as well. Haven’t checked the numbers but it’s either that or our governor is overreacting
Posted by thatguy45
Your alter's mom's basement
Member since Sep 2017
18890 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

5. CENTRAL INDIANA
TOTAL FATALITIES: 61
DEATHS PER 1 MILLION: 28.2
This are occupies the metropolitan areas of Indianapolis, Bedford, Seymour, and Greensburg.



Not trying to bash your thread (you got alotta info, its pretty good) but Seymour is not Central Indiana, its in the Southern part of the state in Jackson County.
Said county has 25 cases and 0 deaths to Marion county's (the county that holds Indianapolis) 1,429 cases and 33 dead. Seymour is not a big place so its not surprising.
Also as would be expected some of the counties around Marion have an uptick as well (Hamilton, Hendricks, and Johnson all at over 100). Lake County (home to the infamous town of Gary) has far more than Jackson as one would expect since it is by Chicago

Here is map of # of infections by county in the state. Stay safe and healthy all


sauce of map is Indiana state gov: https://coronavirus.in.gov/
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 3:09 pm
Posted by Arksulli
Fayetteville
Member since Aug 2014
25196 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Mississippi is apparently going to shite as well. Haven’t checked the numbers but it’s either that or our governor is overreacting




It might be, and I don't know the guy, that he looks at the Mississippi health care system and realizes y'all are well and truly hosed if the virus gets going there.

I'm not knocking y'all by the way. If the virus gets going in Arkansas we are in deep dung as well.

My concern, and this is a dead horse I'll keep beating on, is that Eastern Arkansas and Northern Mississippi are almost utterly dependent on Memphis for serious health care. Eastern Arkansas wouldn't be a huge concern... except my arse lives there... because its population is small and getting smaller every year. But Northern Mississippi is growing like a weed and with Memphis just an hour or so up the road they haven't had to build a big medical infrastructure.

If Memphis gets overwhelmed a lot of people, not just COVID patients, are going to die.
Posted by thatguy45
Your alter's mom's basement
Member since Sep 2017
18890 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

Mississippi is apparently going to shite as well

Heres numbers from your state gov
LINK

Most infected county seems to be Hinds with 139 cases. Whole state has 29 dead from it. So you arent New York or California levels or anything like that but, number could change quick in a couple weeks, we'll see how much spreading it does which is why your governor im sure is freaking out.

If it makes you feel better, your whole state has fewer confirmed infected than Indianapolis at this point but, then thats also related to number tested too so who knows
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 3:34 pm
Posted by I Bleed Garnet
Cullman, AL
Member since Jul 2011
54846 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 3:25 pm to
I have been in awe of how this city has been during this
I expected a lot worse, and the way everyone has come together during this time (although this city has always been together/friendly etc) to help (whether it be donating, service, just listening to the rules etc) has been an amazing sight to see
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Mississippi is apparently going to shite as well. Haven’t checked the numbers but it’s either that or our governor is overreacting


Mississippi has 20 total fatalities which equates to 9.7 per 1 Million people.... that ranks 17th out of 51 states (including DC).

Not great, but not necessarily a hot spot... especially since the fatalities seem to be fairly spread out across the state.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

Not trying to bash your thread (you got alotta info, its pretty good) but Seymour is not Central Indiana


Yes, but the entire geographic area referenced as that particular hot spot stretches from Lawrence County (in the South) and up all the way to Madison County (Northern Indianapolis suburbs). The entire area as a whole could very well be described as Central Indiana. You certainly wouldn't call the Northern Suburbs of Indy "Southern Indiana".

quote:

Lake County (home to the infamous town of Gary) has far more than Jackson as one would expect since it is by Chicago


Yes, it would be counted along with the Chicago area. While that area up around Lake Michigan has a high number of fatalities, it doesn't have as many per capita as the Central Indiana area described earlier.
Posted by thatguy45
Your alter's mom's basement
Member since Sep 2017
18890 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 5:30 pm to
I get what youre saying. You consider seymour's and bedford's counties close enough to be a part of the same hotspot as Indianapolis.

My point was they reside in different regions of the state (a line determined by glacial activity/lack there of) so they should not be considered the same hotspot, just like I would not consider Lake county part of Central Indiana's hotspot. Im sure you would not consider Savannah as part of an Atlanta zone.

