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re: Tide Hoops | 25-12 (13-5)

Posted on 3/27/24 at 12:43 pm to
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
11337 posts
Posted on 3/27/24 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Nelson was never a great shooter, and a lot of people have put unrealistic expectations on him. I think he can shoot a little better than he has, and that would help us. But he was never going to be a 40% guy.

I mean his 3p% has gone:
35%
32%
27%
27%

That's not good. Nelson at 35% completely changes our offense. Hell Sears only hit 35% from 3 last year.
Posted by BamaBravesPackers
Member since Nov 2021
2665 posts
Posted on 3/27/24 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

Nelson at 35% completely changes our offense


Yep, that’s 1.05 PPP with no O-boards. If you assume just 10% O-boards on his misses, that goes up to 1.15 PPP which is winning basketball.

I said back in November/December that Grant jacking 3s in March probably isn’t a winning strategy for us and still believe that to be true.

On a positive note, the posts about Oats understanding the tired legs is a HUGE DEVELOPMENT! Even with SDSU’s physical defense, I don’t think we shoot 11% from 3s on 27 attempts after several days off if Oats understood our guys needed more rest (it’s almost unfathomable that we shot 3-27 in that game).

And his use of TOs to stop runs quicker was much improved last game as well!

There’s literally only 2 things left, out of bounds plays (although he clearly saves a few for NCAAT) and offense/defense substitutions at the end of games (includes using TOs to make that happen).
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