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re: UA Basketball (16-15, 8-10)
Posted on 1/24/20 at 3:31 pm to CrimsonFever
Posted on 1/24/20 at 3:31 pm to CrimsonFever
quote:
#Alabama ranks No. 330 of 353 teams with a -.091 “luck rating,” according to KenPom.com.
2
Posted on 1/24/20 at 3:54 pm to Chadaristic
quote:
#Alabama ranks No. 330 of 353 teams with a -.091 “luck rating,” according to KenPom.com.
This should surprise absolutely no fan of Alabama basketball.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 4:43 pm to JustGetItRight
And that stat isn’t even taking into account the two preseason injuries to Rojas and Gary at a position of need or the quinerly waiver getting denied.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 5:53 pm to CrimsonFever
I ran across that Game on YouTube against Mississippi State where we choked and gave them the SEC Championship. I completely forgot about that bullshite move Timmy Bowers pulled when Shelton was at the FT line. frick that Guy, I remember that got me cussin
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 5:57 pm
Posted on 1/24/20 at 6:37 pm to mistaken4193
-8.5 tomorrow.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 6:41 pm to Chadaristic
quote:
It's somewhat interesting to note that Nate Oats' former team, Buffalo, and Oats' current team, Alabama, are respectively rated second and third in the country in game pace right now.
Under Avery Johnson, Alabama was 89th in pace a season ago and 132nd in pace two seasons ago.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 6:50 pm to Chadaristic
Last couple years pace was at times so dreadfully slow it made me sleepy.
This high energy, fast pace, lots of shots up brand we're running is much more exciting brand of basketball.
This high energy, fast pace, lots of shots up brand we're running is much more exciting brand of basketball.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:03 pm to Canyon16
quote:
Last couple years pace was at times so dreadfully slow it made me sleepy.
Couple years?
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:09 pm to BigBird09
Edit couple years to the whole Grant/Avery regime. Lol
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:20 pm to Chadaristic
We are 3rd in the country in scoring offense and guess who is 4th? Anthony Grants Dayton team.
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 7:24 pm
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:24 pm to CrimsonFever
quote:
KANSAS STATE IN POSSESSION: When analytically matched up against the Alabama defense, this Kansas State offense stands to be at somewhat of a disadvantage. Alabama is currently 49th in the country in defensive efficiency, while Kansas State nationally comes in at #136 in offensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: There are comparable shot preferences for these two units on this end of the floor. Both schemes are relatively balanced, and neither the outside shot nor the inside shot will be consistently employed/allowed by either ball-club. Against the Alabama defense, this site projects that the shot makeup of the Kansas State offense will be 35.9% three-pointers (1.8% below the D1 average), 26.3% mid-range jumpers (1.2% below the D1 average), and 37.8% near-proximity twos (3.0% above the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Kansas State has been converting field goals at a solid rate and is rated our #70 team in overall field goal percentage this season. The Alabama defense, meanwhile, has done exceptional work to keep opponents' shooting percentages in check (nationally ranked #22 in defensive field goal conversion rate). The Alabama defense appears to have a noteworthy advantage at all three levels on this end. This site expects Kansas State to shoot 31.5% from three (1.9% below the D1 average), 33.5% from the mid-range (2.9% below the D1 average), 50.4% from near-proximity locations (8.6% below the D1 average), and 39.2% overall (4.0% below the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Alabama would appear to have a comfortable rebounding advantage on this end. Kansas State is really nothing special on the offensive glass. They are considered to be somewhat below-average in second-chance conversion percentage (nationally rated #249 in that department). The opposition here, Alabama, rates as a relatively solid unit on the defensive boards, and they've similarly been solid squashing opponents' putback conversion rates (nationally ranked 75th in that category).
TURNOVERS: The Alabama defense has a small advantage over the Kansas State offense in the turnover battle on this end. On offense, Kansas State rates somewhat close to the Division I norm when it comes to protecting the basketball. Their field goal attempt rate is not very good (rated 264th in the country), while their rating for potential quick points allowed off of steals is less than satisfactory (233rd in the country). As for the opposition, the Alabama defense demonstrates fairly balanced pressure and likely wouldn't be considered overly conservative or aggressive.
FREE THROWS: These two squads are matched fairly evenly in this department. The Kansas State offense is fairly decent at booking trips to the charity stripe (nationally ranked #114 in free throw attempt rate), though they're not one of the better shooting teams from there (66.0%, ranked #289 in Division I). As for the opposition, the Alabama D is pretty average in defensive free throw attempt rate, ranking 201st in the country in that category.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:25 pm to Chadaristic
quote:
ALABAMA IN POSSESSION: These two squads are very evenly matched when Alabama is on offense. This site rates Alabama to be 37th in the nation in offensive efficiency, while Kansas State is currently our #41 squad in defensive efficiency.