But then as IBG would say, Indiana and the rest of the middle of the US is all one big stretch of nowhere so who cares.
Posted by scionofadrunk
Williamson County, TN
Member since Mar 2020
1961 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 6:41 pm to
Nashville metro is becoming a hotspot
Posted by wadewilson
Member since Sep 2009
36552 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

Mississippi has 20 total fatalities which equates to 9.7 per 1 Million people.... that ranks 17th out of 51 states (including DC).

Not great, but not necessarily a hot spot... especially since the fatalities seem to be fairly spread out across the state.


Frankly, I'd feel better if we closed the interstate off at the Louisiana state line.
Posted by I Bleed Garnet
Cullman, AL
Member since Jul 2011
54846 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:44 pm to
quote:

But then as IBG would say, Indiana and the rest of the middle of the US is all one big stretch of nowhere so who cares.


Not me that just says that baw
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 3:56 pm to
It's been several days since I updated this list, but still there are multiple hot spots that continue to account for the vast majority of the COVID-19 fatalities.

San Jose, CA seems to have cooled off just a bit, so it has fallen off the list.... however things have heated up around the Chicago/Milwaukee Great Lakes Region, so it has replaced it on the list. Also, some of these areas have grown slightly to encompass more surrounding counties.

Here are the current 8 COVID-19 Hot Spots ranked in order of deaths per 1 Million people.

1. SOUTH LOUISIANA
Total Fatalities: 516
Deaths per 1 Million: 176.1
This area now includes New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Lafayette, Houma, Opelousas, and Bogalusa. In terms of fatality rate, this is by far the worst hit area in the USA.

2. THE NORTHEAST
Total Fatalities: 5,801
Deaths per 1 Million: 149.7
This is by far the largest geographic area as well as the most populated of the Hot Spot regions.... a total of 38.7 million people live in this area. It includes the metros of Philadelphia, Allentown, & East Stroudsburg, PA... Trenton, NJ... New York City and Poughkeepsie, NY... Bridgeport, New Haven, Hartford, and Torrington, CT... Boston, Worcester, Springfield, Pittsfield, and Barnstable, MA... and all of Vermont.

3. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Total Fatalities: 675
Deaths per 1 Million: 132.2
This area includes Detroit, Flint, and Ann Arbor

4. CENTRAL WASHINGTON
Total Fatalities: 346
Deaths per 1 Million: 71.5
This area includes Seattle, Mt. Vernon, Bellingham, Yakima, and Kennewich

5. CENTRAL INDIANA
Total Fatalities: 98
Deaths per 1 Million: 45.3
This area includes metro Indiapolis and the counties just to the South... the Bedford, Seymour, and Greensburg areas

6. CENTRAL GEORGIA
Total Fatalities: 264
Deaths per 1 Million: 37.9
This area includes Atlanta, Athens, Rome, Calhoun, Macon, Warner Robbins, Albany, Americus, Cordele, and Dooly County. The Albany area has been especially hard hit, with a total of 80 fatalities. That's 5.2 out of every 10,000 people.

7. GREAT LAKES
Total Fatalities: 366
Deaths per 1 Million: 32.2
This area includes Chicago, Racine, Milwaukee, and Kankakee County, IL.

8. CENTRAL COLORADO
Total Fatalties: 136
Deaths per 1 Million: 30.2
This area now includes Denver, Fort Collins, Greeley, Colorado Springs, Breckenridge, Edwards, and Glenwood Springs.

-------

This 8 Hot Spots account for just 23.1% of the US Population, however they account for 66.1% of all fatalities from COVID-19. Combined, these hot spots are currently seeing a fatality rate of 107 people killed out of every 1 million. The rest of the country only has a rate of 16.5 per 1 Million. In other words, the fatality rate of the hot spots is over 6.5x higher.

