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Scoring Offense/Defense Analysis (Mississippi State)
Posted on 10/30/16 at 11:35 am
Posted on 10/30/16 at 11:35 am
This one is likely going to get nullified by us either playing down to a lesser opponent or holding starters out.
A&M scores 38.4 ppg (31.4 vs. SEC) and allows 19.8 ppg (24.4 vs. SEC)
MSU scores 30.4 ppg (24.8 vs. SEC) and allows 30.0 ppg (28.8 vs. SEC)
vs. all opponents:
A&M scores 11.4 more than opponents' averages
A&M allows 10.3 less than opponents average
MSU scores 6.5 more than opponents' averages
MSU allows 1.9 MORE than opponents average
vs. SEC opponents:
A&M scores 8.9 more than opponents' averages
A&M allows 6.8 less than opponents average
MSU scores 4.0 more than opponents' averages
MSU allows 0.8 MORE than opponents average
The four models read:
A&M 41, Miss. State 20
A&M 38, Miss. State 18
A&M 40, Miss. State 26
A&M 32, Miss. State 29
All but one of the models have A&M winning by 2 scores. 2 of the models have A&M winning by 3 scores.
I can comfortably predict that A&M wins by 10-14 points.
A&M scores 38.4 ppg (31.4 vs. SEC) and allows 19.8 ppg (24.4 vs. SEC)
MSU scores 30.4 ppg (24.8 vs. SEC) and allows 30.0 ppg (28.8 vs. SEC)
vs. all opponents:
A&M scores 11.4 more than opponents' averages
A&M allows 10.3 less than opponents average
MSU scores 6.5 more than opponents' averages
MSU allows 1.9 MORE than opponents average
vs. SEC opponents:
A&M scores 8.9 more than opponents' averages
A&M allows 6.8 less than opponents average
MSU scores 4.0 more than opponents' averages
MSU allows 0.8 MORE than opponents average
The four models read:
A&M 41, Miss. State 20
A&M 38, Miss. State 18
A&M 40, Miss. State 26
A&M 32, Miss. State 29
All but one of the models have A&M winning by 2 scores. 2 of the models have A&M winning by 3 scores.
I can comfortably predict that A&M wins by 10-14 points.
2
Posted on 10/30/16 at 11:48 am to CGSC Lobotomy
We are definitely going to rest Myles Garrett and Armani
Posted on 10/30/16 at 2:07 pm to Old Sarge
If not outright rest them, I can see them in for a minimum number of snaps.
Posted on 10/30/16 at 2:53 pm to Slotback
They'll probably dress but only play if it's close in the 3rd or something
Posted on 11/2/16 at 8:16 am to CGSC Lobotomy
MSU is decent at stopping the run and runs the ball fairly well. Their weaknesses are their pass defense and passing game. Essentially they are a slightly more talented version of South Carolina.
What I'm saying is they don't do anything that jumps out at you as you'd expect from a team with their record however what little they do well presents a matchup issue. We can't exploit their pass defense and they can run on us.
What I'm saying is they don't do anything that jumps out at you as you'd expect from a team with their record however what little they do well presents a matchup issue. We can't exploit their pass defense and they can run on us.
Posted on 11/2/16 at 8:22 am to Roger Klarvin
quote:
We can't exploit their pass defense and they can run on us.
These are both lies.
Posted on 11/2/16 at 8:27 am to Roger Klarvin
You've become a caricature of yourself
Posted on 11/2/16 at 8:29 am to TbirdSpur2010
I've more or less lost faith in Trevor Knight, he appears to have regressed as a passer since the Arkansas game where he was pretty good in the second half. MSU can
leave receiver saw open as they want, he'll consistently miss them.
As for the run game, we struggle against the zone read and MSU is in the top 30 in YPA. They'll break a few long runs.
We'll win, but it might be very ugly.
leave receiver saw open as they want, he'll consistently miss them.
As for the run game, we struggle against the zone read and MSU is in the top 30 in YPA. They'll break a few long runs.
We'll win, but it might be very ugly.
This post was edited on 11/2/16 at 8:30 am
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