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What a Championship Race We Have!
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:26 pm
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:26 pm
Other than that one basketball season where four teams ended up tied for the SEC Championship (IIRC Florida, Kentucky, LSU and Tennessee), I have never seen an SEC season go down to the wire like this one.
Here's a look at where we stand:
1. Florida (18-8)
2. Texas A&M (18-9, 1/2 game back)
2. Mississippi State (18-9, 1/2 game back)
4. South Carolina (17-9, 1 game back)
5. Ole Miss (17-10, 1 1/2 games back)
6. LSU (17-10, 1 1/2 games back)
Next Weekend
Florida at LSU
Ole Miss at Texas A&M
Arkansas at Mississippi State
South Carolina at Alabama
To win a Championship
FLORIDA wins the SEC Championship outright with:
a 3 game sweep of LSU
2-1 vs. LSU with at least one loss by MSU, A&M and SCAR
1-2 vs. LSU with at least two losses by MSU and SCAR and a Ole Miss 2-1 series win over A&M.
FLORIDA will share the SEC Championship (assuming no cancelations) with SOUTH CAROLINA if:
South Carolina wins one more game vs. Alabama than Florida does against LSU and MSU and Texas A&M go 1-2 or worse in their series.
SOUTH CAROLINA can win the SEC Championship outright if:
South Carolina wins two more games vs. Alabama than Florida does against LSU and MSU does against Arkansas and Ole Miss wins the series with A&M 2-1
TEXAS A&M can win the SEC Championship outright if:
Texas A&M wins one more game vs. Ole Miss than MSU wins vs. Arkansas and Florida wins vs. LSU.
TEXAS A&M and MISSISSIPPI STATE will share the SEC Championship if:
Texas A&M and Mississippi State have the same record this weekend and win one more game than Florida does against LSU.
MISSISSIPPI STATE can win the SEC Championship outright if:
Mississippi State wins one more game vs. Arkansas than A&M wins vs. Ole Miss and Florida wins vs. LSU.
OLE MISS can win the SEC Championship outright if:
Ole Miss sweeps A&M, Arkansas wins at least 2 vs. Mississippi State, Alabama wins one against South Carolina, and LSU goes 2-1 against Florida.
OLE MISS and MISSISSIPPI STATE share the SEC Championship if:
Ole Miss sweeps A&M, Mississippi State goes 2-1 vs. Arkansas, Alabama wins one against South Carolina, and LSU goes 2-1 against Florida
OLE MISS and LSU share the SEC Championship if:
Ole Miss sweeps A&M, LSU sweeps Florida , Alabama wins one against South Carolina, and Arkansas goes 2-1 against Mississippi State
OLE MISS, LSU and TEXAS A&M share the SEC Championship if:
Ole Miss goes 2-1 against Texas A&M, Mississippi State goes 0-3 against Arkansas, LSU goes 2-1 against Florida, Alabama goes 2-1 against South Carolina
OLE MISS, LSU, TEXAS A&M and MISSISSIPPI STATE share the SEC Championship if:
Ole Miss goes 2-1 against Texas A&M, Mississippi State goes 1-2 against Arkansas, LSU goes 2-1 against Florida, Alabama goes 2-1 against South Carolina.
LSU will win the outright SEC Championship if:
LSU sweeps Florida and Ole Miss goes 2-1 against A&M and Mississippi State loses series to Arkansas and South Carolina loses at least one game to Alabama
Here's a look at where we stand:
1. Florida (18-8)
2. Texas A&M (18-9, 1/2 game back)
2. Mississippi State (18-9, 1/2 game back)
4. South Carolina (17-9, 1 game back)
5. Ole Miss (17-10, 1 1/2 games back)
6. LSU (17-10, 1 1/2 games back)
Next Weekend
Florida at LSU
Ole Miss at Texas A&M
Arkansas at Mississippi State
South Carolina at Alabama
To win a Championship
FLORIDA wins the SEC Championship outright with:
a 3 game sweep of LSU
2-1 vs. LSU with at least one loss by MSU, A&M and SCAR
1-2 vs. LSU with at least two losses by MSU and SCAR and a Ole Miss 2-1 series win over A&M.
FLORIDA will share the SEC Championship (assuming no cancelations) with SOUTH CAROLINA if:
South Carolina wins one more game vs. Alabama than Florida does against LSU and MSU and Texas A&M go 1-2 or worse in their series.
SOUTH CAROLINA can win the SEC Championship outright if:
South Carolina wins two more games vs. Alabama than Florida does against LSU and MSU does against Arkansas and Ole Miss wins the series with A&M 2-1
TEXAS A&M can win the SEC Championship outright if:
Texas A&M wins one more game vs. Ole Miss than MSU wins vs. Arkansas and Florida wins vs. LSU.
TEXAS A&M and MISSISSIPPI STATE will share the SEC Championship if:
Texas A&M and Mississippi State have the same record this weekend and win one more game than Florida does against LSU.
MISSISSIPPI STATE can win the SEC Championship outright if:
Mississippi State wins one more game vs. Arkansas than A&M wins vs. Ole Miss and Florida wins vs. LSU.
OLE MISS can win the SEC Championship outright if:
Ole Miss sweeps A&M, Arkansas wins at least 2 vs. Mississippi State, Alabama wins one against South Carolina, and LSU goes 2-1 against Florida.
