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re: No charges for Cam and Hootie

Posted by Blawdawg on 6/20/16 at 1:06 pm
RB10, new charges to be filled November 1 - lol

re: No charges for Cam and Hootie

Posted by Blawdawg on 6/20/16 at 1:03 pm
Well, the floorboard gun was going to be tough to hit Robinson on with a "stolen firearm." First, unless he said it was his you have problems over which one "owned" it. Second, you might not be able to prove that either one even knew it was there. Third, not knowing an item is stolen is a defense to possession of stolen property. You still lose the property though.

The Hootie charge was 100% predicated in the drug charge. Having a gun in a car was Ok, just not with drugs. So if there was a problem with the possession charge, the gun charge falls away.

Logically, if Hootie didn't know there were drugs, and they were Robinson's, Hooitie is off the hook. And you have Robinson on misdemeanor weed possession.

I guess LA isn't pursuing weed possession on teens these days

re: Wow how gutless is Dan Mullen!?

Posted by Blawdawg on 6/3/16 at 7:32 pm
I wouldn't want to foreclose his opportunities to go to MSU forever, but similar situations guys like DJ Pettway had to do a year or two or penance at a JUCO and stay completely out of trouble to be allowed back on campus. Many players offered such opportunities fail to meet the criteria for return.

What would MSU do to a student who sends that video in along with their resume and ACT score?

For JS,mMSU just says "sure psycho, come on in, try not to rage beat a freshman"

Man would I love the case against the school if something happens on campus
I'm doubtful that the multiple allegations against Harris will be magically moved down to level 2 status. Harris said he didn't know about the boosters and the NCAA didn't believe him. Arguing, "no, believe him" isn't an argument that I'd project as a winner. That's arguing that the NCAA has their facts wrong.

At least they are arguing more about legal semantics when it comes to Tunsil (FTM) and Saunder's (they provide exhaustive examples where penalties were less than ULL and differentiated themselves from ULL's situation)

re: Saunders not turned in by olé miss

Posted by Blawdawg on 5/28/16 at 6:57 pm
I only skimmed the Saunder's portion of the NOA and response since OM agrees to every allegation made against him and and school on the issue. But, it is all framed as OM had no clue he did that and it was totally rogue. Saunder's was getting "his guys" in and providing "his recruits" benefits. That it was self serving and done behind the head coach's and admin's back. At least that's the party line. The NCAA doesn't dispute it but it's terrible timing for OM given the other level 1 offenses. For just Saunder's they'd get maybe 1/3 of what ULL got. It makes it more likely stuff that Harris did and Kiffin did are classified higher since OM won't get the benefit of the doubt some schools have gotten when stuff was self reported and deemed not worthy of punishment (think Bama and suit gate)

I am 100% sure if the suit thing happened in 2006 and was ferreted out by the NCAA instead of through a memo from Bama it would have resulted in a NOA and another post season ban.
Their law school is quite good. It doesn't compare with Vandy, UGA, Bama or Florida, but most of the lawyers from that school end up in Mississippi. Being the best law school in Mississippi they are kind of the cream of the crop unless lawyers come INTO MS from other states or schools. MS has nice parts but it's not exactly a destination state like FL. Most of the lawyers there went to Ole Miss (smart) or Missisippi College (less smart)
The NCAA got in trouble (internally) before for trying to use civil depositions for rules enforcement. I don't expect that they are purposely trying to go down that road ever again. That being said if they are informed that he has testified under oath in a way that is substantially different from his statements to the NCAA I expect he'd see a 10.1 violation (think Tressell) immediately regardless of where the Ole Miss situation is in the process. Unless he just spills all the beans (his lawyers, yes plural, dude makes $4 mil a year for a $250 million entity, he will have a team of suits and they will try to object to 95% of the questions anyway so he won't even have the chance in a first depo). Freeze could be effected personally,many it's embarrassing to him and the school but even if he drew a map of where money came from in that depo I don't think the NCAA would use it unless they already had the info. They treat that stuff like an "illegal search" in criminal law
I used the interwebs to look back in time to January 2015:

Pre signing day leak on the NOA:
"One Ole Miss source tells Steven Godfrey they believe only five of the 32 are alleged football violations, and that coaches are "confident" allegations related to the current staff are secondary violations. In addition, an NCAA source tells Bud Elliott that the "vast majority" of the football allegations are more than two years old."

The actual NOA:
Nine of the 13 allegations levied against the football program occurred under coach Hugh Freeze. Four were Level I violations, two Level II and three Level III.
How big are each of Ole Miss's graduating classes coming NCAA isn't a fan of penalties that don't really matter. It was one of the reasons I thought Bama's penalties were raised in 2003. We took away 7 in year one, but had a small graduating class and we could survive signing 18. We proposed 21 in year 2-3. NCAA made it a 3 year 18 cap which led to come crazy small SR classes 4-5 years later in the final Shula years and first Saban years
I like to see where some people took this. What I was getting at more than anything is we prepared for 15, we were OK with 15, local media said the 15 might stick, and the NCAA made it cut deeper, plus the bowl bans.

I've never studied other self imposed sanctions to know the average number that are raised in major infractions cases. Ours was raised 40% from our offer though
Recruiting while on probation does suck. Bama fans can attest. The negative recruiting is epic.

"I hear school X is being investigated again"

"I heard from a another coach that the head coach is looking at other jobs now"

"I heard assistant coach X is having his contract review by the Board of a Trustees and definitely won't be at that school your freshman year"
Actually there was no LOIC in this round.

