re: Ted Cruz announces candidacy.

Cruz to me has two big problems in actually winning the White House.

1. He's bright and he knows it. The good side is that he's quick on his feet. The bad is he thinks this will get him out of trouble when he gaffes. I have seen nothing to suggest he has the discipline to run the Presidential slog without making too many mistakes.

2. He too conservative base. This could help in primary season, but won't win a general. Whoever the Dems nominate would just have to stick to the middle and sweep the swing states with moderates who will find Cruz too extreme.

He's perfect to keep the base buzzing, but that doesn't win the President. Like someone on the Poliboard said, he's a one state candidate in a 50 state race.