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re: Old School Model - Rose Bowl Edition : #1 Michigan (13-0) vs #4 Alabama (12-1)

Posted on 12/7/23 at 3:03 pm to
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
18296 posts
Posted on 12/7/23 at 3:03 pm to
I'll take 1 point or 30, so long as it's a W.

I was a bit surprised how close the offenses are in Run to Pass Balance and Total Plays.

Rushes(% of total plays)- Passes(% of Total plays)- Total Plays
Bama: 518(63%) - 302(37%) - 820
Um: 493(61%)- 315(39%) - 808

I've only watched a few UM games, and it seemed they were heavier on the run than Bama. I do like the advantage in Yards per pass attempt. It looks like Bama can keep them honest on defense, while Bama can maybe afford to play heavier on rush D.

Some other notes that were pretty similar:
Bama:
94% RZ conversion
46.75% 3rd down concessions

UM:
88.14% RZ conversion
46.71% 3rd down concessions

Two very physical teams. It should be a great matchup.

Thanks for the break down as always!
Posted by Remiden
Member since Jan 2018
1322 posts
Posted on 12/7/23 at 3:07 pm to
I think our rush defense has is numbers skewed because of running QBs. I don't think Michigan will have more success than UGA had. It would surprise me if they go over 100.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 12/7/23 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

I was a bit surprised how close the offenses are in Run to Pass Balance and Total Plays.


Michigan has had a very big difference in their offense vs teams they can overmatch (most of their schedule) vs teams they cannot (OSU, PSU, Iowa)

Vs Bad Defenses
62 Plays
37 Runs (58%)
26 Passes (42%)

vs 4 "Good" Defenses (PSU, Maryland, OSU, Iowa)
62 plays
41 Runs (66%)
21 Passes (34%)


They tried to let him throw against Iowa to get him going and he ended up with 147 yards on 30 attempts (4.9 YPA), which is dreadful.
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