Just failure to monitor RE Tunsil situation and other violations by individuals with no direct failures by the AD (Harris, Kiffin, Saunder's, Vaughn, Nix). The Tunsil one was the only one that brings the system into the discussion. Then again didn't we get hit with FTM with the textbooks? And there were no scholarship losses there.

With the new investigation, who knows? Tunsil was getting money from all over. Boosters, agents, stepdad, maybe even AD staff. That would ramp up that portion of the case

re: OM's NOA Inside

Posted by Blawdawg on 5/28/16 at 3:31 pm
It's theoretically possible that 3 coaches get show causes out of this. Probably not Nix or Kiffin's, but Harris is done unless the NCAA reclassified all his allegations. OM admits he's guilty, they just support him as being sloppy and lazy instead of being in business with boosters to recruit.

I've never seen a coach service those kinds of allegations. And the NCAA determines the facts IN the NOA. The response is more about punishment.

That's where OM is screwed on failure to monitor. I can't see the NCAA thank OM for their response and say "wow we we so wrong, let's pull the Tunsil violation." I think they have a better chance of saving Harris, and that's still a bad chance.

However, overall there is nothing to say OM HAS to get a bow ban. And their scholarship sanction offer is pretty significant because of the drop to 81 overall. Their initial counter offer is probably light, but besides coach suspensions (including maybe Freeze thanks to the new rules) that could be the only raise in punishments.

Any Lvl 1 violation on the 3 year probation or repeat offender window if extended will lead to a 2-4 year bowl ban though. So guys like Harris and Kiffin need to watch themselves with these boosters and agents. The NCAA isn't going to shorten the offered probation lol
Technically speaking the Saunder's stuff isn't the absolute worst violation since they are of the same level as alleged violations of Harris and in the "failure to monitor" Tunsil's agent/booster/car situation.

If these were 3 separate infractions cases over 10 years OM might have been better off (although repeat offender would have been worse). The rules allow the NCAA to view the collection of violations as a pattern of infractions that rise to level 1 status. Also, technically the worst part of the case isn't the fraud, it is the volume.

OM's response claims penalties should be mitigated by 1) their discovering certain violations and doing such a thorough investigation, 2) Harris' multiple violations not being as bad as the NCAA says, and 3) that essentially that no penalty is warranted for the Tunsil situation since they had adequate structures in place to reasonably discover such violations, even though they didn't. The NCAA accuses them of not looking into Tunsil's cars and relationships thoroughly. That one actually sets up in a very interesting way for a precedent regarding what a school needs to do to investigate players with various loaner cars being parked in the practice lot.
NCAA hits us with 21 lost + bowl ban.

Just some perspective on the proposed 9 over 3 from Ole Miss.

They claim a reduction to 84 for 2015 is part of their penalties. Guess they planned on these self imposed penalties for a good long while since that was locked in stone August 2015.

Finally saw the breakdown. 84 total last year, 83 this upcoming season, 81 for 2017 and 2018 and then back to 85 in 2019. Initial signees down to 22 for next 3 classes

Being at 81 OM can afford a few less initial counters than 22 as well, so they have some wiggle room built in for the NCAA to add there. They probably wouldn't be able to enroll 22 in 2018 for instance
I wouldn't be surprised to see a 2 game suspension (15% season) for Freeze. Yes, he is accused of nothing, but one of the stated goals of the new penalty system was to make head coaches more accountable for the actions of their staff/assistant coaches. That is supposed to motivate head coaches to promote compliance out of fear for the own neck/salary

A way the NCAA can give the penalties bite, but not cripple OM as an ESPN money maker woild be to suspend Freeze but give no or less of a post season ban. The suspension would probably get more press.
The NCAA doesn't actually accuse Freeze of anything, so far

The self imposed penalties are in part based on OM's response that some of the Level 1 penalties should be level 2 (including all of current coach Harris' violations) and some of the level 2 should be level 3 (Including all of current coach Kiffin's violations)

Also, they dispute the serious Level 1 "failure to monitor" charge RE Tunsil and differentiate the Saunders test scandal from ULL's in that ULL's was over 3 years and multiple test dates and Saunders only set up fake tests for OM once (ULL got 11 taken away over 3 years)

So you can pretty much take it to the bank that these penalties hinge on those responses.

If they think the Saunders thing is just as bad, 11 is a starting point. If not maybe that could contribute as title as 3-4 over 3 years. (1/3 the ULL penalty) If they think Harris and Kiffin's commited he more serious Lv 1 violations, they will be fired (show cause) and I'd expect stepper penaltie than otherwise self imposed. If the Tunsil failure to monitor sticks (OM says they did all they could to discover the issue before Tunsil's dad told the NCAA, NCAA disagrees) that could be the big one. It woild logically create additional penalties since OM doesn't admit to that one at all

re: OM's NOA Inside

Posted by Blawdawg on 5/28/16 at 3:33 am
Oh and vacated wins for 2011-2013 are a virtual guarantee as the NCAA states the players Saunders, Vaugn, and Nix provided impermissible benefits to and arranged fake tests were ineligible and competed during those seasons

That tracks right with what the the NCAA accused ULL of. I'd need to look back at the number of players ULL had but they self imposed 11 scholarships over 3 years. Perhaps OM's situation isn't as bad by comparison, I'll need to compare, but 11 over 3 for Saunders could be a winner based on precedent. That would assume no penalties for Harris or for failing to monitor the multiple Tunsil violations