KenPom is predictive (whereas the RPI is not) thus it is much less prone to fluctuations. By February though KenPom is straight data with no predictions or other weights.

For example the top 10 in KenPom is
Villanova
Duke
UNC
Kentucky
Kansas
Virginia
Louisville
Wisconsin
West Virginia
St. Mary's

RPI Top 10
Baylor
Creighton
Florida
Villanova
St. Mary's
TCU
Gonzaga
Minnesota
MTSU
Xavier

Obviously the KenPom Top 10 is much more like the polls and much closer to what the RPI Top 10 will likely be by the end of the season.

KenPom is basically a running 1-351 power ranking that is updated with data from every game and adjusted dynamically.

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Posted by GoCrazyAuburn

Member since Feb 2010

35013 posts

Posted on 12/5/16 at 5:36 pm to volfan30

quote:
KenPom is predictive (whereas the RPI is not) thus it is much less prone to fluctuations.

So, how does this make it better early on in the season? This sounds like it is much more subject to predetermined bias on teams than on actual on court production.

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Posted by Pettifogger

Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone

Member since Feb 2012

79504 posts

Posted on 12/5/16 at 5:39 pm to volfan30

So KenPom is still heavily reliant on preseason expectations, is that right? Meanwhile, in our example, AU went from like 200 to 20 something in RPI because it's focused on where we stand today (at least how RPI gauges it).

I'm not arguing for RPI over KenPom, as it makes no more intuitive sense than KenPom does.

But in KenPom, Auburn with a decent record after playing a mediocre but not terrible OOC schedule is ranked sub 100 while UGA is 60ish because KenPom thinks UGA is a better team and that will eventually show up as the season progresses, is that correct?

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