Started By
Message
Blue chip ratio correlation to winning it all?
Posted on 7/19/25 at 11:13 am
Posted on 7/19/25 at 11:13 am
LINK
...
It is not a requirement to make the College Football Playoff. Teams with sub-50% BCRs have made the four-team field, and many made the 12-team field. But, once you're there, the bar goes up. The difference between making the playoff and winning it is enormous.
It is not a substitute for culture, coaching, player development, health or quarterback play. All of those things matter. But none of them matter more than talent acquisition when it comes to separating the very good from the elite.
Here's the full list of modern champions and their Blue-Chip Ratios at the time:
2024: Ohio State (90%)
2023: Michigan (54%)
2022: Georgia (77%)
2021: Georgia (80%)
2020: Alabama (83%)
2019: LSU (64%)
2018: Clemson (61%)
2017: Alabama (80%)
2016: Clemson (52%)
2015: Alabama (77%)
2014: Ohio State (68%)
2013: Florida State (53%)
2012: Alabama (71%)
2011: Alabama (71%)
............................................
2025 Blue-Chip Ratio
School BCR
Alabama 89%
Ohio State 89%
Georgia 84%
Texas A&M 82%
Oregon 78%
Texas 78%
LSU 73%
Notre Dame 73%
Oklahoma 70%
Penn State 68%
Miami 64%
Florida 64%
Auburn 64%
Michigan 57%
USC 57%
Clemson 55%
Tennessee 54%
Florida State 54%
...
...
It is not a requirement to make the College Football Playoff. Teams with sub-50% BCRs have made the four-team field, and many made the 12-team field. But, once you're there, the bar goes up. The difference between making the playoff and winning it is enormous.
It is not a substitute for culture, coaching, player development, health or quarterback play. All of those things matter. But none of them matter more than talent acquisition when it comes to separating the very good from the elite.
Here's the full list of modern champions and their Blue-Chip Ratios at the time:
2024: Ohio State (90%)
2023: Michigan (54%)
2022: Georgia (77%)
2021: Georgia (80%)
2020: Alabama (83%)
2019: LSU (64%)
2018: Clemson (61%)
2017: Alabama (80%)
2016: Clemson (52%)
2015: Alabama (77%)
2014: Ohio State (68%)
2013: Florida State (53%)
2012: Alabama (71%)
2011: Alabama (71%)
............................................
2025 Blue-Chip Ratio
School BCR
Alabama 89%
Ohio State 89%
Georgia 84%
Texas A&M 82%
Oregon 78%
Texas 78%
LSU 73%
Notre Dame 73%
Oklahoma 70%
Penn State 68%
Miami 64%
Florida 64%
Auburn 64%
Michigan 57%
USC 57%
Clemson 55%
Tennessee 54%
Florida State 54%
...
12
Posted on 7/19/25 at 11:19 am to Night Vision
Winner will come from this list
Posted on 7/19/25 at 11:31 am to Night Vision
So teams are only good when they have good players? Got it.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 11:32 am to 1BIGTigerFan
quote:yeah this is Paul Finebaum level research
So teams are only good when they have good players? Got it.
This post was edited on 7/19/25 at 11:33 am
Posted on 7/19/25 at 12:45 pm to OU Guy
FSU, Michigan and Clemson have won with low ratios. Coaching is still king.
This post was edited on 7/19/25 at 12:46 pm
Posted on 7/19/25 at 12:46 pm to Night Vision
You're looking at this wrong. It's the other way around.
They're considered "blue-chips" because they signed with the successful school that they play for.
They're considered "blue-chips" because they signed with the successful school that they play for.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 12:50 pm to Boomer00
quote:
FSU, Michigan and Clemson have won with low ratios. Coaching is still king.
I agree but that under a different system. You need some great depth now along with them being mostly blue chippers. You play either 3 or 4 games to win the title vs less under prior winners.
I just think it will matter more under new system but we’ll need some years to see how it shakes out.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 1:01 pm to OU Guy
Texas has invested a ton of capital to retain that 78%. The narrative when we win the national title is we bought the best roster. We spent the most to retain the players we believe in and developed.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 1:04 pm to Night Vision
motherfricker couldnt include 2010?
Posted on 7/19/25 at 1:06 pm to EastTXHorn
OSU paid the most last season to win. Straight up bought a natty. Even Day couldn't frick it up for them.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 1:06 pm to EastTXHorn
quote:
The narrative when we win the national title is we bought the best roster.
When was this the narrative?
Posted on 7/19/25 at 1:29 pm to TriStateAreaFootball
quote:
They're considered "blue-chips" because they signed with the successful school that they play for.
You sure bout that
Posted on 7/19/25 at 1:32 pm to AuburnTigers
quote:
motherfricker couldnt include 2010?
Auburn had two top ten and two top twenty classes the four previous classes, I think it's weird how the story was it was some David v Goliath story.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 2:01 pm to Boomer00
quote:
FSU, Michigan and Clemson have won with low ratios. Coaching is still king.
None of those programs are going to be legitimately competing for a natty any time soon.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 2:27 pm to Dawgfanman
The “40million dollar Roster” conversation has dominated Texas Football discussion this off-season. As if it equates to the best roster. In the eyes of Texas fans it is, in terms of recruiting rankings, it’s not even the best in the State.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 2:33 pm to jonnyanony
quote:our second half defense that year was legendary.
Auburn had two top ten and two top twenty classes the four previous classes, I think it's weird how the story was it was some David v Goliath story.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 2:47 pm to Boomer00
quote:
FSU, Michigan and Clemson have won with low ratios. Coaching is still king.
This is just blatantly false.
All 3 of these teams were loaded with talent when they won it all!!!!
The 2013 Florida State Championship team had a Blue Chip ratio of 53% led by #1 overall NFL draft pick Jameis Winston & 1st round pick Jalen Ramsey.
The 2016 & 2018 National Championship teams of Clemson had a 52% Blue Chip ratio led by 1st round pick Deshaun Watson and the 2018 team had a 61% Blue Chip ratio led by #1 overall NFL pick Trevor Lawrence.
The 2023 Michigan championship tesm had a Blue Chip ratio of 56% and had 13 players drafted by the NFL in the 2024 draft led by 1st round pick JJ McCarthy.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 3:10 pm to 1BIGTigerFan
quote:
So teams are only good when they have good players? Got it.
Shocking right?
Posted on 7/19/25 at 3:24 pm to kajunman
quote:
Even Day couldn't frick it up for them.
He certainly tried.
Without the expanded playoff in 2024 I feel like he would have been fired after losing to an unranked Michigan team at home.
Posted on 7/19/25 at 3:52 pm to RollTide1987
quote:Agree. When Dame made their comeback there were a lot of rear ends in the stands puckering.
Without the expanded playoff in 2024 I feel like he would have been fired after losing to an unranked Michigan team at home.
Page 1 of 2
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News