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re: #tAuburnBasketball Thread
Posted on 1/26/19 at 9:21 am to autodd03
Posted on 1/26/19 at 9:21 am to autodd03
quote:
team that shoots 45% from the field should never rely on one shot. Has to be a negative EV
If you assume independency for simplicity, it is better to wait for the last shot probability wise
1
Posted on 1/26/19 at 12:21 pm to GenesChin
quote:
If you assume independency for simplicity, it is better to wait for the last shot probability wise
If you are talking about winning only, then maybe. If you add in the chance for a tie, then going early is best. I don't have the statistics to run the numbers.
All i know is in 2 consecutive 1 point games we managed to get 2 real shots, 1 flailing putback opportunity and an almost half court heave. We can do better. I doubt K/Wright employ the same strategy
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