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Texas Tech / Oregon

Posted on 1/1/26 at 1:12 pm
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34646 posts
Posted on 1/1/26 at 1:12 pm
This game started with Tech being seen as 50.6% chance of winning.

They were only 6 points down in the third quarter and had less than a 30% chance of winning. That's how little their offense had produced against Oregon.

With that last TD they are now at less than a 15% chance of winning despite only being down 13 points while having the #2 scoring offense in the country.


I think a lot of SEC teams would have been undefeated with TT's schedule.
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
38973 posts
Posted on 1/1/26 at 1:13 pm to
The time possession is telling me that Oregon will blow this wide open here in a few.
Posted by BigC LSU
Pittsburgh
Member since Oct 2025
1770 posts
Posted on 1/1/26 at 1:17 pm to
Oregon was free money
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34646 posts
Posted on 1/1/26 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

The time possession is telling me that Oregon will blow this wide open here in a few.


If Oregon had settled for FGs on those two drives they drove deep, they'd be up 19-0. Tech is only down by 2 scores because Oregon tried to convert two fourth downs that were deep in Oregon territory (one just a couple of yards from the endzone).
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34646 posts
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

If Oregon had settled for FGs on those two drives they drove deep, they'd be up 19-0.


Crazy how much worse this score could have been for Tech... two FGs and no miss and we're looking at 25-0 right now.
Posted by Shocco
Member since Nov 2015
2298 posts
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:09 pm to
Shorten season, expand playoffs
Posted by D3Fan
Member since Dec 2024
161 posts
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:11 pm to
How did the SEC do in bowl season?
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34646 posts
Posted on 1/1/26 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

How did the SEC do in bowl season?


Teams with intact rosters are 3-1.

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