re: Myles Murphy commits tonight to Clemson or Auburn

2018:

South Carolina S&P+: 20th

The only team on your regular season schedule better was... OOC - Texas A&M
You played EIGHT conference games that were all against "worse" teams by a pretty reasonable metric.

2017:
South Carolina S&P+: 41st (should be noted that they beat NC St to start the season... would be higher without loss of Deebo for rest of season)

NC St
Va Tech
Louisville
Florida State (2017 S&P+ was considered broken for them... Connelly admitted as much)
*Wake Forest -
*Georgia Tech - 39th (more or less equivalent)

So 6 games... 2 were functionally about the same degree of difficulty, one South Carolina beat straight up, 2 were rated higher than NC St, and then of course 7-6 FSU in the top 10.

About equivalent to 3-4th best game this year.

2016:
South Carolina S&P+: 85th

Ga Tech
Louisville
Pitt
NC St
FSU
Wake Forest

*Boston College 73
*Syracuse 79

Muschamp's first year, definitely USC's worst year in this period, clearly rebuilding. Roughly equivalent to your bottom end conference schedule though.


Even if I give close calls the edge to ACC rather than just calling them a wash, South Carolina rates as 5th of 9 games on average [(1+6+8)/3]... which is really more of a tie for that 3-4 range with 1 or two other games.

Syracuse, Boston College, and Wake Forest are pretty consistently some of the worst games that you play. Rotating in Duke, Pitt, etc doesn't help. Not y'alls fault that FSU has imploded of late... fortunately, NC St has stepped up in their absence, but not quite the same caliber as say 5 years ago FSU. Louisville was a 2 year bump, but otherwise pretty insignificant game as well.

By any reasonable metric, South Carolina right now is at least as good as the middle of your ACC schedule, and as recently as last year, better than your entire conference slate. It's fine to talk shite, but at least try and be honest with yourself about it.