Posted by Carolina_Girl
South Cackalacky
Member since Apr 2012
23973 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:03 am to
South Carolina is faring well, especially considering we were the last state in the southeast to issue restrictions. (Always the rebels)

Our deaths per 100,000 is 1.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

South Carolina is faring well


South Carolina ranks 31st out of 51 US States and DC in terms of fatality rate/capita:

Deaths per 1 Million People:

THE WORST:

282.2- New York
138.7- New Jersey
125.2- Louisiana
84.6- Michigan
77.7- Connecticut
52.9- Washington
51.2- Massachusetts

THE BEST:

0.0- Wyoming
2.2- West Virginia
3.5- Hawaii
4.1- Utah
5.1- Nebraska
5.2- North Dakota
5.6- Montana
5.8- Texas
6.0- Arkansas
6.0- Minnesota

38.7- NATIONAL AVERAGE

Every Southern State is better than the national average with the exception of Louisiana.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 1:57 pm
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:02 am to
With each passing day, these 8 Hot Spots continue to grow at a rapid rate while the rest of the country just isn't seeing close to the same types of numbers.

These 8 Hot Spots account for 22.5% of the US Population but now account for 77.7% of all COVID-19 fatlaties in the US.

Fatalities per 1 Million people as of this morning:

222.1- The Northeast
196.6- South Louisiana
173.0- Eastern Michigan
84.9- Central Washington
56.2- Central Indiana
46.4- Great Lakes Region
44.7- Central Georgia
38.9- Central Colorado
-----
154.0- Total of all 8 Hot Spots Combined

12.9- Non US Hot Spots not mentioned above

The Hot Spots have a fatality rate that is now 11.9 times greater than the rest of the country.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 11:40 am
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
40003 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 10:23 am to
Why did you stop updating the big thread you started. I was digging the info you were putting out.
Posted by NoMansLand
Member since Jun 2017
1038 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 2:26 pm to
Different topic but an interesting article posted on CNN (yeah call it BS or whatever) regarding how Sweden allows their population to not shelter-in-place nor close schools. Started off promising but they’ll likely pay in higher mortality rates if not the economic costs the rest of us will. Hopefully we have time and willingness to act before the next pandemic.

LINK
This post was edited on 4/10/20 at 2:33 pm
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 11:39 am to
US HOT SPOT update as of this morning....

There are now just 7 major hot spots in the United States for the virus. These 7 hot spots cover just 20.3% of the US population but make up 77.3% of all COVID-19 fatalities.

The fatality rate in all 7 of the below hot spots is 297.5 per 1 Million compared to just 22.2 for the rest of the country. In other words, these hot spots have a fatality rate that is 13.4x worse compared to the rest of the US.

1. The Northeast

Defined now as the metros of Phiadelphia, Lancaster, Allentown, Scranton, and East Stroudsburg, PA.... New York City, Poughkeepsie, and Hudson, NY.... Bridgeport, Torrington, New Haven, and Hartford, CT.... Pittsfield, Springfield, Worcester, Boston, and Barnstable, MA

This area has 15,668 fatalities (60% of all US deaths), and has a fatality rate of 398.9 per 1 Million people

2. Eastern Michigan

This hot spot includes metros Detroit, Flint, Jackson, and Hillsdale. Fatality rate is 309.3 per 1 Million

3. South Louisiana

This hot spot includes metros New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Lafayette, Opelousas, Houma, Hammond, Bogalusa, and Picayune, MS. The fatality rate is 279 per 1 Million

4. South Georgia / Eastern Alabama

This area includes Chambers, and Lee (Auburn) counties in Alabama, metro Columbus and then south down to the Florida border and over to Waycross. The bulk of the fatalities are in Albany, GA

This area has a fatality rate of 153.6 per 1 million

5. Central Indiana

This area includes metro Indianapolis, Bedford, Seymour, Greenburg, and Franklin County

The fatality rate is 117.5 per 1 Million

6. Central Washington

This area stretches through Bellingham, Mt Vernon, Seattle, Kennewick, and Yakima.

The fatality rate is 89.2 per 1 Million

7. Great Lakes

This includes Milwaukee, Racine, Chicago, and Kankakee Couty, IL.

The fatality rate is 86.5 per 1 Million

The good news is that grwoth has slowed down enough in metro Atlanta to remove it from the Georgia hot spot. Colorado also has improved enough to be taken off the list.

Posted by Icoachfb
Greenville SC
Member since Jan 2019
1796 posts
Posted on 4/15/20 at 6:59 pm to
Just curious what do you do for a living? You always have some educational posts with facts and figures. Enjoy them.
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