re: Georgia @ Auburn Prediction Thread

AU 42
UGA 31

As a joke and with some Georgia friends I went into a Georgia store in Athens a few weeks back and asked for a Nick Fairley jersey. I didn't think they'd remember who he was.

But they absolutely remember Nick Fairley.

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Gus uses first couple of series to see what they are doing....then hits the gas pedal. Defense shuts them down in the second half!
Auburn-42
UGA-31

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I like this prediction, would prefer a lot more and a lot faster. I'd like 1999 again with the second half the same as the first.

Ain't nobody gonna read all that

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Ain't nobody gonna read all that

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Here I'll shorten it up.

Auburn should win.

I'll shorten it a little less.

UGA is 2-2 on the road (3 SEC & CLEM). Yes they have the 20th defense against the run but that is greatly aided to holding North Texas to 7 (but they passed for 238 and kept it close.)

But on the road UGA allows teams to meet or exceed their rushing averages except Vandy who got 119 instead of 140. Auburn averages 320 yds/g, 378 in the last 6 games. Auburn could/should get to 320.

UGA on the road actually does worse on rushing defense and better on passing defense (although 85th in the country isn't saying much) than they do at home. Keep that in mind on the national averages.

UGA is a lot like Mississippi St stat wise. We ran for 120 but passed for 339 in that game.

Looking at only SEC stats, Auburn is impressive on offense and special teams. UGA defense not as well matched.

On 3rd down OFF and DEF, Auburn is 5th on both, UGA is 10th/11th. Red Zone OFF and DEF Auburn is 2nd on both, UGA 3rd and 10th. UGA offense also under performs on the road (Murray yards and TDs drop by a lot) and Gurley is an unknown.

Yes Auburn gives up yards but they don't give up scores. Auburn's offense is better than their defense stat wise and situational wise.

Advantage Auburn. Toss in home game, record, revenge, trash talking, motivation to be 10-1, better coaching, better schemes and UGAs fear of their own special teams, advantage Auburn.

War Damn Eagle.

The other thing about Auburns defense, the 2010 defense was maligned in the press as being awful. People still say it today.

But after the 1st quarter of the Iron Bowl, Auburn only gave up 4 TDs for the rest of the year. So thats 4 TDs in 11 quarters, through 2 championship games and the Iron Bowl (0 for Bama), it is extremely impressive.

Sometimes defenses get inspired. I hope they play mad (but smart) and watch out for UGAs cheap shots, chop blocks and propensity to get into fights like no other team in the SEC. Don't allow them to get Auburn guys in a fight and be out for the first half of the IB.

Mark Richt might be a saint off the field but on the field he is the patron saint of passive aggressiveness and his teams year after year play dirty. Fairley just returned the favor.

War Camn Eagle

And guys, thanks for letting me vent. I hate living amongst Georgia fans after losing 83-7 in two games and 6 of 7.

Here, an appreciation gift.

34-30 AU