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Official BCSNCG prediction thread.
Posted on 11/19/11 at 2:51 am
Posted on 11/19/11 at 2:51 am
Figured since we have so many damn "experts" on here that obviously know what exactly what is going to happen in the BCS now that Oklahoma State lost, why not start a thread simply stating everyone's "expert" predictions.
Thread will definitely be bookmarked for later review.
-note that I am using the term expert extremely loosely.
Now for my personal prediction:
LSU vs. Oklahoma State
As long as Oklahoma beats Baylor and Iowa St. The Oklahoma St./Oklahoma will finish #2 in the computer polls. I also think we will see a split amongst voters half wanting a rematch between LSU/UO or LSU/Bama, and half wanting no rematch Big12 or 1 loss ACC. Ultimately I think the polls will be so close that the computers will actually be the deciding factor despite being only 1/3 of the BCS formula.
Thread will definitely be bookmarked for later review.
-note that I am using the term expert extremely loosely.
Now for my personal prediction:
LSU vs. Oklahoma State
As long as Oklahoma beats Baylor and Iowa St. The Oklahoma St./Oklahoma will finish #2 in the computer polls. I also think we will see a split amongst voters half wanting a rematch between LSU/UO or LSU/Bama, and half wanting no rematch Big12 or 1 loss ACC. Ultimately I think the polls will be so close that the computers will actually be the deciding factor despite being only 1/3 of the BCS formula.
6
Posted on 11/19/11 at 3:00 am to dgtiger3
LSU vs OU
Posted on 11/19/11 at 3:03 am to dgtiger3
If LSU beats Arkansas: LSU-Bama
If Arkansas beats LSU: Ark-LSU
If Arkansas beats LSU: Ark-LSU
Posted on 11/19/11 at 3:06 am to dgtiger3
According to how things play out
1. Oklahoma (winning out convincing, by 10pts or more)
2. Oklahoma state (winning out very convincing 14pts or more)
3. Oregon (winning out )
4. Bama (beating auburn by 30pts or more, Oklahoma losing to Oklahoma state, and Oregon losing a game will almost guarantee a rematch if voters do not forgive okie state's loss)
If #1 happens I think most definitely they get in, if #2 happens I think they have a great shot if voters do not want a rematch. The tricky part is if #2 happens and voters don't forgive okie state and #3 happens I think most definitely Oregon gets in. If Bama gets a rematch I believe that Oklahoma state will have to win out, not be forgiven by voters, and Oregon will have to lose a game.
I believe Oklahoma will win out and it will be LSU vs Oklahoma. If Oklahoma doesn't win out its going to be a wild ride
1. Oklahoma (winning out convincing, by 10pts or more)
2. Oklahoma state (winning out very convincing 14pts or more)
3. Oregon (winning out )
4. Bama (beating auburn by 30pts or more, Oklahoma losing to Oklahoma state, and Oregon losing a game will almost guarantee a rematch if voters do not forgive okie state's loss)
If #1 happens I think most definitely they get in, if #2 happens I think they have a great shot if voters do not want a rematch. The tricky part is if #2 happens and voters don't forgive okie state and #3 happens I think most definitely Oregon gets in. If Bama gets a rematch I believe that Oklahoma state will have to win out, not be forgiven by voters, and Oregon will have to lose a game.
I believe Oklahoma will win out and it will be LSU vs Oklahoma. If Oklahoma doesn't win out its going to be a wild ride
Posted on 11/19/11 at 3:14 am to Jon Ham
quote:
If LSU beats Arkansas: LSU-Bama
Potentially
quote:
If Arkansas beats LSU: Ark-LSU
Not laughing because I think it's impossible for us to lose to Arkansas but because that rematch would NEVER happen in a million years.
I suppose it could happen if Arkansas beat LSU by 30 and LSU still somehow makes it to Atlanta and massacres UGA along with a loss by Bama to Auburn, AT LEAST ONE more loss by oregon, oklahoma losing to either baylor/iowa state (potentially needing to lose both of those) and the oklahoma beating oklahoma state.
Wow. Ya that's never ever going to happen.
