re: #tAuburnBasketball Thread

frick Tony Barbee man

KenPom's Top 10 next year. I don't know if that is with or without Wiley. He isn't in the top 30 but I haven't seen the 2nd round so I don't know where he falls.

Here's my computer's top 10 for 2019 assuming everyone in @DraftExpress top 40 leaves: 1) Kansas, 2) Duke, 3) Villanova, 4) Auburn, 5) Kentucky, 6) North Carolina, 7) Nevada, 8) West Virginia, 9) Gonzaga, 10) Virginia, 11) Maryland.

Well, if you looked at the KenPom ratings from 2016-17, you probably would have said that Horace was the "least efficient post player we have returning".

Horace improved between 16-17 and 17-18.

Maybe Wiley would/will too?

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KenPom's Top 10 next year. I don't know if that is with or without Wiley. He isn't in the top 30 but I haven't seen the 2nd round so I don't know where he falls. Here's my computer's top 10 for 2019 assuming everyone in @DraftExpress top 40 leaves: 1) Kansas, 2) Duke, 3) Villanova, 4) Auburn, 5) Kentucky, 6) North Carolina, 7) Nevada, 8) West Virginia, 9) Gonzaga, 10) Virginia, 11) Maryland.

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just think saying "these ratings computed using stats from 2 years ago is what this player will be next season" is kinda ridiculous

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Not really, the system accounts for transfers who are in the same situation of sitting a yr. Lots of data out there on how transfers develop and perform in off year

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OK, Horace wasn't the worst. But everybody knows that in 16-17 Horace wasn't very good. AT ALL

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I would point out his issues came with fouling/FT%, otherwise Horace was a solid and serviceable post player. He was a good bench player

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Wiley

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There is some revisionist AF history with how good Wiley was his first year amongst AU fans. I understand he was 17YO & expect Wiley to get a lot better, but he was a liability his FR year


If Wiley is included, I imagine they'll do some development projection, but looking solely on his prior production you cant reasonably project him to better than solid

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Is it a sure thing that Akingbola is reclassifying?

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Nearly every person who is considered an "insider" says it is happening. Hoke gets his bball info from Stephen Hooks though

There could be a curveball that causes problems, but seems like it is on track

Brown will be Sr.

A GC post from the Purifoy thread

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Also, if both Wiley + Purifoy return for next season, I fully expect that Akingbola will redshirt his freshman year 

Assuming that we don't have any unexpected departures, we will take no other recruits as we will be at our scholarship limit 

1- PG Jared Harper JR 
2- PG Davion Mitchell SO 
3- SG Bryce Brown SR 
4- G Samir Doughty JR 
5- SG Mustapha Heron JR 
6- SF Danjel Purifoy rJR 
7- SF Malik Dunbar SR 
8- PF Desean Murray SR 
9- PF Chuma Okeke SO 
10- C Austin Wiley rSO? 
11- C Anfernee McLemore JR 
12- C Horace Spencer SR 

13- PF/C Babatunde Akingbola ** RS 


Scholarship Projection 19-20 + 20-21 (** risk of early departure) 

2019 Class Scholarship Availability - 4 + # of early departures 

19-20 Scholarship Players 

1- SR PG Jared Harper 
2- JR PG Davion Mitchell 
3- SR G Samir Doughty 
4- SR G Mustapha Heron ** 
5- SR F Danjel Purifoy ** 
6- JR F Chuma Okeke 
7-JR(?) C Austin Wiley ** 
8- SR C Anfernee McLemore 
9-rFR C Babatunde Akingbola 


2020 Recruiting Class Scholarship Availability: A lot 

20-21 Scholarship Players 

1- SR PG Davion Mitchell 
2- SR F Chuma Okeke 
3- rSO C Babatunde Akingbola 

4- SR(?) C Austin Wiley ** ? 

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1 Harper
2 Brown
3 Heron/Doughty
4 Purifoy/McLemore
5 Wiley

That's what it should be with Okeke, Mitchell, Spencer, Murray, and Dunbar off the bench in that order behind whoever doesn't start at the 3 and 4.

Also think Okeke could win that 4 spot. But think it's more likely to McLemore or Purifoy