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Scoring Offense/Defense Analysis: South Carolina
Posted on 10/25/15 at 6:56 am
Posted on 10/25/15 at 6:56 am
You know the formula, here's the raw data:
A&M PF 31.7 ppg (7.7 over opp. averages), 21.0 ppg vs. SEC (0.9 over opp. averages)
A&M PA 24.1 ppg (7.1 under opp. averages), 25.5 ppg vs. SEC (8.9 under opp. averages)
SC PF 20.4 ppg (0.5 under opp. averages), 19.0 ppg vs. SEC (0.3 under opp averages)
SC PA 26.3 ppg (0.1 over opp. averages), 31.4 ppg vs. SEC (13.5 over opp averages)
Here are the four scores you get using the different formulas:
A&M 34, South Carolina 13 (blowout)
A&M 32, South Carolina 19 (1 score win)
A&M 32, South Carolina 24 (tossup)
A&M 35, South Carolina 25 (1 score win)
A&M between 32-35 points
South Carolina between 13-25 points
Aggregating, we win by 1+ scores.
If we score fewer than 30 or allow more than 24 vs. South Carolina, we're in SERIOUS TROUBLE
Applying the primary metric to the remainder of the season, you get:
A&M 37, Auburn 21 (1+ score win)
A&M 35, Western Carolina 21 (1+ score win)
A&M 24, Vanderbilt 11 (1+ score win)
LSU 32, A&M 30 (tossup, but was leaning A&M prior to this weekend - this will only get worse)
We'll probably beat South Carolina, but look like complete shite doing it.
A&M PF 31.7 ppg (7.7 over opp. averages), 21.0 ppg vs. SEC (0.9 over opp. averages)
A&M PA 24.1 ppg (7.1 under opp. averages), 25.5 ppg vs. SEC (8.9 under opp. averages)
SC PF 20.4 ppg (0.5 under opp. averages), 19.0 ppg vs. SEC (0.3 under opp averages)
SC PA 26.3 ppg (0.1 over opp. averages), 31.4 ppg vs. SEC (13.5 over opp averages)
Here are the four scores you get using the different formulas:
A&M 34, South Carolina 13 (blowout)
A&M 32, South Carolina 19 (1 score win)
A&M 32, South Carolina 24 (tossup)
A&M 35, South Carolina 25 (1 score win)
A&M between 32-35 points
South Carolina between 13-25 points
Aggregating, we win by 1+ scores.
If we score fewer than 30 or allow more than 24 vs. South Carolina, we're in SERIOUS TROUBLE
Applying the primary metric to the remainder of the season, you get:
A&M 37, Auburn 21 (1+ score win)
A&M 35, Western Carolina 21 (1+ score win)
A&M 24, Vanderbilt 11 (1+ score win)
LSU 32, A&M 30 (tossup, but was leaning A&M prior to this weekend - this will only get worse)
We'll probably beat South Carolina, but look like complete shite doing it.
Posted on 10/25/15 at 7:41 am to CGSC Lobotomy
quote:
We'll probably beat South Carolina, but look like complete shite doing it.
Haha. Well said. I'll wait to post my pick for this week since I'm not entirely sure who the qb will be, but I'm pretty sure I'll have us winning either way. If we lose to a bad Carolina team, look out, full blown panic and meltdowns will ensue.
Posted on 10/25/15 at 11:57 am to CGSC Lobotomy
Here's all you need to know:
WE SUCK.
Yes, Elliott has reinvigorated the team and while he is great at motivating them and is determined to turn this thing around, he is still surrounded by the same shite for brains assistants as before.
If Tanner doesn't grow a set (he's way too nice a guy...makes decisions with this heart instead of his head) and clean house, there just may be Ferguson style riots in Columbia.
WE SUCK.
Yes, Elliott has reinvigorated the team and while he is great at motivating them and is determined to turn this thing around, he is still surrounded by the same shite for brains assistants as before.
If Tanner doesn't grow a set (he's way too nice a guy...makes decisions with this heart instead of his head) and clean house, there just may be Ferguson style riots in Columbia.
Posted on 10/25/15 at 12:44 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
I honestly don't feel like melting. We're on course for a 9-3 season and that's about on par with what most of us predicted. People just got too amped up early in the season and are now acting like 5-2 = dumpster fire.
Posted on 10/25/15 at 12:45 pm to Roger Klarvin
Your mom's a dumpster fire
Posted on 10/25/15 at 12:47 pm to Carolina_Girl
quote:
Here's all you need to know:
WE SUCK.
So do we.
Posted on 10/25/15 at 12:53 pm to Iosh
quote:
I honestly don't feel like melting. We're on course for a 9-3 season and that's about on par with what most of us predicted. People just got too amped up early in the season and are now acting like 5-2 = dumpster fire.
It's not that we lost. It is just like last year, it is in how we lost.
Posted on 10/25/15 at 6:22 pm to slacker00
quote:
I honestly don't feel like melting. We're on course for a 9-3 season and that's about on par with what most of us predicted. People just got too amped up early in the season and are now acting like 5-2 = dumpster fire.
It's not that we lost. It is just like last year, it is in how we lost.
Precisely. Also, it appears a lot of the teams we thought would be good teams simply aren't, and at the very least they are all beatable. So while the 9-3 is still a very real possibility, it just doesn't feel like that much of an improvement.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 6:47 am to Agforlife
quote:
So do we
Let me give you some insight on our level of suck. Missouri the past 3 games has gone 3/41 on third downs and scored less than 6 points in each of those games.
That same offense scored 24 points on us.
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