SEC Offensive Skill Player Stats - Average PPA

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PPA – Predicted Points Added

- Per-play stat
- Measure of points added (or lost) on each play compared to the predicted value
- Accounts for the predicted points for the remainder of the drive, and the opponent’s next drive
- Takes into account down, distance to go, yardline

Definition:

Predict Points Added, or PPA for short, is the number of points added or lost on any given play, vs. the predicted number of points that most teams score (or give up) in the current drive (if they score) or next drive (if they turn the ball over). It is based on the predicted value of all teams in similar down and distance situations.

Example:

On 4th and 10 from your own 20 yard line, the predicted points are -0.32 points, meaning that per predicted analysis, teams in this position on the field will give up an average of .32 points to the opponent within the next drive.

Let’s say this team ends up going for it on this 4th and 10 (they’re desperate) and break off an 80 yard TD run. The result of the play is 6 points, vs. and expectation of -0.32 points, leading to an PPA of +6.32 on that particular play. The team scored 6.32 points more than expected.

There doesn’t need to be a score on the play to get an PPA. If that same team gains 15 yards and gets a 1st down, their new predicted points from 1st and 10 at the 35 is 1.76, a 2.08 point improvement from the previous play. +2.08 is their PPA for that play.

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QUARTERBACK - AVERAGE PPA (per play) (min 50 countable plays)
1. Mac Jones (Alabama) (0.700)
2. JT Daniels (Georgia) (0.591)
3. Kyle Trask (Florida) (0.508)
4. Matt Corral (Ole Miss) (0.453)
5. Kellen Mond (Texas A&M) (0.319)
6. Feleipe Franks (Arkansas) (0.310)
7. Connor Bazelak (Mizzou) (0.295)
7. Max Johnson (LSU) (0.295)
9. TJ Finley (LSU) (0.274)
10. Stetson Bennett (Georgia) (0.256)
11. Myles Brennan (LSU) (0.253)
12. Jarrett Guarantano (VOLS) (0.245)
13. Bo Nix (Auburn) (0.216)
14. Harrison Bailey (VOLS) (0.198)
15. Terry Wilson (Kentucky) (0.120)
16. Ken Seals (Vanderbilt) (0.111)
17. Collin Hill (South Carolina) (0.081)
18. Luke Doty (South Carolina) (0.028)
19. KJ Costello (Mississippi St) (-0.046)

Will Rogers does not show up in collegefootballdata.com's stats for some reason. No clue why.


RUNNING BACK - AVERAGE PPA (per play) (min 75 countable plays)
1. Kevin Harris (South Carolina) (0.306)
2. Najee Harris (Alabama) (0.277)
3. Isaiah Spiller (Texas A&M) (0.235)
4. Eric Gray (Tennessee) (0.224)
5. Zamir White (Georgia) (0.211)
6. Jerrion Ealy (Ole Miss) (0.206)
7. Tank Bigsby (Auburn) (0.203)
8. Trelon Smith (Arkansas) (0.201)
9. Dillon Johnson (Mississippi St) (0.160)
10. Dameon Peirce (Florida) (0.153)
11. Snoop Conner (Ole Miss) (0.135)
12. Malik Davis (Florida) (0.127)
13. Asim Rose (Kentucky) (0.116)
14. Ty Chandler (Tennessee) (0.110)
15. Larry Rountree III (Mizzou) (0.096)
16. Rakeem Boyd (Arkansas) (0.038)
17. John Emery Jr (LSU) (0.002)
18. Tyrion Davis-Price (LSU) (-0.036)


WIDE RECEIVER/TIGHT END - AVERAGE PPA (per play) (min 40 countable plays)
1. DeVonta Smith (Alabama) (1.004)
2. Kyle Pitts (Florida) (0.917)
3. John Metchie (Alabama) (0.904)
4. Treylon Burks (Arkansas) (0.846)
5. Kadarius Toney (Florida) (0.839)
6. Jalen Wydermyer (Texas A&M) (0.816)
7. Trevon Grimes (Florida) (0.805)
8. George Pickens (Georgia) (0.798)
9. Michael Woods (Arkansas) (0.793)
10. Kearis Jackson (Georgia) (0.742)
11. Jaden Walley (Mississippi St) (0.731)
12. Elijah Moore (Ole Miss) (0.697)
13. Osirus Mitchell (Mississippi St) (0.673)
14. Cam Johnson (Vanderbilt) (0.658)
15. Terrace Marshall Jr (LSU) (0.657)
16. Kayshon Boutte (LSU) (0.607)
17. Chase Lane (Texas A&M) (0.596)
18. Josh Palmer (VOLS) (0.529)
19. Jalen Knox (Mizzou) (0.520)
20. Austin Williams (Mississippi St) (0.517)
21. Jermaine Burton (Georgia) (0.495)
22. Seth Williams (Auburn) (0.475)
23. Keke Chism (Mizzou) (0.399)
24. Eli Stove (Auburn) (0.385)
25. Shi Smith (South Carolina) (0.348)
26. Anthony Schwartz (Auburn) (0.340)
27. Ainias Smith (Texas A&M) (0.399)
28. Malik Heath (Mississippi St) (0.176)
29. Josh Ali (Kentucky) (0.136)