SHOT SELECTION: These two units prefer similar shot locations on this end of the court. The Alabama offense exhibits a slight preference for perimeter shots over inside ones, while the Kansas State defense similarly tends to allow a few more opportunities from the outside. Against the Kansas State defense, this site forecasts that the shot breakdown of the Alabama offense will be 52.2% three-pointers (14.5% above the D1 average), 9.1% mid-range jumpers (18.4% below the D1 average), and 38.7% near-proximity twos (3.8% above the D1 average).
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE: Alabama does a pretty good job to convert shots each possession, ranking 64th in the country in overall field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Kansas State defense has been doing a fairly decent job to defend opposing shooters, ranking 89th in the NCAA in defensive field goal conversion rate. On this end of the court, the Alabama offense has a notable advantage in three-point shooting, while the Kansas State defense has the edge in both mid-range shooting and near-proximity shooting. We expect Alabama to shoot 36.0% from behind the arc (2.6% above the D1 average), 32.3% from mid-range locations (4.1% below the D1 average), 58.6% from near-proximity (0.4% below the D1 average), and 44.4% overall (1.3% above the D1 average).
REBOUNDING: Alabama may have a slight rebounding advantage on this end. Alabama has the fingerprint of a team that's above-average, yet not outstanding, on the offensive glass. When it comes to converting second-chance opportunities, they're unremarkable, coming in at #201 nationally in our ratings there. Their opponent in this matchup, Kansas State, is fairly average when it comes to preventing second-chance opportunities, but they've been very ineffective stopping opponents from scoring on offensive putbacks (ranked #317 in defensive second-chance conversion rate).
TURNOVERS: Alabama will likely have to worry about committing turnovers against this Kansas State defense. When in possession, Alabama is a fairly average D1 team when it comes to ball-security. Meanwhile, the Kansas State defense exhibits a fair amount of pressure, which can occasionally create havoc for opposing offenses. They rate well in our analytics on this front, landing at #58 in the nation in potential quick points scored off steals and #28 in defensive field goal attempt rate.
FREE THROWS: Alabama will probably acquire more foul line chances than normal in this contest. They're typically a team that likes to get to the charity stripe frequently (40th in the country in free throw attempt rate), though they're rather mediocre converting their shots from there (69.9%, 190th in the country). Meanwhile, the aggressive Kansas State defense sports a fairly mediocre defensive free throw attempt rate, one that rates 160th in the NCAA this season.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:26 pm to Chadaristic
quote:
THE X-FACTORS:
PACE: The projected tempo for this contest is fairly average by D1 standards. There are contrasting tastes between these two units. Alabama (third in the NCAA in game pace) enjoys things at a faster clip, while Kansas State (262nd) is content with slowing down the gameplay.
AWAY/HOME COURT: We would expect a potential performance bump for the home team here. Alabama has performed better at home than they have away from home this season. To boot, they are facing Kansas State, a team that has played their very worst basketball this year away from their home court.
MOMENTUM: Alabama has the momentum edge here. They've been playing some better basketball recently and are presently ranked fourth in the country in positive momentum.
CONSISTENCY: Alabama is one of college basketball's more consistent teams, ranking 76th in the country in consistency. Kansas State rates more in the middle.
THE VERDICT: Alabama gets the nod in this matchup. They are comfortably the better team on this day. Alabama 78.05, Kansas State 67.09.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 8:00 pm to Chadaristic
Don't beat yourself up too much about Penn State. Winning on the road in the Big Ten is one of the hardest feats in cbb this season. OSU and Michigan are ranked like 10th in that conference for crying out loud.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 8:00 pm to CrimsonFever
quote:
We are 3rd in the country in scoring offense and guess who is 4th? Anthony Grants Dayton team.
Isn’t that mind blowing?
Seems like yesterday we had Shannon Hale shooting contested, low % jumpers as the shot clock off went off.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 8:57 pm to Chadaristic
quote:
Alabama ranks No. 330 of 353 teams with a -.091 “luck rating,” according to KenPom.com.
Posted on 1/25/20 at 12:27 am to TiderNAL
Tell me something I don’t know.
Posted on 1/25/20 at 6:10 am to Goldtide1
Let's get the dub tonight fellas
Posted on 1/25/20 at 7:14 am to Gary Busey
Posted on 1/25/20 at 7:56 am to Gary Busey
Who is #4 on the scout team? Looks like he's no taller than 5'8"
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