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Kentucky Preview

Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:05 am
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:05 am
#9 Missouri 8-1 (4-1) at Kentucky 2-6 (0-4)
November 9th 2013 Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY.
11:00am cst (ESPNU)
Sunny, H-57 L-36
10% chance of rain

When Missouri Has The Ball
Total Offense: #2 Missouri 4500 yds/ 500 yds per game/ 40.6 pts per game
Passing Offense: #3 Missouri 2365 yds/ 262.8 per game
Rushing Offense: #2 Missouri 2135 yds/ 237.2 per game

Scoring Defense: #9 Kentucky 27.2 pts per game
Passing Defense: #8 Kentucky 223.4 yds per game
Rushing Defense: #12 Kentucky 197.6 yds per game

Players to Watch: Bud Dupree, Za’Darius Smith and Donte Rumph.

It’s early in the week and while all signs point towards the return of QB James Franklin, it has yet to be officially announced. In the absence of the senior QB, RSF Mauk has done an admirable job. Though his numbers aren’t quite as efficient as Franklin’s, he has done an outstanding job handling what might have been the toughest stretch of games Mizzou will face this season. Mizzou doesn’t look to miss a beat this week regardless of which QB gets the starting nod. From this poster’s point of view, I’d like to see Franklin play at least half of the game to knock the rust off before heading into the last two games of the season against Ole Miss and Texas A&M.

Kentucky’s pass defense ranks higher than its rushing defense, but still allows an average of 223.4 yard per game. They are led by junior defensive end, Bud Dupree who arguably had his best game against Mississippi State 2 weeks ago. When Dupree is involved, Kentucky’s defense does well. They are anchored on the other end by another junior, Za’Darius Smith. Much like Mizzou, opposition success in the passing game oftentimes comes as a result of their secondary play. Up the middle, Kentucky is flat out big with 320 pound Donte Rumph and 338 pound Mister Cobble. Despite being big up the middle, teams have still had success running the ball against Kentucky.

Edge: Mizzou


When Kentucky Has The Ball
Total Offense: #13 Kentucky 2861 yds/ 357.6 yds per game/ 24.0 pts per game
Passing Offense: #12 Kentucky 1563 yds/ 195.4 per game
Rushing Offense: #12 Kentucky 1298/ 162.2 per game

Scoring Defense: #4 Missouri 20.6 pts per game
Passing Defense: #14 Missouri 279.3 yds per game
Rushing Defense: #3 Missouri 109.4 yds per game

Players to Watch: Jalen Whitlow, Jojo Kemp, Javess Blue

Kentucky is talented but very young at the skill positions. They are also a little banged up, yet it is unknown how much those bumps and bruises will result in players missing the game against Mizzou. They have featured two sophomore QB’s all season, Maxwell Smith and Jalen Whitlow. Jalen Whitlow adds a running threat when he is in the game, as he’s also the team’s 3rd leading rusher. Whitlow has been fighting some nagging injuries but appears to have emerged as the winner of this QB battle, accounting for 4 TD’s, including an 88 yard TD run in their last game against Alabama State. Kentucky is also young at RB, where their most consistent RB has been freshman Jojo Kemp, who leads the team with 390 yards rushing. The receiving corps adds some experience with their leading receiver, junior Javess Blue, but also features 2 freshman receivers, Ryan Timmons and Jeff Badet. Blue (ball to the eye in pre-game) and Timmons (ankle) both missed time in their last game, but I suspect they’ll return for the Mizzou game, or else Kentucky could find themselves thin at the WR position.

Missouri’s defense has been stout against the run this year, and should continue that trend against Kentucky. While Missouri’s defense has given up yardage against the pass, that is also a bit deceiving, as those yards have not always resulted in points, as Missouri is 4th in the SEC giving up only 20.6 points per game. Another statistic that doesn’t show up in the passing defense ranking is the number of sacks and turnovers the team gets, both of which Mizzou leads the SEC in. I anticipate the DE’s will continue to be able to get pressure on the QB and the question will quickly become how Whitlow handles that pressure, whether with his arm or with his legs.

