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re: 2017-18 Alabama Basketball Season Thread: 20-16 (10-11)
Posted on 1/2/18 at 10:24 pm to Kcstills17
Posted on 1/2/18 at 10:24 pm to Kcstills17
Arkansas just lost at Miss State
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Posted on 1/2/18 at 11:28 pm to Kcstills17
quote:
They are playing well
Yaten looks good.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 8:07 am to BigBird09
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Saw it live. Welcome to Memorial. Reminds me of Jamychal Green being called out of bounds when he was in by a good 3-4 inches.
Yep, that is how playing @Vandy works. I said it earlier, but nobody should expect to win there. Some of Wimp’s best teams got their arses kicked there by Vandy teams that never sniffed the postseason. I was legitimately surprised to have a chance at the end. My expectation was a double digit loss.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 8:28 am to JustGetItRight
My expectations for this team is the NIT again but maybe they go past the 2nd round. Anything more would be gravy.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 9:25 am to JoseyWalesTheOutlaw
Teamrankings says we'd probably get in with 19 wins and have a shot with only 18.
@Kentucky is the only game we have no shot in imo.
We're going to have a lot of close games. I think as fans it'll be more enjoyable to just take it one game at a time and not try to project forward too much.
@Kentucky is the only game we have no shot in imo.
We're going to have a lot of close games. I think as fans it'll be more enjoyable to just take it one game at a time and not try to project forward too much.
This post was edited on 1/3/18 at 9:26 am
Posted on 1/3/18 at 2:02 pm to TomRollTideRitter
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Teamrankings says we'd probably get in with 19 wins and have a shot with only 18.
Not sure I see it with <20W if TAMU doesn't return to peak form or picking up a few high quality neutral/road win.
quote:
@Kentucky is the only game we have no shot in imo.
By Kentucky standards, their team this year is trash. I think 12-6 is probably their ceiling in conf play. With UK playing a likely healthy @TAMU, @Auburn and TN leading up, that should be a winnable game
quote:
We're going to have a lot of close games.
Win or lose, this place is going to be like butter left on the counter every week
This post was edited on 1/3/18 at 2:03 pm
Posted on 1/3/18 at 2:24 pm to GenesChin
I tried hard last night but I couldn't de-melt. I told myself all day we were gonna lose but even that couldn't help.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 2:53 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
I tried hard last night but I couldn't de-melt. I told myself all day we were gonna lose but even that couldn't help.
I was good until we got it close late, then I melted when we couldn't finish the game. I'd have been a whole lot more content if we'd just taken our normal @Vandy whipping and went about our business but NO, they had to get my hopes up and then crush them.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 3:02 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
I tried hard last night but I couldn't de-melt. I told myself all day we were gonna lose but even that couldn't help.
You just have to accept that Vandy's wonky gym is where opponents lose games against inferior teams
Since 2002 Alabama vs Vandy
Coleman - Alabama 5W , Vandy 4W
Memorial Pagan Gym - Alabama 1W , Vandy 8W
Posted on 1/3/18 at 3:34 pm to GenesChin
Why stop at 2008? You can go back to 1978 and it probably won't be much different.....
Posted on 1/3/18 at 6:30 pm to JustGetItRight
Wasnt the foot out of bounds with 6 seconds left reviewable?? One of our coaches saw it and I was wondering why they didnt get Avery to ask for a review.
No guarantee we score and win but we fricking got robbed of an opportunity to.
No guarantee we score and win but we fricking got robbed of an opportunity to.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 7:00 pm to GenesChin
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Since 2002 Alabama vs Vandy
Like JustGetIt said we've lost there for many years pre-2002.
This post was edited on 1/3/18 at 7:00 pm
Posted on 1/3/18 at 8:18 pm to SummerOfGeorge
LSU is up 6 at the half over Kentucky
Posted on 1/3/18 at 8:41 pm to GenesChin
quote:
Not sure I see it with <20W if TAMU doesn't return to peak form or picking up a few high quality neutral/road win.
If we get to 19 I'd be very surprised if we're not in. You'd be hard pressed to find a 19 win team with our SOS not making the tournament in the several past seasons.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 9:02 pm to mistaken4193
I don’t believe that you can review a play that wasn’t whistled dead. That’s what my ref buddy told me, but that might be an NBA only rule.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 9:36 pm to Gongora
Starting to get really jealous of the other programs in the league. Will Wade looks like a pretty good hire at LSU, even though they barely lost tonight to UK.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 10:02 pm to GenesChin
I’m not seeing 10-6 for Kentucky down the stretch. Not when they still have eight at home. I’d say that’s more of their floor than their ceiling even though they aren’t a dominant team by any means.
The league is weird this year.
The league is weird this year.
Posted on 1/3/18 at 11:35 pm to Bham Bammer
Terrance Ferguson has 20 points right now 
This post was edited on 1/3/18 at 11:35 pm
Posted on 1/4/18 at 7:09 am to BigBird09
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You'd be hard pressed to find a 19 win team with our SOS not making the tournament in the several past season
The problem is that Bama would have any marquee wins nor road wins in what I suggested above. Of the 19W teams that make it in, they all have some elite level wins. I think 20W (including SECT) gets you in, and that is very very doable for Alabama
Also, on the SOS note, the strength of Bama's SOS is built a lot based on 10 OOC opponents having 9+ W/winning records. There are some alarming trends developing that if they continue won't bode well for Bama
-UT-Arl: Lost consecutive games to Coastal Car + App St which should be wins
-Mercer: Lost 5/7 including a few they should have won
-Memphis: 3g losing streak KenPom predicted losing record
-Texas: KenPom/TeamRanks predicted 18-13
- LaTech: 2g losing streak including double digit L to inferior Marshall
Fortunately for Bama, teams like UCF are proving to be winners, TAMU should eventually regain form and BYU/Rhode Island should be safe from too many upset in their conference play
This post was edited on 1/4/18 at 8:54 am
Posted on 1/4/18 at 10:57 am to GenesChin
quote:
I think 20W (including SECT) gets you in, and that is very very doable for Alabama
Have you looked at our SEC Schedule? That would require us getting at least 9 more wins and then we would have to have 2 more wins in the SECT. Far from "very very doable".
With our SEC SOS and Non-Conference SOS, we're probably looking at at least around a top 10 SOS by season's end. If a team gets 19 wins with that SOS, I don't think it really matters where those wins come from. The committee would be flipping a huge double bird to teams scheduling harder teams out of conference. I'm already for an easier non-conference slate, I don't need the committee's help in that matter.
Looking at RPI Wizard, I projected a finish of 18-13 throughout the schedule with no upsets or elite level wins. That would leave us at 40th RPI and the #2 SOS according to their projections.
Marquette last year had 19 wins and according to ESPN had a SOS of 59 and an RPI of 61. They were selected as a 10-seed and weren't even in the play-in game. I get that they had a win over Villanova, but I'd have to think that if given the option between a resume like that (based entirely on one game) and 19 wins on the #2 SOS, the committee wouldn't frick up that badly.
A more comparable resume to ours (assuming we win 19) last year would be Vanderbilt's. They had the #1 SOS and while they had some better wins they also had a terrible 11-14 record vs the RPI top 100. They were selected safely in the field as a 9-seed.
This post was edited on 1/4/18 at 11:24 am
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