re: Auburns offense

Auburn's main problem has been offensive production. Knox couldn't coach a receiver to hit water if he fell out of a boat. After our deep pass threat left due in part to Cox's weaker arm and receiver talent not being coached up or able to simply perform dispite the idiot coach teams put their safeties in the box. This started cutting into the running game.

If you look at 2004 compared to 2003 there was minimal difference in our running game between the two years. The big difference was the passing game JC's passer rating went from 100 against BCS teams to 189 against them in 2004. Also the fact the average pass from AU that season went 15 yards, teams could no longer put 2 extra in the box opening up the running game. This explains the better running game in 2005 where teams respected the pass from us more.

This is the thing that Gus must do, he has stated he wants to go deep 8 times per game. If teams cough up TDs on those you can bet teams will keep a safety deep to help cover that pass if Benton and Carr can break loose and get a TD on those.

I've got some people close to the program saying 50 is what we are expecting assuming we go relatively injury free on offense. I'm going more conservative with 60 or so. That said with a top 30 defense and that for the offense that is an 8 win season statistically when you look at the past for BCS teams.