SEC Championship Scenarios (edited)

oK - I'm back. I knew I was missing something!!!


SEC East - Clinched by Florida (I should point out UF is the only school in I-FBS to have clinched either a divisional or conference championship.)


SEC West - still up for grabs. There are three teams mathematically still able to clinch the bid - Alabama, LSU, and Ole Miss. Only LSU and Alabama control their own destiny.

The first 4 scenarios I submit without explanation:

Bama beat LSU - remaining results don't matter
Bama gets bid

LSU wins out
LSU gets bid

LSU beats Bama
LSU loses to Ole Miss or Arkansas or both
Bama beats Mississippi State and Auburn
Bama gets bid


LSU beats Bama
LSU loses to Ole Miss or Arkansas, but not both
Bama loses to Mississippi State and/or Auburn
LSU gets bid

LSU beats Bama
LSU loses to Ole Miss and Arkansas
Bama beats Mississippi State and/or Auburn
Bama gets bid




The remaining scenario is more difficult.
If LSU beats Bama and LSU and Bama then lose the remainder of their games, there are a multitude of possibilities.

I. Neither Mississippi St, Ole Miss, or Auburn win out. In this case, LSU and Bama will be tied with 3 losses, LSU gets bid by head to head

II. Auburn wins out and remaining teams do not. There would be a three way tie between LSU, Auburn, and Alabama, and LSU would get the bid by head to head

III. Auburn and Ole Miss win out. This would create a 4 way tie between LSU, Ole Miss, Auburn, and Bama. Auburn and LSU would make the first tie-breaker by virtue of both being 2-1 in this group. Then LSU gets bid by virtue of having beat Auburn.

IV. Ole Miss wins out and no other teams do. This is a 3 way tie between LSU, Ole Miss, and Bama. Each team would have 1-1 head to head against the others, resulting in still, a tie. The next tie breaker is record within the division. LSU and Ole Miss would beat bama with one more divisional win than bama each. Ole Miss then beats LSU in a 2 way tie-breaker to get the bid

V. Auburn and Mississippi State win out
This creates a 4 way tie between Auburn, Mississippi State, Alabama, and LSU. Having beaten all of these teams, LSU would get the bid

VI. Mississippi State wins out and no one else does. A three way tie between Alabama, LSU, and Mississippi State results. LSU wins in head to head.