At some point I concluded that this is the best stat in football to gauge how a team's performed and how far they might go. It's not a perfect stat, because there's no such thing as a perfect stat. Alabama just dogged out LSU in LSU's own stadium, for example. Also, no two schedules are exactly the same and there's a different in quality of competition But it's still a useful stat.

Historically, anything in the SEC over +1 at this point in the seasonis really good, anything over +1.25 is SEC contender territory and anything over +1.5 is national title contender.

Teams still alive to make the CFP (vs. FBS competition only)

Georgia – 6.91 YPP vs 4.72 YPP allowed (+2.19)

Texas – 5.47 YPP vs. 3.86 YPP allowed (+1.61)

LSU – 6.19 YPP vs. 4.83 YPP allowed (+1.36)

Alabama – 6.46 YPP vs. 5.12 YPP allowed (+1.32)

South Carolina – 6.35 YPP vs. 5.58 YPP allowed (+0.78)

Tennessee – 5.41 YPP vs. 4.87 YPP allowed (+0.54)

Ole Miss – 5.85 YPP vs. 5.58 YPP allowed (+0.27)

Kentucky – 5.64 YPP vs. 5.61 YPP allowed (+0.03)

This post was edited on 11/9/26 at 10:36 am

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Posted by 3down10

Member since Sep 2014

43388 posts

Posted on 11/9/26 at 10:48 am to Violent Hip Swivel

You need to do the amount of yards required for each individual point scored so it translates to the scoreboard.

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Posted by AUTiger789

Birmingham, AL

Member since Apr 2022

4645 posts

Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:27 am to Violent Hip Swivel

Agree completely that this is a very useful stat. I like to limit it to Power 4 opponents only so that the FCS and G5 cupcake games don't skew the data.

Here's how the SEC teams rank out of all P4 teams:

5. Georgia (+2.01)
9. LSU (+1.54)
11. Texas (+1.35)
15. Alabama (+1.16)
23. South Carolina (+0.41)
24. Tennessee (+0.35)
36. Ole Miss (-0.02)
41. Miss State (-0.31)
42. Kentucky (-0.37)
46. Auburn (-0.56)
48. Oklahoma (-0.71)
53. Florida (-0.80)
64. Arkansas (-1.54)
66. Texas A&M (-1.66)

I feel like A&M gets way too much credit... most folks keep ranking them around #11 or #12 in the SEC.... but they are a bad, bad team.

Major red flags concerning both Tennessee and Kentucky, IMO. Not sure either is really a great team.

LSU has really bungled this year... they are a much better team than their record shows but they've just not shown up in big games.

South Carolina doesn't get enough credit, IMO. Beamer has done an excellent job.

This post was edited on 11/9/26 at 11:29 am

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Posted by Night Vision

33rd Level REC/Bryant Denny West

Member since Feb 2018

27543 posts

Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:45 am to Violent Hip Swivel

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Posted by roadkill

East Coast, FL

Member since Oct 2008

2170 posts

Posted on 11/9/26 at 12:04 pm to Violent Hip Swivel

Interesting stat - but as we saw Saturday, it's points scored that really matters. I saw a table of offense points scored per play earlier. It would be interesting to see defense points allowed per play and the delta between the two.

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Posted by TX Tea