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re: Georgia Recruiting Advantage

Posted on 12/2/21 at 11:05 am to
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
70248 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 11:05 am to
Every year, there's 300+ kids from GA high schools who end up at FBS schools.

Kirby could cherry pick the top 25 he wants in each class and 11 more schools could get their entire haul of initial counters from the state.
Posted by aggressor
Austin, TX
Member since Sep 2011
8796 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 12:00 pm to
The point of the thread is about the amount of talent in the state and not where it went, not sure why that is such a difficult concept for you.

I actually have pointed out that Houston/SE Texas has more talent than all of Louisiana in the past btw. This year it has 4 5 Stars (Perkins, Harris, Weigmann, Banks). If A&M can get even 3 of those 4 they are probably going to have the #1 Recruiting Class. I'm thrilled Jimbo is doing so well focusing on Houston as A&M is the closest P5 to the area. The problem is it isn't like Louisiana because you have so many kids that have roots and loyalties to other areas. Texas has grown from less than 17 million when I graduated from HS to pushing 30 million now. That means a lot of transplants. Specifically for Houston there are a lot of Louisiana folks that moved there after Katrina as well that have ties back home.

For Georgia it is similar to Atlanta in that way, though Atlanta still has not grown as dramatically.

The numbers will always shift a bit year by year but there is no question the talent in the SEC footprint dwarfs everyone else.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

For Georgia it is similar to Atlanta in that way, though Atlanta still has not grown as dramatically.



Yep - it's one of the highest growth areas of the large metros but not quite the Texas cities growth

% Growth MSAs > 4M people (2010-2020)
1. Houston (+20.3%)
2. Dallas (+20.0%)
3. Seattle (+16.8%)
4. Phoenix (+15.6%)
5. Atlanta (+15.2%)
4. Washington DC (+13.0%)
5. Miami (+10.3%)
6. San Francisco (+9.5%)
7. Riverside/San Bernardino (+8.9%)
8. Boston (+8.6%)
9. New York (+6.6%)
10. Philadelphia (+4.7%)
Posted by BakeMcTribe
Member since Aug 2018
66 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 12:21 pm to
"The disadvantage is the demographics of Texas have far less black population than much of the South, only about 12% (mainly in Houston/Southeast and DFW/Northeast). West of I35 and San Antonio on South have well under 5% and the simple reality is you tend to have more college football players that are black and there just aren't very many great Hispanic players proportionately."

There is no disadvantage. That's a cop out and a lame excuse...
This post was edited on 12/2/21 at 12:51 pm
Posted by RD Dawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
27806 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 4:56 am to
quote:

think the greater point on Georgia vs Louisiana is it depends on which year and what stats you want to look at.


Not really.While the numbers can be fluid they somewhat mirror the population trends in each state and Georgia continues to grow while Louisiana is pretty much flat lining.

The Louisiana talent narrative tends to be overblown or overestimated by not just yourself
but many in sports media.I heard one idiot on ESPN who actually tried to compare the talent in Louisiana to South Florida...just an absurd comparison using any metric. Alabama is just as fertile
as Louisiana if not more so when it comes producing CFB talent and also has a much higher rate of participation but I rarely hear their talent compared to Louisiana.

In short,there's zero chance I would trade UGA's recruiting advantages in Georgia with LSU's advantages in Louisiana
This post was edited on 12/3/21 at 5:23 am
Posted by MeatCleaverWeaver
Member since Oct 2013
22175 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 5:41 am to
quote:

it’s only real competition in state is Georgia Tech and let’s be real… that ain’t the same when it comes to recruiting.


Have not read thread so I’m sure it’s been pointed out: Tallahassee and Auburn are in counties that border Georgia, and Clemson is a stones throw away as well. They are all practically “in-state” schools as far as recruiting goes.
Posted by aggressor
Austin, TX
Member since Sep 2011
8796 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 9:27 am to
quote:

"The disadvantage is the demographics of Texas have far less black population than much of the South, only about 12% (mainly in Houston/Southeast and DFW/Northeast). West of I35 and San Antonio on South have well under 5% and the simple reality is you tend to have more college football players that are black and there just aren't very many great Hispanic players proportionately."

There is no disadvantage. That's a cop out and a lame excuse...


Once again you are taking this way too personally. From an objective standpoint black players tend to be D1 athletes and NFL athletes thus if you have more black population in an area you tend to have more talent. Within Texas 8 of the Top 10 Prospects are black and all of them come from DFW or Houston/SE Texas. The only Top 10 Recruit outside of that area is Klubnick from Austin Westlake which is a QB manufacturing machine (Drew Brees, Nick Foles, Sam Ehlinger, etc.)

So Georgia with about 2.5x the proportion of black athletes to Texas will likely always have a higher proportion of top prospects. Texas makes up for it in volume as the State is almost 3x the size of Georgia.
Posted by aggressor
Austin, TX
Member since Sep 2011
8796 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 9:47 am to
I don't disagree. I think Georgia is in a better overall position especially with being so close to Florida, South Carolina, and Alabama.

That said LSU is also close to Houston/Southeast Texas and culturally the area East of Houston is much more like LSU than UT but more of a wash with A&M, LSU does very well traditionally in the Golden Triangle especially near the border. This year is particularly loaded in the Houston/SE Region with 10 of the Top 100 Players in the country from there, the same number as the entire State of Georgia. That region and demographics are actually fairly similar as well in terms of population with Georgia being slightly larger.

