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Omaha Stats - National Seeds, Regional Host
Posted on 5/6/24 at 5:29 pm
Posted on 5/6/24 at 5:29 pm
If you are a National Seed, you have a 6.3% chance of winning the NC.
8 National Seeds each Year x 24 Years
192 Chances and 12 won = 192/12 = 6.3%
If you are a Regional Host but not a National Seed, you have a 3.1% chance of winning the NC.
8 Regional Hosts each Year x 24 Years
192 Chances and 6 won = 192/6 = 3.1%
You don't want to be #9, #10, #15, #16
These seeds have 0 NC and 0 Runner-Ups.
More than anything, I think this just shows you how hard it is to win a baseball NC. You have to be hot at the right time and hope that the baseball gods have blessed your team.
Thoughts?
5
Posted on 5/6/24 at 5:37 pm to BigBro
Vitello will find a way to frick it all up
Posted on 5/6/24 at 5:51 pm to BigBro
quote:
More than anything, I think this just shows you how hard it is to win a baseball NC.
Meanwhile, you have a powerhouse program in LSU that won another CWS Title without the eventual #1 overall pick ever touching the mound in the CWS Finals
Posted on 5/6/24 at 7:00 pm to BigBro
you left out one. If David Pierce is your coach you have a 0% chance to win a NC 
Posted on 5/6/24 at 8:32 pm to BigBro
You definitely need to catch some breaks along the way
Pitching matchups are key as well
It also helps to stay in winners bracket in Omaha
What lsu did last year with 8 games in 10 days is next to impossible to pull off
To beat Fla in a three game series without having Skenes toe the rubber is hard to fathom looking back
Pitching matchups are key as well
It also helps to stay in winners bracket in Omaha
What lsu did last year with 8 games in 10 days is next to impossible to pull off
To beat Fla in a three game series without having Skenes toe the rubber is hard to fathom looking back
Posted on 5/7/24 at 8:53 am to BigBro
Nice analysis, real interesting to see the data/stats on it. With all the trolling that goes on this site, it’s really refreshing to see posts like this from time to time, keep it up, it’s certainly appreciated.
There’s a poster on Texags that does lots of stats and analysis on college sports (mostly football), by the name of spreadsheetAg, y’all would probably get along well.
There’s a poster on Texags that does lots of stats and analysis on college sports (mostly football), by the name of spreadsheetAg, y’all would probably get along well.
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