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Matchups for UK

Posted on 10/31/14 at 12:37 am
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 12:37 am
When Mizzou runs-

The offense has been awful, which hasn't really allowed the running game to get on track but we have two good backs and a QB that can move. Showed up last week with a good effort.

MU 9th in the conference at 160 yards per game

UK is 13 in the conference allowing 190 yards per game

Advantage Mizzou

When Mizzou throws-

The struggles are well documented here. Mauk hasn't been good. The WR and pass blocking have both had their issues at times.

MU is 13th in the conference at 171 yards per game

UK is 3rd in the conference giving up only 186 yards per game and also second in INT.

Advantage UK

When UK runs-

The Wildcats also have a talented group of backs and a QB that can hurt you with his feet. Mizzou has allowed several 100 yard rushers but for the most part has been solid against the run.

UK is 10th in the conference at 160 yards per game

MU is 8th in the conference giving up 138 yards per game, but their YPC would be tied for 4th.

Advantage MU

When UK throws-

The wildcats have a talented young QB and young WR, but they have had issues giving up sacks. Mizzou can exploit that area and has been good overall against the pass.

UK is 5th in the conference at 266 yards per game, and also tied for 4th with only 5 picks. They have given up the second most sacks in the league.

MU is 7th at 211, but their YPA would be 4th. Also have the 6th most INT and 2nd in sacks.

Pretty close, but slight advantage Mizzou

Special teams-

Kickers are close. Punters are close. Mizzou has a big advantage in both coverage and return teams.

Advantage Mizzou

Misc and Coaching-

UK is +9 in TO margin, Mizzou is +6. Both are pretty bad with penalties giving up around 55 yards per game. Pinkel and Co have been there and won big games before, Stoops and Co really haven't although they are definitely trending the right way

Push

Seems to me we have a fairly significant advantage in this game. The Tigers are quite good in 2 out of 3 phases of the game, but really bad at the other. The Wildcats do have some promising young talent and they seem to be playing hard for their coach. However, I think the Tigers are the better team with the more experienced coach and are at home. UK is a popular upset pick this week and it's not out of the question BUT...I'm picking the Tigers 27-17
Posted by Mizz-SEC
Inbred Huntin' In The SEC
Member since Jun 2013
19232 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 4:30 am to

Nice analysis.

If the capable Mauk shows up and our pass rush is fierce, I like our chances.

UK's quarterback and big wideouts remind me of something Missouri usually has.
Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
67482 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 7:27 am to
quote:

If the capable Mauk shows up and our pass rush is fierce, I like our chances

If these 2 things show up, we'll win by 14 minimum
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 7:54 am to
You should use SEC conference play stats when doing these comparisons.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 9:19 am to
If I knew an easy way to find them I would.
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 9:36 am to
Posted by Jagd Tiger
The Kinder, Gentler Jagd
Member since Mar 2014
18139 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 11:49 am to
quote:

Pinkel and Co have been there and won big games before,



really? ok, pretty sure I could count all those "won big games" on one hand.


Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 11:49 am to
Yeah, that's the site I use but don't see any way to filter by conference games only.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 11:51 am to
Guess that depends on your definition. To me, this is a big game. They will all be as long as we keep winning.
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 12:45 pm to
quite easily. When you click on a stat category, the left side comes up with filters. You just pick "vs conference"
This post was edited on 10/31/14 at 12:46 pm
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 12:48 pm to
LINK
or
LINK
This post was edited on 10/31/14 at 12:49 pm
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
15962 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 1:28 pm to
Funny thing about mizzou is, if we win by 50 im not surprised at all. If we lose by 50 im not surprised at all.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 1:41 pm to
Ahh, yup. That is very easy. Thanks. I'll use that next time. I agree it's a more accurate picture.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 10/31/14 at 4:37 pm to
In conference games:

UK 10th rushing offense(135 yds/game)
MU 5th rushing defense (127 yds/game)
EDGE: MU

MU 11th rushing offense (135 yds/game)
UK 14th rushing defense (240 yds/game)
EDGE: MU

UK 4th passing offense (265 yds/game)
MU 7th passing defense (211 yds/game)
EDGE: UK

MU 14th passing offense (97 yds/game )
UK 3rd passing defense (185 yds/game)
EDGE:
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 11/1/14 at 10:52 am to
quote:

MU 14th passing offense (97 yds/game )


I wonder how far back you'd have to go to find a season that a Mizzou offense averaged less than 100 yards a game in the air during conference play. We all knew it was bad but just seeing that number...don't know whether to laugh or cry it is so putrid.
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