OLE MISS and MISSISSIPPI STATE share the SEC Championship if:
Ole Miss sweeps A&M, Mississippi State goes 2-1 vs. Arkansas, Alabama wins one against South Carolina, and LSU goes 2-1 against Florida
OLE MISS and LSU share the SEC Championship if:
Ole Miss sweeps A&M, LSU sweeps Florida , Alabama wins one against South Carolina, and Arkansas goes 2-1 against Mississippi State
OLE MISS, LSU and TEXAS A&M share the SEC Championship if:
Ole Miss goes 2-1 against Texas A&M, Mississippi State goes 0-3 against Arkansas, LSU goes 2-1 against Florida, Alabama goes 2-1 against South Carolina
OLE MISS, LSU, TEXAS A&M and MISSISSIPPI STATE share the SEC Championship if:
Ole Miss goes 2-1 against Texas A&M, Mississippi State goes 1-2 against Arkansas, LSU goes 2-1 against Florida, Alabama goes 2-1 against South Carolina.
LSU will win the outright SEC Championship if:
LSU sweeps Florida and Ole Miss goes 2-1 against A&M and Mississippi State loses series to Arkansas and South Carolina loses at least one game to Alabama
This post was edited on 5/15/16 at 10:23 pm
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Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:30 pm to anc
though lsu can't be the #1 seed, if they somehow sweep florida they have a pretty decent shot at sharing the regular season title.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:32 pm to anc
quote:
Arkansas at Mississippi State
Bert is fat
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:33 pm to UNO
quote:
though lsu can't be the #1 seed, if they somehow sweep florida they have a pretty decent shot at sharing the regular season title.
It's never going to happen, but it would be SO sweet to see the melt here because LSU lost the series to everyone they could possibly share with.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:33 pm to anc
Florida plays at LSU.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:34 pm to anc
A lot of work here anc. 
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:39 pm to anc
Upvoted. Thanks for putting all of this together
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:40 pm to anc
This is going to be a great weekend for SEC baseball.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:43 pm to anc
State has to be the odds on favorite to win the championship. they WILL get 21 wins. everyone else has a huge hill to climb to reach 21 wins....congrats to john cohen and state college. helluva team
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:45 pm to UNO
quote:
though lsu can't be the #1 seed, if they somehow sweep florida they have a pretty decent shot at sharing the regular season title.
Though very unlikely, if we were to sweep, do we have a decent shot of a national seed?
If not, let's hope we get paired with someone that plays a very hot #2, and loses. I'll take our chances of Baton Rouge winning the Super bid in that case.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:48 pm to Tiger Live2
I think the top 4 seeds in the SEC Tournament will get national seeds. Right now that's Florida, A&M, State and South Carolina in that order. Ole Miss and LSU are breathing down South Carolina's neck.
Texas Tech has one locked up, and the ACC has two locks in Miami and Louisville.
Florida State and NC State played themselves out of locks this weekend, but certainly have a chance at the last one.
There are no other contenders for national seeds without the NCAA pulling a huge WTF. So, the SEC getting four is pretty good odds. Ole Miss has a head to head problem with State (1-3) and South Carolina (0-3) but could remedy it with a series win over A&M.
Texas Tech has one locked up, and the ACC has two locks in Miami and Louisville.
Florida State and NC State played themselves out of locks this weekend, but certainly have a chance at the last one.
There are no other contenders for national seeds without the NCAA pulling a huge WTF. So, the SEC getting four is pretty good odds. Ole Miss has a head to head problem with State (1-3) and South Carolina (0-3) but could remedy it with a series win over A&M.
This post was edited on 5/15/16 at 9:50 pm
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:53 pm to Tiger Live2
i feel like lsu would have to win 2/3 from florida, and then win the sec tournament to even have an outside shot of being a national seed.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 9:55 pm to anc
I just hope we continue the hot streak. And play well in Hoover, like we usually do under CPM.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 10:00 pm to UNO
quote:
feel like lsu would have to win 2/3 from florida, and then win the sec tournament to even have an outside shot of being a national seed.
At this point, I'll take those odds.
Was it '08 we had that long streak, and ended up with a top 8 seed? Would be nice to repeat that. But after losing almost the entire lineup, and pitchers not performing as well as we expected, I like where we are.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 10:08 pm to anc
Nice work, dammit. And we all see what you did there. If we were betting, we'd all bet on MSU.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 10:15 pm to anc
quote:
LSU cannot win the outright SEC Championship or end up winning tiebreakers to get the No. 1 seed.
What if....
LSU sweeps UF
OM takes 2/3 from A&M
Arky takes 2/3 from MSU
Bama takes 2/3 from USC
wiuldnt that give LSU 20 wins and everyone else 18 or 19?
Posted on 5/15/16 at 10:16 pm to REBSontheRISE
quote:
State has to be the odds on favorite to win the championship. they WILL get 21 wins. everyone else has a huge hill to climb to reach 21 wins....congrats to john cohen and state college. helluva team
Yep. Never thought I'd be rooting for Ole Miss so much to win a series.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 10:17 pm to Tiger Live2
they've won 8 in a row now? if they win out and win the sec tournament, that would be 16 in a row. that would be pretty impressive, and would maybe snag them a national seed.
very unlikely though
very unlikely though
Posted on 5/15/16 at 10:17 pm to Choctaw
quote:
What if....
LSU sweeps UF
OM takes 2/3 from A&M
Arky takes 2/3 from MSU
Bama takes 2/3 from USC
wiuldnt that give LSU 20 wins and everyone else 18 or 19?
Yes. I will update.
Posted on 5/15/16 at 10:18 pm to REBSontheRISE
quote:
they WILL get 21 wins.
meh
never know how a team will play with the pressure of the final weekend
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