Edge: Mizzou


Closing thoughts:

It is difficult to get a true read on how much of an impact Stoops has had on the Wildcats. I certainly would not take them lightly based solely on their record. A 4 game stretch against the likes of Louisville, Florida, South Carolina and Alabama will take its toll on nearly any team’s record. I like what Stoops has done at Kentucky and I think the future is bright for them with the young players they currently have and the current commitments they have coming in next year. If Mizzou takes this game lightly, Kentucky has enough young talent that they could be in for a rude awakening. If Mizzou comes in prepared and in the right frame of mind, they should be able to handle what Kentucky dishes out.


Prognostication:

I think with the make up of this Mizzou team, they won’t take this game lightly and Mizzou will come out of Lexington with a win, regardless of who starts at QB. I am holding off on a score prediction until we know whether Mauk or Franklin gets the call.

M I Z
This post was edited on 11/4/13 at 4:10 pm
Posted by CoMoTiger
Columbia, MO
Member since Oct 2012
246 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:30 am to
Good stuff Reedus. And all on a Monday.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
130251 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:31 am to
He's one of those guys who turned in assignments early.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:37 am to
quote:

He's one of those guys who turned in assignments early.




I was. Always turned them in early so I could dick around the rest of the time knowing it was all done.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:38 am to
Posted by KCMIZSEC
Member since Sep 2013
2199 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 10:14 am to
Good write-up. Thanks for posting. Hopefully if Franklin plays he truly is 100% healed up and ready to god.
Posted by ZouTigers
St Louis
Member since Nov 2012
179 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 12:56 pm to
Passing Offense: #12 Kentucky 1563 yds/ 162.3 per game
Rushing Offense: #12 Kentucky 1298/ 162.2 per game



Passing offense is actually 195 yards per game.

Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
16788 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:05 pm to
contemplating whether I should go or not, im gonna be in Louisville all weekend with my buddy who goes to mizzou too. and its only 50 minutes away.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:12 pm to
Thanks. Fixed. Not sure where I got the other number from.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

contemplating whether I should go or not, im gonna be in Louisville all weekend with my buddy who goes to mizzou too. and its only 50 minutes away.


Was asked to pass this along by Grits.

quote:

Might want to add at least 1/2 hour to that number and game traffic may add to that greatly. If the guy speeds (which he would have to do to make it in 50 min) he will get nailed by several speed traps normally operating between Louisville and Lexington. Suggest adding more travel time.
Posted by kilo
No block, no rock
Member since Oct 2011
30815 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 6:49 pm to
Thanks reedus. Nice job.

Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 8:43 pm to
Thanks kilo. Like your format and stole it. Hope ya don't mind.
Posted by kilo
No block, no rock
Member since Oct 2011
30815 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 8:45 pm to


Not at all man.
Posted by Tom Sawyer
North Carolina
Member since Oct 2012
1001 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:07 pm to
Good read sir.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25492 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:34 pm to
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 10:19 pm to
I don't think it matters who is the QB, Mizzou's MO is to put up 30-40 points and then turtle the game until it's over.

45-6 Tigers roll into the bye
Posted by Mizz-SEC
Inbred Huntin' In The SEC
Member since Jun 2013
23455 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 4:36 am to
quote:

I don't think it matters who is the QB, Mizzou's MO is to put up 30-40 points and then turtle the game until it's over.


Not sure about the turtling part. Am sure about the 30-40 point part. More like 40+ points.

I hope they give Franklin enough work to feel comfortable again and then pull him.

Beyond the UK game, it'll be interesting to see if they give Mauk a series or two per game. They probably don't have to since he's gained the experience and they know what they have in him.
Posted by panzerfahre
Kirksville, Mo
Member since Oct 2013
1525 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 12:33 pm to
Pinkel says Mauk will start at UK.

LINK
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
110162 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

contemplating whether I should go or not, im gonna be in Louisville all weekend with my buddy who goes to mizzou too. and its only 50 minutes away.


FWIW, I didn't know if you saw it or not but I threw some info out there for you (Louisville native). If you have any other questions feel free to ask.

LINK

As far as predictions, I don't see Mizzou putting 40+ on us (the only school that's been able to do so all season is Alabama), but we'll be hurting without Timmons at WR so I don't know that we put up as much as we did against USCe or State. 30ish is probably about right. I'm guessing maybe 31-10 unless Mizzou gets caught looking ahead.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
77011 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 8:04 pm to
Avery Williamson not mentioned.
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