Posted on 11/19/11 at 3:20 am to Jon Ham
quote:
If LSU beats Arkansas: LSU-Bama
If Arkansas beats LSU: Ark-LSU
probably no way
for arkansas to make it they need bama to lose to auburn
then they could beat lsu and maybe somehow get their points total high enough to make the top two of the BCS... but probably not... probably need too many other teams to lose still
they are just too far back in teh computers
Posted on 11/19/11 at 3:22 am to molsusports
Here's my reasoning copied from another thread:
If Arkansas beats LSU, I don't think Bama will hold much if any of a computer advantage over Arkansas. I agree that LSU will end up being favored most by the computers, which helps Arkansas if Arkansas were to beat LSU b/c Arkansas would need LSU to say ahead of Bama in order to go to Atlanta. I don't think many voters or computers would drop LSU below Bama, and I think the voters would put Arkansas above both if they were to beat LSU. The human polls count for 2/3, computers for 1/3.
If Arkansas beats LSU, I don't think Bama will hold much if any of a computer advantage over Arkansas. I agree that LSU will end up being favored most by the computers, which helps Arkansas if Arkansas were to beat LSU b/c Arkansas would need LSU to say ahead of Bama in order to go to Atlanta. I don't think many voters or computers would drop LSU below Bama, and I think the voters would put Arkansas above both if they were to beat LSU. The human polls count for 2/3, computers for 1/3.
Posted on 11/19/11 at 4:41 am to dgtiger3
Arkansas vs. OU
Posted on 11/19/11 at 4:52 am to liferedeemed
No undefeated champion from the BIG 12 deserves a shot at a title, if you cant stay unbeaten in a conference without a championship game you shouldnt go, see the Big 10 the last few years. No matter what OK State and OU do they wont go unless Bama or Oregon loses and then there is a possibility. I think OU would give a good game but they lost to Texas Tech on their own field. Besides OK State will be too far behind in the polls even if they beat OU
Posted on 11/19/11 at 5:14 am to kilo
quote:
LSU vs OU
This
or
LSU vs Ducks
Posted on 11/19/11 at 5:16 am to dgtiger3
lsumatt is the TD.com BCS guru; not sure if he posts on tSECr though.
Posted on 11/19/11 at 5:25 am to Jon Ham
quote:
If Arkansas beats LSU: Ark- LSU
^strange
I got LSU VS OU....no data, just IMO
Posted on 11/19/11 at 5:27 am to dgtiger3
Oklahoma State would have been easy money for LSU.
So now the Crimson tide will get another shot at LSU with the defeat of Oklahoma State.
# 1 LSU - vs- # 2 Alabama...for the BCS National Championship Super Dome New Orleans,La.
The SEC will finely lose a BCS game. To another SEC team who will take the SEC BCS win streak to Five (5).
So now the Crimson tide will get another shot at LSU with the defeat of Oklahoma State.
# 1 LSU - vs- # 2 Alabama...for the BCS National Championship Super Dome New Orleans,La.
The SEC will finely lose a BCS game. To another SEC team who will take the SEC BCS win streak to Five (5).
Posted on 11/19/11 at 5:33 am to WicKed WayZ
Right now we have about 5-way tie for second place.
Two of these teams have to play each other in 3 weeks (Okla. and OSU). One of these teams has to play #1. And two of these teams have already lost to #1.
I think it will turn-out that the voters will treat Ark/LSU and OU/OSU as semifinals for the BCSCG.
Two of these teams have to play each other in 3 weeks (Okla. and OSU). One of these teams has to play #1. And two of these teams have already lost to #1.
I think it will turn-out that the voters will treat Ark/LSU and OU/OSU as semifinals for the BCSCG.
Posted on 11/19/11 at 5:46 am to liferedeemed
quote:
I think it will turn-out that the voters will treat Ark/LSU and OU/OSU as semifinals for the BCSCG.
nope. that would be a playoff. nice try though
Posted on 11/19/11 at 11:00 am to Geauxin off
lots of opinions out there this morning.
bump
bump
Posted on 11/19/11 at 11:05 am to LanierSpots
quote:
This
or
LSU vs Ducks
That's your totally unbiased opinion, huh? Fortunately, it doesn't count for shite.
This post was edited on 11/19/11 at 11:05 am
Posted on 11/19/11 at 11:06 am to liferedeemed
quote:
Right now we have about 5-way tie for second place.
Lulz, no. Because one of those "5" teams lost to another of those 5 teams by 4 touchdowns. Good try, though.
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