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Alabama Opens as a 26 Point Favorite over Mississippi State!!! Ouch

Posted on 11/5/18 at 10:07 am
Posted by Stingray30
Member since Oct 2018
18 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 10:07 am
Posted by spacewrangler
In my easy chair with my boots on..
Member since Sep 2009
9849 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 10:13 am to
quote:

Alabama Opens as a 26 Point Favorite over Mississippi State!!! Ouch by Stingray30



That's a tough line.... MSST has a good enough DLine to slow down the Bama run game. Bama just played a physical game vs LS8u and is flying sky high. I could see a let down game where Bama is flat the first half and doesn't play to the standard. Maybe 17-6 at half and a 34-16 type score final.


I think MSST covers.

Posted by Stingray30
Member since Oct 2018
18 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 10:16 am to
I agree
Posted by Dawgholio
Bugtussle
Member since Oct 2015
13047 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 10:16 am to
I bet Mississippi State can score though.
Posted by Stingray30
Member since Oct 2018
18 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 10:19 am to
It’s gonna be tough to score on Bama because Nick is not good throwing against good defenses
Posted by ChoadieMcSmalls
Look behind you
Member since Jul 2012
1696 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 10:21 am to
Stingray! We gonna see any more hook echos this year?
Posted by The Winner
Member since Nov 2016
8258 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 10:22 am to
Lol
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100055 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 11:35 am to
I wouldn’t touch this one. One of the best Olives facing the best front 7 they’ve seen all year.

I’m resigned to the fact that we likely lose but the defense vs their offense will be fun to see.
Posted by Dday63
Member since Sep 2014
2393 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:50 pm to
The over under is also 26. You don't see that very often!
Posted by Tuscaloosa
13x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
50247 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:52 pm to
Stingray, what are your thoughts on the game? I am interested in what you think MSU’s best matchup is. MSU has a talented defensive front.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
55372 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:58 pm to
I will Take MSU with that line...

I'm pretty sure that it's going to be a lot closer than any believe.
Posted by JoseyWalesTheOutlaw
In The Ham
Member since Nov 2017
12562 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 2:01 pm to
Got to go with Missy Mistake and those points with Bama coming off a very physical battle. Has to be a drop in the energy from the Bama players.
Posted by GeauxTigerNation
Member since 1988
Member since Nov 2013
13429 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 2:03 pm to
Maybe. If it were GA, definitely. Even LSU dropped 36 on them.
Posted by labamafan
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2007
26419 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 2:04 pm to
Ridiculous line take State.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
21704 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 2:06 pm to
I feel like that is easy money for MSU to cover.

Jalen will still be out. N harris is injured, D Smith and Ruggs may still not be 100% plus, the team is coming off a huge emotional and physical game.

Tua will either be playing the whole game or most of it, which means a close 2 score type game.

Or, MacJones comes in for relief, in place of Jalen, when Bama gets up 4+ scores. I dont see Mac Jones really growing much more of a lead and the reserve D usually gives up 1-2 scores.

Either way, MSU has great shot to cover 26 points

Using Sagarin's metrics it would be an 18-22 pt spread. I think that is closer to reality.

Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
39508 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

Bama coming off a very physical battle.


Y’all watched a different game than I did. One team was physical and the other was soft
Posted by Rocco Lampone
Raleigh, NC
Member since Nov 2010
3093 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

One of the best Olives facing the best front 7 they’ve seen all year.


Going to be some delicious martinis though.
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