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Strange Week 2 Lines
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:22 pm
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:22 pm
Betting lines are more accurate typically than pollsters and pundits.
Given that...
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
Clemson is only a 3 point favorite @ Louisville. Louisville has looked pretty mediocre the past couple of weeks against meh competition and Clemson just beat a ranked team last week, and was dominating on defense.
I would have personally expect the Tenn @ Florida to be a pick em and Clemson to be say a 6-7 point fav a Louisville.
Given that...
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
Clemson is only a 3 point favorite @ Louisville. Louisville has looked pretty mediocre the past couple of weeks against meh competition and Clemson just beat a ranked team last week, and was dominating on defense.
I would have personally expect the Tenn @ Florida to be a pick em and Clemson to be say a 6-7 point fav a Louisville.
9
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:24 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
They saw UT's offense vs GT and figured UF's defense can score more points.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:25 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
Hard to predict what will happen in this one. Stoppable force meets movable object when UF has the ball. I guess they think more highly of UF's ability to stop UT than vice versa.
quote:
Clemson is only a 3 point favorite @ Louisville. Louisville has looked pretty mediocre the past couple of weeks against meh competition and Clemson just beat a ranked team last week, and was dominating on defense.
Not that weird imo. Clemson is coming off a physical game and didn't move the ball that well. You have to guess Petrino and Jackson will figure out ways to score.
This post was edited on 9/12/17 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:30 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
Meaning the guys in Vegas are trying to get people on Tennessee, and when they do that they aren't planning on those people winning.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:35 pm to IAmReality
Texas A&M v ULaLa is -24 Aggies
This is free money people. Somehow the spread has moved from -22 to -24 because people are idiots. There is no way in hell we cover that.
This is free money people. Somehow the spread has moved from -22 to -24 because people are idiots. There is no way in hell we cover that.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:07 pm to IAmReality
Louisville probably should have beat them last season at Clemson. The WR decided to be a pussy and not fight for a 1st down. i dont see this line as being weird at all at Louisville. Jackson will rip shite
Posted on 9/12/17 at 4:03 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Louisville has looked pretty mediocre the past couple of weeks against meh competition
They crushed UNC. They still have the best college QB.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 6:54 pm to IAmReality
Take a 3 team ML parlay of Purdue, Tennessee, and Miss State and make some jack.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 9:15 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Clemson is only a 3 point favorite @ Louisville.
Holy shite I found my money maker of the week. The Sirmon effect will guarantee Clemson covering this spread. Clemson already shut down one Heisman winner this year, anyway.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 9:45 pm to IAmReality
Clemsons qb is not that good
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