As a sidenote, LSU only has 3 of the Top 10 from Louisiana currently committed and no commits from Texas. Kelly better fix that in a hurry or else the narrative of LSU locking down Louisiana will take a hit and it has already gotten harder for them to raid Texas recently.
Posted by BakeMcTribe
Member since Aug 2018
66 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 10:19 am to
Ok, explain this TX "disadvantage" for producing football players then. I'm ready for a good laugh...A&M has whiffed on most the greatest TXHSFB players of all-time and this dude is trying to say it's because of demographics.
This post was edited on 12/3/21 at 10:52 am
Posted by BakeMcTribe
Member since Aug 2018
66 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 10:47 am to
There is no lack of quality or disadvantage in the largest state in the SEC with the most NFL HOFers of any state...

A&M has just never recruited them well, especially on offense. There's your DISADVANTAGE. A&M recruiting in TX has been the equivalent of Florida letting Emmitt Smith and Fred Taylor go to UCF and FAU.
What's demographics have to do with that? If A&M gets the legendary RBs on my list earlier then you've got quality TX demographics in your favor. Period.

It looks like GA is having the same issues getting raided, while the state of Florida has historically kept its best players at UF, FSU and the U, until recently...and the # of Nattys reflect that. All three states produce a high number of quality football players.
This post was edited on 12/3/21 at 11:06 am
Posted by BakeMcTribe
Member since Aug 2018
66 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 11:50 am to
You're basically saying, if TX had 35-40% black population like GA or LA then, it would be better at football...OK. Good. No one GAF. Recruit better.
This post was edited on 12/3/21 at 11:55 am
Posted by BakeMcTribe
Member since Aug 2018
66 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 2:24 pm to
No school is going to keep all of the best players in FL, GA or TX in state. If UGA kept Cam, Watson or Lawrence in Athens then they might have more Nattys. Keep AP or Kyler at A&M then you might say the same.

What you're saying is - if TX had 3x's more blk people than it already has, then A&M would be better at football. Who cares? That would be true for any SEC state...You're in fantasy land with that brah. Recruit better.
This post was edited on 12/3/21 at 2:35 pm
Posted by aggressor
Austin, TX
Member since Sep 2011
8796 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 2:55 pm to
I wasn't talking about A&M. The discussion was about the overall talent in Texas vs Georgia and other states and the positives and negatives of each. Yet you are trying to make this into some rant about A&M not winning or recruiting well enough in the past which has little to no relevance to that topic.

I don't understand your defensiveness about discussing why more black athletes in a state tends to result in more high end talent either. You aren't even arguing the truth of that you are just trying to create some competition smack talk.

Georgia has great talent. Texas has great talent. Most of the SEC has great talent. It's just helpful to understand where the talent is, why they tend to come from certain areas, and which areas are likely to be successful going forward. Then that relates to potential success of different schools in terms of recruiting (which doesn't necessarily translate to wins directly either).

To your point you seem insistent on debating though, there has only been one time period A&M has been dominant in recruiting in Texas prior to now and that was in the mid '80s to early '90s when A&M won 7* (one was on probation) Titles in 9 years. That was when Texas had almost half the population it does now. Texas also dominated Texas recruiting (though OU got quite a bit) in the '00s and won a Natty and should have won more honestly.

We will see what A&M does with this class and if they can sustain this level of recruiting. What is false though is to act like the current level of recruiting is where A&M has been. This year we will almost certainly have more 5 Stars than 3 Stars for instance, we have never done that before by any stretch.
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
81611 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Keep AP or Kyler at A&M then you might say the same.


No. The problem with both Adrien Peterson and Kyler Murray was the same person: Kevin Sumlin.

Sumlin was the one who was recruiting Peterson for A&M when Slocum was fired and was the one who recruited him to Oklahoma.

Sumlin's mismanagement of the quarterback situation is what drove Kyler Murray away...to Oklahoma.
Posted by BakeMcTribe
Member since Aug 2018
66 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 4:03 pm to
This is a recruiting advantage thread brah.
I'm not the one in fantasy land with useless and dumb demographic stats. TX has enough quality players. You've got a recruiting gene pool roughly the size of the ENTIRE population of every SEC state except for FL & GA with more NFL HOFers than both of those states. FL, GA & TX produce great blk football players DUH....Youre not going to clone the blk population of TX 3x's to recruit better tho. That's just a dumb projection. No one cares.

Every school in TX outside of the MBrown era has sucked in recruiting the state's best players to one school, not just A&M. Until now...Jimbo's addressing that.
This post was edited on 12/3/21 at 4:21 pm
Posted by BakeMcTribe
Member since Aug 2018
66 posts
Posted on 12/3/21 at 5:20 pm to
Despite the census population demographics vs FL & GA, TXHSFB has produced the best to ever do it. Period. Recruit better.
I don't buy into the USG Corp's "census" or "social studies" anyway. Ixtlilton, Ek-Chuah and Cacaxtla don't either.


This post was edited on 12/3/21 at 5:25 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 10:05 am to
Another example of Georgia attracting coaches

Nibblet to leave Hoover for Georgia
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