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re: Auburn (6-5, 3-4) vs #2 Alabama (10-1, 6-1) - SOG Predictor Model

Posted on 11/22/21 at 8:29 am to
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
16995 posts
Posted on 11/22/21 at 8:29 am to
Hard to compare games like this. We know UGA is good but so are we. Anything can happen it’s why we play the game. I think the game will be close personally.
Posted by DT55Forever1
Member since Jan 2018
2919 posts
Posted on 11/22/21 at 8:57 am to
Left out Auburn points for playing at home with a back up quarterback and nothing to lose.
Posted by CrimsonTideMD
Member since Dec 2010
6925 posts
Posted on 11/22/21 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Left out Auburn points for playing at home with a back up quarterback and nothing to lose.


Also left out fvcking Jordan Hare voodoo
Posted by ChoadieMcSmalls
Look behind you
Member since Jul 2012
1695 posts
Posted on 11/22/21 at 11:14 am to
Oh yes how I enjoyed seeing this on monday morning.

I know it's early, but have you looked at the UGA numbers yet?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/22/21 at 11:32 am to
quote:

I know it's early, but have you looked at the UGA numbers yet?


No and I'm not sure I want to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/22/21 at 10:30 pm to
Ran it for Ole Miss/State and LSU/A&M and

State vs Ole Miss
Vegas : MSU -1, O/U 61, expected score MSU 31-30
SOG : Ole Miss 31 - Miss St 30 (MISS -1, Total 61)

LSU vs Texas A&M
Vegas : A&M -6.5, O/U 45.5, expected score A&M 26-19
SOG : Texas A&M 26 - LSU 19 (A&M -7, Total 45)

Auburn vs Alabama
Vegas : Bama -19.5, O/U 55.5, expected score Bama 38-18
SOG : Bama 40 - Auburn 19 (BAMA -21, Total 59)

WTF
This post was edited on 11/22/21 at 10:33 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/23/21 at 8:53 am to
Made a few tweaks to getting the formula that turns yards into points more accurate that I think is good.
Posted by ATLabama
Member since Jan 2013
1602 posts
Posted on 11/23/21 at 10:58 am to
This seems right.

To be frank, more excited to see what this spits out for the SECCG.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/23/21 at 10:59 am to
quote:

To be frank, more excited to see what this spits out for the SECCG.



Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22206 posts
Posted on 11/23/21 at 11:03 am to
Would be something like

UGA: 31
Bama: 24

But in reality I think they win by 14+
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