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re: UGA Pass Defense isn't as Good as Advertised

Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:07 am to
Posted by atlanta917
Atlanta
Member since Jan 2017
5692 posts
Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:07 am to
You realize S&P+ accounts for completion, right? UGA is holding teams to 65% of their season rushing average and 76% of their passing average, which are both elite numbers. In contrast, LSU holds teams to 83% of their rushing average and 92% of their passing.
Posted by bayou85
Concordia
Member since Sep 2016
8706 posts
Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:26 am to
quote:

76% of their passing average


Calling BS on that. Stats can be deceiving.

aTm had 275 on UGA vs 247 average.
AU is 245 vs a 210 average
UT is 273 vs a 220 average
ND is 275 vs a 250 average

Murray State had 261 vs a 237 average.


That state is highly flawed.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22215 posts
Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:42 am to
quote:

UGA is holding teams to 65% of their season rushing average and 76% of their passing average, which are both elite numbers. In contrast, LSU holds teams to 83% of their rushing average and 92% of their passing.



Let's say this plays out.

Here's what the stats would look like:

LSU
Passing: 290
Rushing: 114
Total: 404

UGA:
Passing: 197
Rushing: 161
Total: 358

LSU averages 11.8 yards per point, so with 404 total yards, that translates to roughly 34 points.

UGA averages 13.5 yards per point, so with 358 total yards, that translates to roughly 26 points.

LSU wins 34-26.

I think what this shows is that UGA is going to have to get a big turnover or two.
This post was edited on 12/6/19 at 11:44 am
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