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re: Tide Hoops | 25-12 (13-5)

Posted on 3/27/24 at 11:58 am to
Posted by Teague
The Shoals, AL
Member since Aug 2007
21706 posts
Posted on 3/27/24 at 11:58 am to
quote:

Nelson jacking a 3 with Bacot standing 8 feet away from him clogging the lane.

If he hits it, he’ll shoot 8 more and make one


If he hits it, Bacot can't stand 8 feet away clogging the lane anymore, and our offense opens up. That's what Oats wants.

Nelson was never a great shooter, and a lot of people have put unrealistic expectations on him. I think he can shoot a little better than he has, and that would help us. But he was never going to be a 40% guy.
Posted by BamaBravesPackers
Member since Nov 2021
2667 posts
Posted on 3/27/24 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

If he hits it, Bacot can't stand 8 feet away clogging the lane anymore, and our offense opens up.


Bacot will force him to make 2 of his first 5 shots before taking it away. If he hits the first, Bacot will let him miss the next 4-5 if he keeps shooting. If he goes 2-4, then Bacot will have to respect it for at least several possessions.

Nelson’s shooting 26.5% from 3 this season, and that includes a bunch of games in a familiar home gym with significantly less pressure. Even if he shot 30%, that’s only 0.9 PPP with virtually no chance at an offensive rebound (unless Pringle or MoD are in the game with him). Even 33% and 1.0 PPP probably doesn’t cut it against UNC. If they’re smart, they’ll double the screens he’s involved in, sag off him if he’s in the corner, and leave him wide open until he hits at least 2 of the first 5 he takes.

Here’s hoping he has the best game of his life, or just doesn’t shoot it to start the game until he seems like he may have an in rhythm 3 and is used to the gym (or just not shoot a 3 at all).
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
11353 posts
Posted on 3/27/24 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Nelson was never a great shooter, and a lot of people have put unrealistic expectations on him. I think he can shoot a little better than he has, and that would help us. But he was never going to be a 40% guy.

I mean his 3p% has gone:
35%
32%
27%
27%

That's not good. Nelson at 35% completely changes our offense. Hell Sears only hit 35% from 3 last year.
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