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Posted on 2/8/26 at 6:53 am to Kneehigh
despite the doom and gloomers we're still very much in good shape for the tourney. I think 3 more wins would be nice to say we have 20 but we'd probably be on teh wrong side of the bubble since we'd have a losing conference record which would suck, so wouldn't love our chances. 4 more wins puts us at .500 in the league and solidly on the bubble but IMO we'd be on the right side of it. 5 more wins and I believe there's no doubt .
Feb 11 (Wed) 7:00 Home Florida - L
Feb 14 (Sat) 3:30 Away Oklahoma - TU/W
Feb 17 (Tue) 9:00 Away Kentucky - L
Feb 21 (Sat) 3:30 Home Texas - TU
Feb 25 (Wed) 7:00 Away Vanderbilt - L.
Feb 28 (Sat) 3:30 Home South Carolina - W
Mar 3 (Tue) 6:30 Home Alabama - TU
Mar 7 (Sat) 3:30 Away Mississippi State - W
There are 3 definite Ls, and although we know they're coming in advance I'm sure people will complain anyway. SC and @MSU are the kind of games, like yesterday, that if we want to call ourselves a tourney team we absolutely must win so let's count those. I tend to put OU in that same boat but somehow they won at VU yesterday. Weird. Let's go ahead and call that a "should win" anyway. That's 3 wins.
So between Texas at home and Alabama at home, it'd be nice to win one of those. IMO that would be enough to make it. In this scenario we'd probably be seeded somewhere around ~12th in teh SECT. If we are seeded anywhere between 9-12 we're in great shape as those seeds get the dead bottom of the standings.
All in all, we are still very much in the mix and if I had to hazard a guess, I'd say taht Lunardi will still have us as solidly IN during his next projections. These next 3 games will suck for our fanbase because we're losing at least 2 of them, and then everyone will say the season is over and we have no chance. But our tourney chances aren't going to be decided in the next 3 games; it's those last 5 that are really going to make or break us.
Feb 11 (Wed) 7:00 Home Florida - L
Feb 14 (Sat) 3:30 Away Oklahoma - TU/W
Feb 17 (Tue) 9:00 Away Kentucky - L
Feb 21 (Sat) 3:30 Home Texas - TU
Feb 25 (Wed) 7:00 Away Vanderbilt - L.
Feb 28 (Sat) 3:30 Home South Carolina - W
Mar 3 (Tue) 6:30 Home Alabama - TU
Mar 7 (Sat) 3:30 Away Mississippi State - W
There are 3 definite Ls, and although we know they're coming in advance I'm sure people will complain anyway. SC and @MSU are the kind of games, like yesterday, that if we want to call ourselves a tourney team we absolutely must win so let's count those. I tend to put OU in that same boat but somehow they won at VU yesterday. Weird. Let's go ahead and call that a "should win" anyway. That's 3 wins.
So between Texas at home and Alabama at home, it'd be nice to win one of those. IMO that would be enough to make it. In this scenario we'd probably be seeded somewhere around ~12th in teh SECT. If we are seeded anywhere between 9-12 we're in great shape as those seeds get the dead bottom of the standings.
All in all, we are still very much in the mix and if I had to hazard a guess, I'd say taht Lunardi will still have us as solidly IN during his next projections. These next 3 games will suck for our fanbase because we're losing at least 2 of them, and then everyone will say the season is over and we have no chance. But our tourney chances aren't going to be decided in the next 3 games; it's those last 5 that are really going to make or break us.
This post was edited on 2/10/26 at 10:52 am
Posted on 2/8/26 at 9:17 am to WG_Dawg
UK seems winnable when you look at their losses and losses at home. Missouri beat them at Rupp.
Posted on 2/9/26 at 8:27 pm to Brick67
Don’t want to be a party pooper but aren’t we 17-6 and not 17-5? The header says 17-5.
Posted on 2/10/26 at 10:34 am to Dirk Dawgler
Yeah my bad, fixed now
Posted on 2/10/26 at 11:30 am to WG_Dawg
I’d think Vandy on the road and Florida tomorrow (actually a chance at home with Cyril not getting ejected) are the toughest games we have left.
I’d say the only guaranteed win is South Carolina at home.
Other than that, this team could win or lose every other matchup. We just need to keep our energy on defense, draw fouls, hit the open 3s and make free throws….we do that, we have a chance to win
Still think we are looking at an 9 or 10 seed right now.
I’d say the only guaranteed win is South Carolina at home.
Other than that, this team could win or lose every other matchup. We just need to keep our energy on defense, draw fouls, hit the open 3s and make free throws….we do that, we have a chance to win
Still think we are looking at an 9 or 10 seed right now.
This post was edited on 2/10/26 at 11:39 am
Posted on 2/10/26 at 10:11 pm to WG_Dawg
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