re: Herman is Carolina's first choice

No, I agree. Every hire comes with a built-in risk, but there's also a lot of upside with a guy like Herman. Even Fuente and Smart have large upsides. In my opinion, Herman is the closest thing to a can't-miss hire as there has been in several years, at least when it comes to up-and-comers (Urbam to tOSU and Harbaugh to Mich don't apply).