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re: So who will get the 4th playoff spot ?..

Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:25 pm to
Posted by MeatPants
Member since Nov 2015
8853 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:25 pm to
The only way Oregon doesn't get in is if Georgia beats LSU.

Then LSU and Georgia are going.

Other than that a one loss Ducks team is getting in

Sorry Alabama. Even Nicky knows they aren't good enough
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86585 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

Oregon. Sorry mutts


there isn't a person on earth that thinks we're making the playoffs if we lose to LSU. Not sure what you're sorry about.

Posted by MeatPants
Member since Nov 2015
8853 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:28 pm to
Ohio State strength of schedule is going to fly up the charts these next few weeks. I have a feeling that if they go undefeated they will pass LSU as the number one team going into the playoffs.

Because LSU defense looks pretty porous.
Posted by RamahRising
Poplarville MS
Member since Sep 2018
611 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:31 pm to
I agree Bama will be 4th ...

So does SEC TODAY

OSU 86%
LSU 85%
Clem 84%
Bama 44%
GA 39% ... Must beat LSU badly
Ore 28%
Posted by MeatPants
Member since Nov 2015
8853 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:32 pm to
If LSU wins these next two games, they are getting in the playoffs. It doesn't matter what happens with the SEC champ game.

Name me any scenario where LSU falls to five losing to Gerogia. Its not going to happen

Not Oklahoma, not Oregon, not Utah and sure as frick not alabama
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86585 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Name me any scenario where LSU falls to five losing to Gerogia. Its not going to happen



On the flip side, no non-champ has ever made the playoffs over a team that had less than 2 losses. So it's not like it'd be unprecedented if they didn't go.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86585 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

agree Bama will be 4th ...

So does SEC TODAY


Posted by MeatPants
Member since Nov 2015
8853 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:36 pm to
Oregon losing to Auburn would be a killer in that scenario. LSU schedule was considerably tougher plus their only loss would be on a neutral site to another playoff team.

If they didn't lose to Auburn it might be more of an argument. But Oregon is getting in ahead of Alabama. that's for sure
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86585 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

LSU schedule was considerably tougher plus their only loss would be on a neutral site to another playoff team.


I get it, and I've said many times that LSU would wipe the floor with wahtever team they are in playoff contention with, whoever it may be. I'm just staying that the playoff committee has never put in a team in LSU's position before. The only real comparison would be iowa in 2015 who started 12-0 and solidly in the top 4, then lost to a 1-loss team in the CCG and finished 5th. Although to be fair they didn't have near the resume LSU currently has.

All I've said this whole time is that it would be an intersting choice and a tough call, they very well may still get in but it's not NEAR the home run that lsu fans think it is. And if that does happen, the oregon's of the world will probably say "well wtf did we scheudle auburn for anyway? We'll jsut play cupcakes every game then" which isn't good for anybody IMO.
Posted by wheelz007
Denham Springs, LA
Member since Jan 2010
3369 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:42 pm to
Oregon or Utah if they are 12-1 Pac 12 Champs.

Posted by amders44
Atlanta Metro
Member since Jun 2013
674 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:46 pm to
This is what has to happen for Bama to get in:

1. Beat Auburn and W. Carolina
2. LSU, win out, this eliminates UGA.
3. OSU win out, this eliminiates the rest of the Big 10
4. Clemson will win out.
5. Oklahoma lose to Okie State and beat Baylor in Champ game. Eliminates Big 12
6. Oregon lose to Arizona St. then beat Utah in champ. game.

Very highly unlikely all of that happens.
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
32724 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

1. Beat Auburn and W. Carolina
2. LSU, win out, this eliminates UGA.
3. OSU win out, this eliminiates the rest of the Big 10
4. Clemson will win out.
5. Oklahoma lose to Okie State and beat Baylor in Champ game. Eliminates Big 12
6. Oregon lose to Arizona St. then beat Utah in champ. game.
Yeah Bama gets in under these circumstances.

I would think that LSU is safe but they had 1 bad half this week defensively after beating Bama and people are trying to drop them in the polls after a 21 point win so I wouldn’t assume anything.

For arguments sake I think it’s safe to say that Clemson and Ohio State are gonna make it.

It’s Georgia beats LSU I think they’ll try and put Oregon in. I hope not. LSU would still have better wins, the best loss and the best player but I just don’t think they want 2- SEC teams in. Especially with the potential for another all sec national title
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20510 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

LSU schedule was considerably tougher plus their only loss would be on a neutral site to another playoff team.


I get it, and I've said many times that LSU would wipe the floor with wahtever team they are in playoff contention with, whoever it may be. I'm just staying that the playoff committee has never put in a team in LSU's position before

The committee hasn't picked a team in LSU's position before with a loss, because those teams finished out.

If this was BCS, it would be LSU and Ohio State, by a pretty large margin.
Hell, it's almost at the point to where you could say, if both teams make it to 12-0, they're both in regardless of conference championship games. We haven't seen that happen.
Hopefully it doesn't come to that.

Objectively, and with all due respect to UGA, I WANT to see LSU and Ohio State go undefeated, and match up. And I think the rest of CFB wants that, too.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73627 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 2:07 pm to
There's no telling what the committee will do.
Posted by Ted2010
Member since Oct 2010
38958 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 2:09 pm to
Probably Oregon or Utah. Things bounce right Bama could get in. But a lot has to break our way and this year we have very unlucky all around.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86585 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

There's no telling what the committee will do.


They've selected in the same manner every year of the palyoff's existence, it's pretty predicatble what they'll do actually.

The big curveball (for this year) si if we're introduced to a situation they haven't seen before, like if LSU were to lose to UGA. That has happened before (undefeated and top 4 iowa losing the CCG to a 1 loss team and missing playoffs) but they didn't have the resume LSu currently does. So yeah, in this case I agree that it woudl be hard to predict since we don't really have data on something like that yet.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73627 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

They've selected in the same manner every year of the palyoff's existence


What manner is that exactly?
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86585 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 2:17 pm to
see for yourself: LINK

-You really need to win your conference with 1 loss or less
-If you don't win your conference, you need multiple P5 conferences to have multiple losses

pretty straightforward.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73627 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 2:28 pm to
So, we know nothing about what might happen if a couple of one loss teams lose their conference to two loss teams. Things will probably shake themselves in the end, but the early rankings have not been as clear.
Posted by JohnnyU
Florida
Member since Nov 2006
12350 posts
Posted on 11/18/19 at 2:33 pm to
The SEC will only get it's champion in this year. LSU will be left out if they lose to UGa and the PAC12 Champ (Oregon or Utah) has only 1 loss. OU might squeeze in over a 1 loss Utah.

Another wild finish to the CFB season could give more impetus to expanding the playoffs before the current contract runs out. Doubtful but possible.
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