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re: Alabama Board Coronavirus Thread

Posted on 5/27/20 at 12:23 pm to
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52899 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 12:23 pm to
There is a lot of talk right now about Alabama being in bad shape right now. What's the truth?

Case rate has risen, but as you said, hospitalization rates have remained relatively flat?

Are we looking at a bleak next couple of weeks, and should we start really worrying as a state?

The worst part about this whole thing is the miss-information. We had the mayor of our capitol come out and say that they were out of ICU beds, with national media parroting him on it, followed by multiple Montgomery doctors saying that that was not the case.
Posted by TideCPA
Member since Jan 2012
10418 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

There is a lot of talk right now about Alabama being in bad shape right now. What's the truth?

Case rate has risen, but as you said, hospitalization rates have remained relatively flat?

Are we looking at a bleak next couple of weeks, and should we start really worrying as a state?

My theory is workplace community spread, which is why the spikes are very localized. May be a result of affected businesses testing all of their employees, which would capture mild or asymptomatic cases. And since the working population is generally low risk, it would explain why there are no corresponding spikes in hospitalizations.
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

There is a lot of talk right now about Alabama being in bad shape right now. What's the truth?

Case rate has risen, but as you said, hospitalization rates have remained relatively flat?

Are we looking at a bleak next couple of weeks, and should we start really worrying as a state?



I don't think the numbers/trends over the past week are encouraging. While the state's hospitalization rate has remained flat, Tuscaloosa's doubled in one week. That may end up being an anomaly, but it's something to keep an eye on. And Montgomery's ICU's have at least been close to capacity for a week now.

Are we in bad shape? Maybe comparatively to other states, but I don't think the situation is dire statewide. But there are some concerning trends to keep an eye on.
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