re: Probability of winning the SEC

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Can someone explain how us making it would even be possible?

Would it not require a couple of complete bed shittings? Like Auburn and Vanderbilt and the like upsets?

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1. Texas (7 - 1)
2. Ole Miss (6 - 2)
Above Georgia based on head-to-head record (1-0).
3. Georgia (6 - 2)
Below Ole Miss based on head-to-head record (0-1).
4. Vandy (5 - 3)
Above Alabama, LSU, Missouri, S Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5625).
5. Alabama (5 - 3)
With LSU, Missouri, S Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below Vandy based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5469).
Above LSU, Missouri, S Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5469).
6. S Carolina (5 - 3)
With Alabama, LSU, Missouri, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below Vandy based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5156).
With LSU, Missouri, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5156).
Above LSU, Missouri, Tennessee, and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5156).
7. Texas A&M (5 - 3)
With Alabama, LSU, Missouri, S Carolina, and Tennessee, below Vandy based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688).
With LSU, Missouri, S Carolina, and Tennessee, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688).
With LSU, Missouri, and Tennessee, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688).
With LSU and Missouri, above Tennessee based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (1-0).
Above LSU and Missouri based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (2-0).
8. LSU (5 - 3)
With Alabama, Missouri, S Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below Vandy based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).
With Missouri, S Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).
With Missouri, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).
With Missouri and Texas A&M, above Tennessee based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (1-0).
With Missouri, below Texas A&M based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Above Missouri based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).
9. Missouri (5 - 3)
With Alabama, LSU, S Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below Vandy based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4219).
With LSU, S Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4219).
With LSU, Tennessee, and Texas A&M, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4219).
With LSU and Texas A&M, above Tennessee based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (1-0).
With LSU, below Texas A&M based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4219).
10. Tennessee (5 - 3)
With Alabama, LSU, Missouri, S Carolina, and Texas A&M, below Vandy based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With LSU, Missouri, S Carolina, and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With LSU, Missouri, and Texas A&M, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
Below LSU, Missouri, and Texas A&M based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (0-1).
11. Arkansas (3 - 5)
Above Auburn based on head-to-head record (1-0).
12. Auburn (3 - 5)
Below Arkansas based on head-to-head record (0-1).
13. Florida (2 - 6)
14. Kentucky (1 - 7)
Above Oklahoma based on winning percentage against #2 teams all played one time (1-0).
15. Oklahoma (1 - 7)
Below Kentucky based on winning percentage against #2 teams all played one time (0-1).
16. Miss St (0 - 8)

Georgia beats Tennessee
Auburn beats Texas A&M
Vanderbilt beats LSU
Auburn beats Alabama
Vanderbilt beats Tennessee

All of those are possible, but all of them happening isn't likely. You can play around with the games at the link below.

Link: SEC Standings Calculator

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This whole thing is a clusterfrick

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While true, it keeps a lot of extra teams interested much later in the season.. I'd consider that a big win for CFB. I don't see that changing soon..

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The tie breaker with multiple teams that have not all played each other is conference opponent winning percentage. If Missouri drops two games LSUs conference opponent winning percentage would be 51% while Alabama's is 50%. If Missouri wins one of the two, its reversed, Alabama 51%, LSU 50%. Everyone else in contention that would have 2 losses would be under 50%

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I appreciate the response. Guess what I thought would happen which makes at least in my mind the most sense is if Bama, Georgia, LSU, TN, SC, Missouri all finish with two conference losses Georgia is eliminated due to head to head with Bama, LSu is eliminated due to head to head with Bama, Bama is eliminated due to head to head with TN so TN would go which is a long way of saying TN vs Texas/aTM winner for seccg. This would honestly be easier if the would kick Bama and Auburn to the east Missouri to the west and have two divisions. No permanent opponents from
Other division