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CFP Rankings / Data
Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:53 am
Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:53 am
Overall Rank FEI/SP+:
IU 1/2
OSU 2/1
Oregon 3/3
TX Tech 5/3
UGA 6/5
Miami 8/9
OM 12/6
Bama 10/15
Miami v Ohio State
6 v 1, OSU (-9.5), SP+ 29-19 OSU
OM v UGA
7 v 5, UGA (-6.5), SP+ 27-27 tie
TX Tech v Oregon
3 v 4, Oregon (-2.5), SP+ Tech 28-26
Bama v IU
8 v 1, IU (-6.5), SP+ IU 31-18
Takeaways
-Some interesting lines relative to the computers with three games almost a touchdown above their predicted line (Oregon 4.5, Bama 7 and UGA 6.5)
-Very odd for three games at this point in the season to be that unaligned at this point in the year
-Bama might be explained by injuries and OM due to the coaching change but don’t understand the Oregon line
IU 1/2
OSU 2/1
Oregon 3/3
TX Tech 5/3
UGA 6/5
Miami 8/9
OM 12/6
Bama 10/15
Miami v Ohio State
6 v 1, OSU (-9.5), SP+ 29-19 OSU
OM v UGA
7 v 5, UGA (-6.5), SP+ 27-27 tie
TX Tech v Oregon
3 v 4, Oregon (-2.5), SP+ Tech 28-26
Bama v IU
8 v 1, IU (-6.5), SP+ IU 31-18
Takeaways
-Some interesting lines relative to the computers with three games almost a touchdown above their predicted line (Oregon 4.5, Bama 7 and UGA 6.5)
-Very odd for three games at this point in the season to be that unaligned at this point in the year
-Bama might be explained by injuries and OM due to the coaching change but don’t understand the Oregon line
This post was edited on 12/31/25 at 10:54 am
Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:59 am to tide06
Ole miss and UGA will be interesting. I'm curious how much the loss of lane and the improvement by the UGA defense will effect this one.
Posted on 12/31/25 at 11:10 am to tide06
The data that means most to me is the talent rankings.
No team has won a national title since recruiting rankings have existed without at least 50% of their roster being blue-chip players (4 or 5 stars)
OSU - 79%
Bama - 78%
UGA - 75%
Oregon - 67%
Miami - 55%
Ole Miss - 48% (very close... perhaps good enough)
TT - 26%
Indiana - 10%
While these won't predict a single game (as Indiana beating OSU showed)... I think the data is very relevant in terms of looking at who can win 3-4 games in a row to win the playoff.
It's very possible that the top 4 teams listed will be in the final 4 after the next couple of days.
No team has won a national title since recruiting rankings have existed without at least 50% of their roster being blue-chip players (4 or 5 stars)
OSU - 79%
Bama - 78%
UGA - 75%
Oregon - 67%
Miami - 55%
Ole Miss - 48% (very close... perhaps good enough)
TT - 26%
Indiana - 10%
While these won't predict a single game (as Indiana beating OSU showed)... I think the data is very relevant in terms of looking at who can win 3-4 games in a row to win the playoff.
It's very possible that the top 4 teams listed will be in the final 4 after the next couple of days.
Posted on 12/31/25 at 11:29 am to DawginSC
I would say that's a depth thing would you? Most teams have backups a smidge worse than the starters that recruit at a high level. I'd say teams like Indiana and TT are a few Injuries away from disaster..maybe that's why
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