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re: UGA loses its two best players on offense

Posted on 5/10/24 at 8:38 am to
Posted by antibarner
Member since Oct 2009
23802 posts
Posted on 5/10/24 at 8:38 am to
At Alabama. AT Texas. At Ole Miss. No UGA creampuff schedule for them this year and some other tough games to go with it.

I see a realistic shot at 3 L's. particularly if they come out of TTown with another L to Bama.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25999 posts
Posted on 5/10/24 at 8:45 am to
quote:

I see a realistic shot at 3 L's


Sure.
And there is a realistic shot at 3 W's.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
4686 posts
Posted on 5/10/24 at 9:14 am to
quote:


At Alabama. AT Texas. At Ole Miss. No UGA creampuff schedule for them this year and some other tough games to go with it.

I see a realistic shot at 3 L's. particularly if they come out of TTown with another L to Bama.



Alabama will be interesting because they're a bit of an unknown with a new coach. Texas is interesting because they were good last season and are a newcomer to the conference.

I'm not really sure about Ole Miss being scary. Yes, Ole Miss changed over their roster a decen amount with transfer portal changes. Yes, they were a good team last year. And yes, the game is in Oxford. But UGA did play Ole Miss last season and beat them 52-17.

UGA plays teams at that level every season. Both Mizzou and Ole Miss ended up in the top 10 last year and UGA beat them in the regular season. Teams who UGA has a significant talent edge against sometimes test UGA due to having experienced players and good coaching, but they rarely win now that Smart has built UGA's talent level to where it is now.

So yeah, due to having elite talent both Texas and Alabama are tests that UGA has to overcome. Ole Miss is more of the type of team that has enough to beat UGA if the stars align, but would lose 9 out of 10 matchups simply because UGA's players are much better.

I think it's unlikely UGA has more than 2 losses. I think 1 is the most likely outcome for next season, with 0 and 2 not being too far out in left field. 3 or more would require UGA to have a significant and unexpected regression.

After Smart's first season at UGA, UGA has not had more than 2 regular season losses. They've only had 2 losses once (the 2020 covid year), 1 loss three times and 0 losses 3 times. Expecting 3 regular season losses is essentially expecting UGA to become worse than any year they've had under Smart aside from year 1. It's unlikely.

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